Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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10-28-25 Navigating Overbought Markets: Don’t Let FOMO Ruin Your Portfolio

2025-10-28

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FOMO destroys more portfolios than bad stocks ever will. In this short video, I explain why timing the market never works—and how rebalancing and managing risk can keep you invested when markets get overbought. 📺Full episode: _bQP4 Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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10-28-25 Profit Taking Made Simple

2025-10-28

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Taking profits sounds easy—until you try it with a smaller account. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn answer listeners' question about managing portfolios spread across myriad stocks, with allocations similar to the S&P 500. When positions are small, trimming into strength or reinvesting during market highs can feel nearly impossible. 0:19 - Profit Taking, Earnings, & FOMC Meeting Previews 4:48 - Market Bullishness Confirmed 10:05 -...

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Gold Or Bitcoin: Which Is The ‘Right’ Dollar Hedge?

2025-10-28

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2025-10-28

Gold and bitcoin are touted as the "anti-dollar", or in some people's minds, possible replacements for the US dollar. Thus, one would expect the dollar-debasement trade to benefit gold and bitcoin similarly. The reality throughout this year has not been what many would expect. For example, gold is up over 50% this year, while bitcoin …

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10-27-25 How Greed, Innovation & Leverage Create Every Market Bubble

2025-10-27

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Speculative bubbles don’t appear overnight – they evolve through cycles of greed, innovation, and leverage. In this Short video, I explain how the same cycle of easy money and speculation keeps repeating, just with new assets and fancier language each time. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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10-27-25 The Most Dangerous Era in History

2025-10-27

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We’re living through one of the most dangerous eras in history — not because of war or politics alone, but because of the extraordinary convergence of economic, financial, and geopolitical risks. In this episode, we break down: * How record global debt, AI-driven speculation, and geopolitical instability are colliding. * Why the current market optimism masks systemic fragility. * What investors can learn from past cycles — from 1929 to 2008 — to...

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The Most Dangerous Era In History

2025-10-27

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2025-10-27

We live in what Brett Arends claimed as "The Dumbest Stock Market In History," but I believe it is potentially the most dangerous era. That phrase is not hyperbole as it reflects structural distortion, extreme valuations, and an investor base intoxicated by momentum and narrative. The MarketWatch piece puts it bluntly: “At one level, there …

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Negative Earnings: Another Speculative Favorite

2025-10-27

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2025-10-27

The chart below, courtesy of Apollo’s Torsten Slok, shows that small-cap companies with negative earnings have outperformed small-cap companies with positive earnings by about 30% since early April. Per Torsten: “Something remarkable is going on in the equity market. Stock prices of companies with negative earnings have in recent months outperformed stock prices of companies …

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Retail Leverage Goes to Extremes

2025-10-25

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2025-10-25

🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you'd like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ … Continue...

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10-24-25 Why Gold’s Boom Is More About Calls Than Coins

2025-10-24

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$GLD rally isn’t real demand – it’s speculation disguised as strength. In this short video, @michaellebowitz and I explain why the boom in call options, not central bank buying, is driving #gold surge and why a sharp correction may be next. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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10-24-25 The Art of Retirement Income

2025-10-24

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Your greatest retirement risk isn’t the market; it’s living longer than you expect. Richard Rosso shares the Art of Retirement Income—how to enjoy your savings early in retirement while protecting your future lifestyle. 💡 Topics covered: • Why the 4% rule doesn’t match how most retirees really spend • How to front-load income for early enjoyment without running out of money • The role of inflation protection and flexible withdrawal plans • How...

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Money Supply Growth: A Thesis With A Fatal Flaw

2025-10-24

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2025-10-24

Recently, MarketWatch ran a provocative headline: “When the world’s largest asset manager and the Bond King both agree: Run to gold, silver, and bitcoin.” The article highlighted how Larry Fink’s BlackRock and Jeffrey Gundlach, often dubbed the “Bond King,” see deficits and “money printing” as reasons for investors to escape fiat currencies and pile into …

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Inflation In Focus: What Market Data Tells Us

2025-10-24

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2025-10-24

As we approach today's delayed CPI report, it's helpful to look beyond government statistics to focus on a more current and robust picture of inflation.   Implied Inflation: This is derived from comparing the yields of nominal Treasury securities to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). The graph below (bottom left) shows that implied inflation, also known …

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10-23-25 Behind the Dollar “Collapse” Narrative – The Real Story

2025-10-23

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Despite the media noise, the dollar isn’t collapsing. The $DXY is near its long-term fair value, and foreign investors keep buying U.S. debt and equities $SPY / $QQQ – proof that global confidence in the dollar remains strong. In this short video, Michael Lebwitz and I discuss why the “dollar crash” narrative is overblown. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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10-23-25 Dollar Debasement: Reality Or Dangerous Narrative?

2025-10-23

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Gold’s rally has investors shouting “dollar debasement!” — but is the narrative real, or just a speculative illusion? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the popular debasement argument and expose the facts behind the gold surge. From money supply trends to Fed policy and global confidence in the U.S. dollar, we separate the data from the hype. 0:19 - Stresses Emerging in Lower End of Economy 4:45 - The Oil Price Pop 6:35 -Good News -...

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Beyond Meat Surges: Another Meme Ponzi?

2025-10-23

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2025-10-23

In August 2025, Beyond Meat (BYND), a plant-based meat producer, took to social media to call reports of its bankruptcy "unequivocally false". Despite the assurances, the company was floundering, and bankruptcy was a possibility. The company has significant liabilities and has lost money every year since its IPO. Adding to their woes, sales peaked in …

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A Daily Dose Of Charts & Graphs October 22, 2025

2025-10-22

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In this Short video, I cover leverage, $GLD key support, the seasonality tailwind, liquidity and sentiment trends, Fed policy context, and valuation vs. narrative — everything you need in one visual market update. 🐦Follow me on X: https://x.com/LanceRoberts 📺Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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10-29-25 Bitcoin: Speculation, Blockchain, & the Future of Money

2025-10-22

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Why has Bitcoin captured the attention of investors and innovators alike? Lance Roberts & Vinay Gupta break down what makes Bitcoin unique — from its blockchain backbone to its role as currency, commodity, and speculative asset. We’ll explore how to think about Bitcoin in a diversified portfolio, what risks investors need to understand, and why blockchain may reshape how business is done in the future. #BitcoinInvesting #BlockchainTechnology...

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Leveraged ETFs: Yet Another Sign Of Rampant Speculation

2025-10-22

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2025-10-22

Not only is the market chasing the most speculative of assets, but it is employing record amounts of leverage to do so. Traditionally, investors use margin loans to gain leverage. More recently, however, leveraged ETFs allow investors to get leverage in one package. To wit, the graph below, courtesy of BofA, shows that there are …

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Dollar Debasement: Reality Or A Dangerous Narrative?

2025-10-22

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2025-10-22

Gold prices are soaring. And with each tick higher, more and more market pundits and investors are coming out of the woodwork, asserting that dollar debasement is the reason. Is that the correct reason, or might gold be in a momentum-fueled speculative bubble like many other assets? The answer has significant implications for the price …

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10-21-25 5x ETFs & Margin Debt: The Hidden Risk BehindThe Year-End Rally Narrative

2025-10-21

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