Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Markets Sustain Key Support, as Banks Soldier On

2021-10-14

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(10/14/21) Markets Rally Above the 100-DMA as Earnings Season gathers speed; support remains intact--a good sign, suggesting markets will work their way to the 50-DMA. However, we're rapidly eating up money flow buy signal; best idea is to use this rally to rebalance risk in portfolios. Most banks are reporting better earnings--thanks to share buy-backs and lower loan-loss reserves, boosting bottom line EPS. BOA, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley,...

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Why the Insidious Stagflation Loop is So Dangerous

2021-10-13

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Price Inflation is leading to lower consumption, causing poorer earnings and a stagflation feedback loop; accounting gimmicks that make earnings appear better than they are; Super-savers and the Math of Loss; how you can triple your income, working from home! ------ 00:0 - The Feedback Loop of Inflation 7:32 - Earning Season: Better Living Through Accounting Gimmicks 19:07 - The Ugly Truth About Super-Savers 30:28 - How to Triple Your Income...

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Will the Fed Taper Sooner & Harder?

2021-10-13

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(10/13/21) Markets are being lifted in anticipation of earnings season and today's inflation report: Will it push the Fed to taper sooner? Inflation and stagflation are becoming more prevalent. In a sloppy trading week, Markets will be retesting recent lows if they can't climb above the 100-DMA and hold it for the rest of this week. Earnings from JP Morgan and Blackrock both beat their estimates, but a look behind the curtain shows that some...

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Does Market Risk to Investors Remain?

2021-10-12

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The Debt Ceiling rises $400-B to allow Congress to pay its bills; what can reverse spending addiction? Q3 Earnings Season begins w impact of inflation & supply chain disruptions effects on margins; paying attention to risk; Short-term vs Long-term warning signs. ------ 0:00 - How to Solve Washington's Spending Problem 5:25 - The Risks to Earnings and Looking Ahead 19:08 - Headwinds & Challenges Facing Investors Now 28:17 - Short Term...

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Can Markets Maintain Support?

2021-10-12

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(10/12/21) Monday's sell-off took the market back to the 100-DMA, so markets continue to hold support. There are two bullish signs to note: Money flow buy signals are back in place, and money flows are trying to improve. The MACD buy signal is present, but just barely. It's critical markets hold the 100-DMA at least through the end of the week, and to get the bull market back, will need to advance above the 50-DMA. Will earnings be strong enough...

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How $80 Oil Adds an Inflationary Twist to Markets

2021-10-11

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$80-oil and Supply Chain disruptions are feeding into inflation, despite government manipulation of CPI and PCE to dampen measurements. Investors' dilemma of how to put money to work, despite data saying otherwise; markets' warning signs: Weekly vs Monthly buy signals. ------ 0:00 - The Consequences of Creating Artificial Demand 10:41 - Investors' Battle of Putting Money to Work vs Contrary Data 19:53 - Why Markets' "Check Engine"...

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The Real Impact of $80 Oil

2021-10-11

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(10/11/21) Crude Oil Prices at $80/bbl--higher energy prices are feeding into the inflationary pressures on Wall St. as well as Main St. This will weigh on corporate earnings and more importantly, corporate outlooks in view of supply chain disruptions, inflationary costs, and companies' ability (or inability) to pass on these costs to consumers. Markets are now on a Money Flow "Buy" signal, as well as a MACD "Buy" signal,...

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College or Trade School: How Will You Pay for It?

2021-10-08

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Elon Musk moves to Austin with the slogan, "Don't Mess with Tesla;" Why employees are discovering higher costs this Open Enrollment season; Mistakes that can cost you College money on FAFSA; Why College Isn't for Everyone; Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement; ------ 0:00 - Tesla Moves to Austin; Open Enrollment Season Begins 5:57 - Fun with FAFSA: Why Mistakes Can Cost You $$$ 17:50 - More Fun with FAFSA: Why College isn't for...

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Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?

2021-10-07

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Economic growth estimates for Q4 are being revised; the "Fiscal Cliff" is actually fiscal reality; wealth inequality caused by the Fed; fallacy of equality; how to make population more productive; why handouts don't work; Why Debt Ceiling hike is not a win for Democrats; Allow Capitalism to work. ------ 0:00 - Mrs. Roberts & Austin City Limits; The Fiscal Cliff vs Fiscal Reality 11:53 - Kids, College, & Senioritis; Why...

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How Will Higher Debt Ceiling Impact Markets?

