by Lance Roberts
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| In this short video, Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz discuss $WMT and that it is trading at valuations not seen since 1999. Staples are no longer “cheap defensive value.” They have become expensive. Walmart is trading at roughly 48x forward earnings—valuation levels typically associated with high-growth tech companies expanding 20%+ annually. Yet, its growth rate is closer to 4–5%. The bigger risk in this market isn’t AI or geopolitics — it’s overpaying for slow growth. When investors overpay for modest growth, future returns are compressed. Valuations still matter. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Is Japan In A Death Spiral?: A Contrarian Take
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12-8-25 Bullish Case or Bearish Backdrop? The Real Market Setup for 2026
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Lance Roberts looks at both sides of the Market Cycle—the bullish liquidity-driven momentum and the bearish fundamental weaknesses. With support and resistance levels tightening around the S&P 500, and the Fed meeting, economic data, and major earnings directly ahead, investors must prepare for a market that could swing in either direction in 2026.
0:00 – INTRO
0:18 – Markets Set up for Santa Claus Rally
5:30 – Expect Sloppy Trading This Week
11:22 – Economic Summit, Elf on a Shelf, & Baylor Dating
14:42 – Market Outlook for 2026
16:36 – The Case for Bullishness
21:29: The Bullish Backdrop
24:13 – The Case for Bearishness
27:52 – Stress in Credit markets
28:36 – The Risk for Lower Returns
29:59 – Investing Strategies for 2026
35:06 – Cash Provides Optionality
38:16 – The Cost of
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