Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses

2026-01-07

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2026-01-07

It's that time of year when every Wall Street analyst posts their forecast for where the S&P 500 will close at the end of 2026. This year, as in every other, Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to post positive returns. As shown below, Bank of America is the most cautious, with a 3% gain, … Continue reading »

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Minerals, Russia, China & Iran: More On Venezuela

2026-01-07

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2026-01-07

Yesterday’s Commentary discussed the potential impact of regime change in Venezuela on the energy sector. Today, we extend the analysis and examine other reasons for the invasion. The following theories are based on a Substack commentary from Tracy Shucart, an economist and resources trader. For starters, Tracy makes it clear that oil is not the …

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1-6-26 The Most Dangerous Risk Is The One No One Sees

2026-01-06

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Markets don’t crash on risks everyone is watching—they’re already priced in and hedged. In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains why the real danger is an unexpected shock that forces earnings lower and triggers a rapid repricing of valuations. 📺Full episode: -Z7mJI Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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1-6-26 Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning

2026-01-06

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More investors—especially Millennials and Gen Z—are treating markets like a casino. Not because they’re reckless, but because the traditional path to financial security feels broken. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning: why speculative behavior is rising, and what still works when confidence in long-term investing erodes. Options trading, crypto, meme assets, and betting apps offer fast outcomes...

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Tax-Efficient Investing Strategies

2026-01-06

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2026-01-06

Tax‑Efficient Investing: Keep More of What You Earn Growing wealth is only part of the story. Keeping it, especially after taxes, is where strategy makes the biggest difference. For high-net-worth investors, tax drag can be a persistent leak in performance, especially when taxable income and capital gains stack up inside the wrong accounts. Tax-efficient investing …

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Venezuela Leads Energy Stocks Out Of The Gate In 2026

2026-01-06

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2026-01-06

Venezuela holds 20% of the world's proven oil reserves. Not only are they the largest, but as shown in the Statista graphic below, they hold approximately seven times that of the United States. Despite its large reserves, Venezuela has fallen well short of its ability to supply the world. US sanctions and the significant deterioration …

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1-5-26 Don’t Just Bet on Upside — Prepare for Any Outcome

2026-01-05

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The outlook for 2026 hinges on how valuations and economic growth play out. In this Short video, I cover multiple $SPX year-end scenarios and explain why managing ranges matters more than betting on a single target. 📺Full episode: -Z7mJI Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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1-5-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum, Valuation Risks, and What Comes Next

2026-01-05

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Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025’s market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and...

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Precious Metals Aren’t Predicting Economic Collapse

2026-01-05

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2026-01-05

In 2025, the prices of precious metals rose sharply, with silver prices recently surging past $80 per ounce. Of course, when precious metals rise, there is always the same group of commentators (mostly paid newsletter writers and physical metal dealers) to declare that a financial breakdown is underway. Articles like those published on ZeroHedge by …

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Tesla EV Deliveries Continue to Lag Global Rivals

2026-01-05

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2026-01-05

Tesla EV deliveries totaled 1.64 million vehicles in 2025, leaving the company behind China’s BYD, which delivered more than 2.2 million EVs for the year. The result marks a second consecutive annual decline in Tesla EV deliveries, reinforcing the growing pressure on the company’s core automotive business. Fourth-quarter deliveries fell sharply year over year, underscoring …

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Market Outlook For 2026

2026-01-03

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2026-01-03

🔎 At a Glance 💬 Don't Miss Our Upcoming "Live & In Person" Summit Our 2026 Summit is a limited-seating event, so secure your tickets now before they sell out. Topics Include: I look forward to seeing you there. 🏛️ Market Brief - Strong Year-End Returns Lead to Bullish Market Outlooks Let's start this week … Continue reading...

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Nvidia’s Cash Strategy Reflects Regulatory Landscape

2026-01-02

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2026-01-02

Nvidia’s explosive growth has created a new challenge: how to deploy an unprecedented amount of cash in a world where scale itself has become a regulatory constraint. The chart below, from The Wall Street Journal, illustrates Nvidia’s massive free cash flow growth. However, traditional uses of its cash, such as large acquisitions, are increasingly difficult …

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Market Volatility Strategies For Investors

2026-01-01

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2026-01-01

Navigating Market Volatility: Strategies for Confident Investing Market volatility has a way of feeling personal. One week your investment portfolio looks steady; the next it’s down, headlines are loud, and every conversation sounds like a prediction. That emotional whiplash is normal. Panic selling is what turns temporary price volatility into permanent damage. For high-net-worth families …

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YTD Returns Highlight a Narrow Market

2025-12-31

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2025-12-31

YTD returns across major U.S. asset classes continue to reflect a highly concentrated market. The Finviz chart below does a nice job illustrating YTD returns across a wide array of futures contracts. Large-caps dominate YTD equity returns, while small- and mid-cap stocks lag amid tighter financial conditions and slower earnings growth. Outside of equities, YTD …

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12-30-25 What People Get Wrong About Inflation & Prices ️

2025-12-30

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Prices aren’t meant to fall in a healthy economy. Inflation is necessary for growth and rising wages, which is why the Fed targets 2%. In this short video, Tom Zizka and I discuss why falling prices usually signal recession—not relief—and once prices reset higher, they rarely return to old lows. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁share! ➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:...

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Electricity Prices Could Become a Structural Inflation Problem

2025-12-30

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2025-12-30

Most Americans are paying higher electricity prices, and the pressure is unlikely to ease anytime soon. According to the Wall Street Journal, electricity prices have risen meaningfully across much of the country since 2022, and the drivers extend well beyond the frequently cited surge in data-center demand. While electricity prices had historically tracked inflation, that …

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Financial Planning For Retirement In Your 50s

2025-12-30

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2025-12-30

Financial Planning in Your 50s: Building a Secure Retirement Your 50s can feel like a financial crossroads. Earnings are often strong, responsibilities are real, and time starts acting a little less patient. College may be on the horizon (or underway). Aging parents might need support. Work is busy, life is full, and retirement is no …

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12-29-25 The Hidden Logic Behind Dollar Weakness

2025-12-29

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The U.S. doesn’t want a permanently strong dollar because it would choke the global economy and destabilize trade. In this short video, Brent Johnson and I discuss why the U.S. has historically managed the dollar to stay range-bound and how dollar strength or weakness shapes global liquidity and growth. 📺Full interview: -SDg Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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The Market Risk In 2026 If Growth Projections Fail

2025-12-29

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2025-12-29

There is a rising market risk in 2026 that is largely overlooked as we wrap up this year. As discussed in the "Fed's Soft Landing Narrative," optimism about 2026 is running high. Currently, investors are pricing in strong economic growth, robust earnings, and a smooth path of disinflation. Notably, Wall Street estimates suggest a significant …

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The Consumption Conundrum

2025-12-29

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2025-12-29

GDP, released on Tuesday, showed that the economy grew by a larger-than-expected 4.3%. Powering the strong economic growth was personal consumption, which rose by 3.5%. Consumers are spending!. What's unusual about that statement is that consumer sentiment remains historically weak. Typically, there is a strong correlation between personal consumption and consumer sentiment. As we share …

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