2021-10-07

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(10/7/21) Will a lift in the Debt Ceiling provide a lift to Markets? Democrat hyperbole over crashing markets, debt defaults, and diving into depression was all just that: hyperbolic economic hypochondria: Those ills weren't going to happen. Markets did retest the major support of the last few days, and did rally back above the 100-DMA. This sets up the market for a rally to the 50-DMA as relief over the debt ceiling comes to fruition. Negative...

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The Market’s Rocktober Episode | The Real Investment Show (10/6/21): Market Analysis & Personal F…

2021-10-07

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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How Coming IRA Changes Could Affect Your Money | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 10/6/21

2021-10-06

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Congress WILL pass a new Debt Ceiling, so here's what Investors need to know in strategizing portfolio management; Significant IRA Changes are also coming, including new Roth rules; Lance's strategies for being his own banker you can use. ------ 0:00 - Debt Ceiling Strategies for Investors 9:37 - Changes Coming for IRA's 20:28 - How to Be Your Own Bank -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior...

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Markets’ Rocky Start to Q4 | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 10/6/21

2021-10-06

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(10/6/21) What does the Markets' rocky start to the month mean for your money? The good news is markets remain very over-sold, and volume has been evaporating as markets consolidate above support. The bad news is that volatility in the downtrend continues; more than 90% of S&P stocks have had a 10% correction. The ugly part is that a head & shoulders pattern is forming at the 200-DMA, and if we do break below the neck line at the 200-DMA,...

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Market Rebound Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 10/5/21

2021-10-05

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Markets are over-sold on a short-term basis; risk is a function of controlling outcomes; have we seen market highs for the year? Oil prices facing extremely cold winter; 'just in time' inventory management fails; good time to evaluate risk in portfolio. ------ 0:00 - Have We Seen Market Highs for the Year? 11:51 - The Fallacy of 'Just in Time' Inventory Management 22:52 - The Best Way to Manage Portfolio Risk -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors...

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Can Markets Rally, post-Manic Monday? | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 10/5/21

2021-10-05

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(10/5/21) Will markets rally following a manic Monday of selling? Money Flow Sell-signals triggered for a second time, with money flows remain negative. Much of the same angst demonstrated in March repeated yesterday as technology stocks sold off. We're watching the market test support from July's tops and bottoms; the rally needs to pick up traction and move higher, but resistance is building, and the bearish undertone in the market continues....

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The Great Bear Market Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 10/4/21

2021-10-04

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Why Members of Congress and other Financial Overseers should not be allowed to trade on their inside information; Solving the Debt Crisis with a single coin; dire circumstances of restaurants; Ill effects on Q-3 Earnings; risk strategies you need to know. ------ 0:00 - Who's Trading on Inside Information? 11:51 - Solving the Debt Crisis with a $1-Trillion coin 23:02 - Setting up for Poor Q-3 Reporting -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief...

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Where the Buys Are | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 10/4/21

2021-10-04

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(10/4/21) September's near-5% correction was treated by the mainstream media like the coming of Armageddon...not necessarily a Bear Market, and the bigger question might be, 'Is it over, yet?' Is it time to add equity exposure as we head into the seasonably-strong period of the year? Two things to watch: When MACD Signals turn to "Buy," which would support higher asset prices; markets ARE over-sold at this point. The bullish trend remains...

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Why Tax Rates Matter More than Tax Brackets | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 10/1/21

2021-10-01

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Inflation is affecting everything you do (or buy); Tax Rates vs Tax Brackets: calculating for "Provisional Income in Retirement;" to Roth or not to Roth? Programs we use to plan for You; Why Insurance is the wisest investment to make. ------ 0:00 - Why Tax Rates Matter More than Tax Brackets 11:40 - How We Do that Voodoo for You 22:30 - Life Insurance: The Greatest Investment EVER -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial...

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Market Response to Congressional Spending | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 9/30/21

2021-09-30

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Why San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's call for "equality" is not the outcome she thinks: Equality vs Equality of Opportunity have different results; Why a Government Default was never going to happen; Socialism vs Capitalism & Economics of Politics. ------ 0:00 - Equality vs Equality of Opportunity 11:50 -The Debt Ceiling Threat 23:24 - The Politics of Economics -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance...

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How to Play the Debt Dodging Game | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 9/30/21

2021-09-30

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(9/30/21) Markets are set to rally in anticipation of passage of a Continuing Resolution to avoid a government shut down (as if...) A spike in interest rates appears to have peaked. Look for lower yields over the next few weeks, as worry over making interest payments fades. We're adding bonds in anticipation of that opportunity. Markets are retesting bottom at 100-DMA, with good support, and looking for a rally back to the 50-DMA. The recent market...

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