Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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What’s this crazy movement in EUR/CHF ? SNB Floor Hike ?

2012-09-10

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2012-09-10

SNB Reserves vs. EURCHF
  On Friday there was a big movement in the EUR/CHF. First it went up to 1.2154,  fell later down to 1.2080 in the main American trading and rose again to 1.21 in the low-volume trading time. We repeat our entry from Friday, because we continuously updated the post after new developments, e.g. after the … Continue reading »

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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Outlook, Global Markets Ahead of Eventful Week September 3rd

2012-09-03

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2012-09-03

FM TN G3D Chess1
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com   The week ahead kicks off what we expect to be a period of intense event risk. The combination of positioning, judging from the futures market and anecdotal reports, and the low implied volatility in currencies and equity markets warn of heightened risk in the period ahead. The week begins …

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FX Technical Outlook, Net Speculative Positions, Global Markets, week August 27

2012-08-27

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2012-08-27

risk
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com   There are two main drivers behind the price action in the foreign exchange market and they will likely persist in the days ahead.  First, there continues to be position adjustment ahead of the what promises to be eventful few weeks.  Second, the release of the minutes from the August 1 …

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Net Speculative Positions , Global Markets and Outlook, week from August 20

2012-08-19

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2012-08-19

Economist Markets by Aug15, 2012
Currency Positioning and Outlook, week from August 20 Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The market is like expectant parents who don’t know the gender of the fetus.   They know something big is around the corner, but they don’t have enough information to make some important decisions.  They can contemplate the future, but there …

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Net Speculative Positions and Outlook, week of August 13

2012-08-13

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2012-08-13

Chess 2
Currency Positioning and Outlook, week of August 13 Submitted by Marc Chandler from MarctoMarkets.com   Market positioning in the week ending August 10 suggests that speculators in the futures market generally agree with our assessment that ECB President Draghi’s recent proposal was not a game changer.  The recent pattern continued.  Essentially what this entails is buying …

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Net Speculative Positions and Technical Analysis,week from August 6

2012-08-06

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2012-08-06

Three player chess
Currency Positioning and Technical Analysis, week from August6 Submitted by Marc Chandler from MarctoMarkets.com The overall technical tone of the US dollar is suspect. During the last few months, it has been trending lower against the dollar-bloc currencies, Canadian and Australian dollars and the Mexican peso.  The greenback has trended higher against the euro and Swiss …

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Currency Outlook and Net Speculative Positions: Week from July 16

2012-07-16

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2012-07-16

chess
Currency Outlook and Positioning: Week from July 16 Guest Post from Marc Chandler

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Chandler Says Keep the U.S. Dollar’s Fall in Perspective: Video

2012-03-23

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Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Carol Massar about the outlook for the U.S. dollar, historical market comparisons and government currency policy. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Chandler Says Dubai Debt May Make Banks More Cautious: Video

2012-03-23

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Nov. 30 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Lori Rothman and Mark Crumpton about Dubai World’s debt crisis. Dubais government said Nov. 25 that Dubai World, the state-controlled holding company, would seek a standstill agreement with creditors and an extension of loan maturities …

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Chandler Sees Need to Establish European Bond Market: Video

2012-03-23

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Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, New York-based global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Deirdre Bolton and Scarlet Fu about the need for European governments to establish an interconnected bond market. Chandler also discusses the lack of details in the recovery plan for Greece. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Brown Brothers’ Chandler Says Euro May Fall to $1.18: Video

2012-03-23

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May 5 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York, talks with Bloomberg’s Susan Li about Greece’s debt crisis and its implications for other European economies and the euro. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Brown Brothers’ Chandler Says Euro May Weaken to $1.18

2012-03-23

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Jan. 14 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks with Bloomberg’s Lucy Meakin about the outlook for the euro. They spoke in London on Jan. 12. (Excerpts. Source: Bloomberg)

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Chandler Says Euro May Rise to $1.47 on ECB Rate Bets

2012-03-23

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March 24 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., and Gerard Lyons, chief economist at Standard Chartered Bank, discuss the European debt crisis and the outlook for the euro. They speak with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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5) FX Theory

Breakdown of global GDP growth1
Content : What Determines FX Rates? Purchasing Power Parity, Real Effective Exchange Rate, Balance of Payments Model, (Reverse) Carry Trade, Asset Market Model, Real Mean Reversion, lots more

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Written in February 2012: Will the EUR/CHF never rise over 1.22 or 1.23 again?

Our analysis from February 2012 shows astonishing accurateness: It predicted that the euro would not rise against CHF and that the commodity currencies were overvalued and subject to correction. Basic foreign exchange theory, the SNB price stability mandate and strong fundamentals for Switzerland and bad ones for the peripheral countries of the euro zone speak for the thesis that the EUR/CHF exchange rate might never go over the level of around...

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Marc Chandler on the Outlook for the Dollar, Euro and Yen in 2012

2012-01-11

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Watch more Capital Account @ http://www.youtube.com/CapitalAccount Tweets by LaurenLyster Tweets by CoveringDelta Mitt Romney wins the new hampshire primaries — he is the biggest recipient of money from Wall Street so far this election cycle. Maybe Obama is trying to catch up though? He heads to a Chicago fundraiser at the home of a former …

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Marc Chandler Says There’s No ‘Race To Debase’ The Dollar

2011-12-16

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Chief currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman discusses the current foreign exchange scenario.

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Chandler Says U.S. Infrastructure Bank Would Create Jobs

2011-08-23

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Aug. 23 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks about the outlook for global currencies, the U.S. economy and Federal Reserve policy. Chandler speaks with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Marc Chandler Calls Greece `Dress Rehearsal’ for Ireland

2011-06-24

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June 24 (Bloomberg) — Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks about the handling of the Greek debt crisis and the performance of the euro and U.S. dollar. Chandler speaks with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance Midday.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Currency Wars: Marc Chandler – Kitco News

2011-02-21

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Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, sat down with Terry Wooten, Editor in Chief of Kitco News, to discuss the current U.S. trade balance and the possibility of a “currency war” (October 19, 2010). Join the discussion @ the Kitco Forums – http://www.kitcomm.com Follow us on twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/kitconewsnow Connect …

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