Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Bitcoin compresses below key resistance. Looking for a move away from consolidation soon

2026-02-17

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Sellers hold control as “Three’s a Crowd” signals a potential trend move ahead. Be aware

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USDJPY Technicals: The buyers are looking to take more control in the short term

2026-02-17

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The USDJPY buyers need to get and stay above the 153.73 level to break out of the 4 day trading range. Sellers had their shot below the recent trend line earlier today.

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EURUSD Technicals: EURUSD sellers defend key retracement levels

2026-02-17

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Failure at the 50% midpoint keeps price below the 100- and 200-hour MAs, shifting focus toward the 1.1765–1.1778 support zone

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UK Unemployment Rises and Private Pay Increases Slow to Five-Year Lows, Pulling Sterling Lower

2026-02-17

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2026-02-17

The US dollar is mixed against the G10 currencies. A healthy reception to Japan’s five-year bond auction helped extend the rally in JGBs, and despite the lower yields, the yen’s roughly 0.25% advance puts it atop the G10 performer today. Ahead of what is expected to be a hawkish hold by the Reserve Bank of …

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Japanese Data Disappoint and Sends Yen Lower, While the Greenback Consolidates more Broadly

2026-02-16

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2026-02-16

In subdued foreign exchange turnover, the dollar enjoys a firmer bias against most G10 currencies amid on broadly consolidative tone. The US markets are closed for President’s Day, while Chinese markets are closed for the week to celebrate the Lunar New Year. Disappointing Japanese data, including Q4 GDP and December industrial output weighed on the …

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Week Ahead: SCOTUS Decision on Tariffs? 8 Fed Officials Speak as the Market Discounts almost 65 bp of Cuts this Year

2026-02-14

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2026-02-14

Last week began with the LDP's stunning victory in Japan. However, rather than sell-off as the market expected, the yen and JGBs rallied. It appears that the yen's use as a levered funding leg for carry trades had already been adjusted. At the start of the week, reports circulated that Chinese officials were encouraging local …

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The Dollar is Firm Ahead of January CPI

2026-02-13

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2026-02-13

The US dollar is firm against the G10 currencies ahead of the US January CPI. The week began with news that Chinese officials were encouraging de-risking from US Treasuries. Helped by stronger than expected January employment data, the greenback pared its losses. Separately, and counter-intuitively, the Japanese yen and Japanese bonds have rallied in the …

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Consolidation Featured after Yesterday’s Big FX Moves

2026-02-12

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2026-02-12

The general tone in the foreign exchange market is one of consolidation after yesterday’s stronger than expected January jobs data injected volatility into dollar trading. The news stream is light and tomorrow the US reports January CPI. Japan’s markets re-opened after yesterday’s holiday and extended the yen’s recovery marginally and the JGB rally. As JPY152 …

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JP Morgan rebound scenario | trade of the week | 10.02.2026

2026-02-12

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JP Morgan stock could be setting up for a continuation move higher as sector rotation and strong investment banking dynamics come back into focus. In this week’s Trade of the Week, we briefly review last week’s crude oil idea before turning attention to JPMorgan. The stock has bounced from key support, crossed the 20-day moving average, and is moving toward the upper boundary of its price formation, with a potential target around the $350 level....

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US Jobs Data Due while the Confrontation with Iran is Approaching a Climax

2026-02-11

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2026-02-11

The US dollar is softer against all the G10 currencies. The powerful short squeeze continues to lift the yen, though Japan was on holiday today. Defying expectations, the yen, and Japanese bonds have rallied since the LDP’s sweeping electoral victory. The combination of a stronger yen and lower yields may look like a classic sell …

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Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday’s Shellacking

2026-02-10

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2026-02-10

After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended through the local session and the European morning. The very long-end of the Japanese yield curve also extended its counter-intuitive rally, with the 30- and …

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Dramatic Victory for Takaichi, Beijing Cautions on US Treasuries, and Starmer’s Woes Persist

2026-02-09

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2026-02-09

There are three important developments. First, Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi led the LDP to a landslide victory that secured a 2/3 “super majority” that is understood as a powerful mandate and provides an opportunity to change the constitution.  While JGBs were sold and Japanese equities bought, after some initial volatility, as many anticipated, the yen …

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis After Last Friday’s Big Rebound

2026-02-09

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Bitcoin price prediction and technical analysis after a sharp rebound. Key support zones, downside risk levels, and the upside magnet traders are watching next. This breaks down where buyers may defend and what would invalidate the rebound. Educational market analysis only. Not financial advice. Follow real-time trade ideas and updates: https://t.me/investingLiveStocks

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Week Ahead: Does the Dollar’s Upside Correction have more Room to Run?

2026-02-07

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2026-02-07

The US dollar rose against the G10 currencies last week but the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Without much in the way of new supportive developments, we frame its gains primarily in technical terms after the dramatic sell-off the appears to have been spurred by the bellicose nature of the US attitude toward Greenland. The …

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After Extending Its Gains, the Greenback Softens

2026-02-06

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2026-02-06

The US dollar is seeing this week’s gains pared against most of the G10 currencies today. The Australian dollar has recovered from a two-week low set earlier today and is the only G10 currency that has gained on the greenback this week. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates earlier this week and the market …

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ECB and BOE to Stand Pat, while USD is mostly Firmer

2026-02-05

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2026-02-05

The US dollar is enjoying a firmer tone today against most of the G10 currencies. The consolidative/corrective tone continues. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England meeting outcomes are awaited. Neither central bank will do anything, giving the commentary extra sway.  The bar to another ECB rate cut seems high, though headline inflation …

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Trading oil’s bounce | trade of the week | 14.01.2026

2026-02-05

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Crude oil could continue to retest recent highs and possibly break through, depending on developing fundamentals. Explore Exness's trading conditions on our website: https://bit.ly/Exness-homepage-mo Trading oil so far this year has been dominated by higher volatility and an ongoing overall bounce. OPEC+ has recently held supply and seems likely to continue doing so amid relatively low demand, but ongoing talks between Iran and the USA could...

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Sunday’s Election Prospects Weigh on the Yen

2026-02-04

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2026-02-04

The dollar enjoys a broadly firmer today, but it is mostly consolidating. The Japanese yen is a notable exception. The greenback reached JPY156.85, its best level since January 23 and does not look as if it has peaked. Sunday’s election is around the corner and polls show Prime Minister Takaichi leading the LDP to a … Continue...

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Reserve Bank of Australia Hikes Rates and Sees Another this Year

2026-02-03

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2026-02-03

The sense of anxiety that hung over the capital markets eased today. Equity markets are higher and the meltdown in gold and silver brought in new buying. The US dollar is mostly a little softer, but its upside correction does not appear over. Most emerging market currencies are firmer today, led by the unlikely Indian …

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Why Beginner Traders Start With Forex Trading

2026-02-03

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Forex trading is often described in complicated terms, but at its core, it’s simply the global market where currencies are exchanged. In this video, we explain: • What forex trading is • How the 24-hour market works • Why beginners are often drawn to the forex market 👉 Read the full beginner’s guide here: https://investinglive.com/Education/what-is-forex-trading-a-beginners-guide-20251217/ This video is part of our trading education series,...

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