Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Nasdaq Index Technical Analysis created on 17 June 2022

2022-06-17

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Analyzing and charting the Nasdax Index on the monthly chart. Created on 17 June and relevant for June and July 2022.

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Is a 0.3% Miss on Headline CPI Really Worth a 77 bp Rise in the December Fed Funds Yield?

2022-06-15

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2022-06-15

Overview: Better than expected Chinese data and an unscheduled ECB meeting are the highlights ahead of the North American session that features the May US retail sales report and other high frequency data before the outcome of the FOMC meeting.

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What to expect from the FOMC and where to watch for a market turn

2022-06-14

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Wednesday's FOMC decision will be a major market mover and could deepen the wounds in financial markets but there's also reason to think that much of the worst is priced in. The US dollar has been extraordinarily strong and is near multi-decade highs on a number of fronts. Could that turn on the FOMC decision? LET'S CONNECT! Facebook ► http://facebook.com/forexlive Twitter ► https://twitter.com/ForexLive Homepage ► http://www.forexlive.com/

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Prospects of Aggressive Tightening Sends Shock Waves through the Capital Markets

2022-06-14

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2022-06-14

Overview: The markets' evolving expectations of a more aggressive monetary policy is not limited to the Federal Reserve, where the terminal rate is now straddling the 4% area, around 100 bp above late May levels.

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Dollar Jumps, Stocks and Bonds Slide

2022-06-13

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2022-06-13

The prospect of a more aggressive Federal Reserve policy has spurred a sharp sell-off in global equities and bonds and sent the dollar sharply higher. The large Asia Pacific bourses were off mostly 2%-4%.

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Greenback Poised to Challenge May Highs

2022-06-13

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2022-06-13

The firmer than expected US CPI did not change expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike the Fed funds target by 50 bp on June 15. What it did was boost the chances that the 50 bp steps will continue through at least November.

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Fed 50, BOE 25, and the BOJ to Stand Pat: Week Ahead

2022-06-11

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2022-06-11

Three G7 central banks meet in the coming days, and they dominate the macro stage. The Federal Reserve's meeting concludes on Wednesday, the Bank of England on Thursday, and the Bank of Japan on Friday.

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Over to the ECB

2022-06-09

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2022-06-09

Overview: Equity markets in Asia Pacific and Europe are weaker.  The main exception in Asia Pacific was India, where the market rose by about 0.75%. 

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The Greenback Bounces Back

2022-06-08

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2022-06-08

Overview: After modest US equity gains yesterday, the weaker yen and Beijing’s approval of 60 new video games helped lift most of the large markets in the Asia Pacific region.

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Reserve Bank of Australia Surprises, but Aussie Struggles

2022-06-07

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2022-06-07

Overview: The jump in US interest rates helped lift the greenback to new 20-year highs against the Japanese yen and pushed the euro back below $1.07. US equities saw initially strong gains pared and this set the tone for today’s activity.

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Greenback Looks Poised for Additional Gains

2022-06-05

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2022-06-05

The divergent performances make it challenging to talk about the G10 currencies last week. The Canadian dollar led the advancing major currencies with a 1.2% gain last week.

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Moderating Labor Market is what the Fed Wants

2022-06-03

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2022-06-03

Overview: For the large rally in US stocks yesterday and the sell-off in the dollar, US rates were surprisingly little changed. This set the tone for today's action, ahead of the US employment data. Asia Pacific equities moved higher and Europe’s Stoxx 600 has edged up to extend yesterday’s rise. The 10-year US Treasury yield is little changed, hovering around 2.91%. European benchmark yields are 1-3 bp higher.

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Dollar Gains Pared

2022-06-02

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2022-06-02

Asia Pacific equities were mostly lower.  China and India bucked the trend.  Europe’s Stoxx 600 is steady with no follow through selling after yesterday reversal. US index futures are posting modest gains and are trying to snap a two-day drop. 

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Bank of Canada’s Turn

2022-06-01

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2022-06-01

Overview: The recent equity rally is stalling. Asia Pacific equities were mixed, with Japan, South Korea, and Australia, among the major bourses posting gains. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 500 is slipping lower for the second consecutive session, ending a four-day bounce. US equity futures are little changed.

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Bank of Canada faces a tough test

2022-05-30

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Adam Button from Forexlive joins BNN to discuss the June 2 Bank of Canada decision and the outlook for the Canadian dollar. The loonie is trading at a one-month high but housing will be a headwind in the months ahead. On the flipside, the relentless rally in oil led to a 14-year high in the current account surplus in Q1, with more to come.

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Macro and Prices: Sentiment Swings Between Inflation and Recession

2022-05-14

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2022-05-14

(On vacation for the rest of the month.  Going to Portugal.  Commentary will resume on June 1.   Good luck to us all.) The market is a fickle mistress. The major central banks were judged to be behind the inflation curve.

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Sentiment Remains Fragile, and the Euro and Sterling can barely Sustain even Modest Upticks

2022-05-13

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2022-05-13

Equities are recovering from dramatic losses.  Today, the Nikkei, Hang Seng, and Kospi surged by more than 2%. 

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Dollar and Yen Surge

2022-05-12

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2022-05-12

Overview: Global equities are bleeding lower. Several large markets in the Asia Pacific region, including Hong Kong, Taiwan, and India are off more than 2%. Japan and Australian bourses fell by more than 1.5%.

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Greenback Softens Ahead of CPI

2022-05-11

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2022-05-11

Overview: It appears that investors have become more concerned about growth prospects and less about inflation in recent days. The US 10-year yield that had flirted with 3.20% at the start of the week is now around 2.93%.

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No Rest for the Weary

2022-05-10

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2022-05-10

Overview: Risk appetites are improving on the margin. Asia Pacific stocks still fell after the sharp losses on Wall Street on Monday. Still, China, Taiwan and Indian equities traded higher. Europe's Stoxx 600 is snapping a four-day 6.5%+ slide and is up around 1.2% in late European morning turnover.

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