Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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AUDUSD stays above key MA support level. What is giving the pair a boost?

2022-08-12

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The AUDUSD moved above the 100 day MA on Wednesday for the first time since June 8th, but the momentum could not be sustained. Yesterday, the price move back above the moving average level and has been able to stay above despite a dip back lower today. The low prices today tested the 100 day moving average on 2 separate occasions, and each found support buyers. Traders are leaning. See why in this video.

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The USD is moving higher in US trading. What are the key drivers in the FX markets today?

2022-08-12

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In today's morning video, I look at the EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, NZDUSD and USDCHF and explain the trading bias, the risk, targets and levels in play. The EURUSD is heading back into the trading range after the break higher this week shows signs of failing. The USDJPY is back up testing its 100 and 200 hour MA. Key barometer going forward. The GBPUSD is below its converges 100/200 hour MAs tiling the bias back to the downside. The NZDUSD is...

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Heading into the Weekend, Dollar’s Downside Momentum Stalls

2022-08-12

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2022-08-12

Overview: The markets are putting the finishing touches on this week’s activity. Japan, returning from yesterday’s holiday bought equities, and its major indices jumped more than 2%. China, South Korea, and Australia struggled. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is firmer for the third consecutive session. It is up about 1.3% this week. US futures are also firmer after reversing earlier gains yesterday to close lower on the day. The US 10-year yield is flat near...

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US Dollar Soft while Consolidating Yesterday’s Drop

2022-08-11

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2022-08-11

Overview: The US dollar is consolidating yesterday’s losses but is still trading with a heavier bias against the major currencies and most emerging market currencies. The US 10-year yield is soft below 2.77%, while European yields are mostly 2-4 bp higher.

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Bitcoin can’t work it’s way above all the key upside targets

2022-08-11

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The price of bitcoin traded higher again today, but has stalled the run to the upside ahead of other key targets including the 50% retracement of the recent move lower and the key 100 day MA. As a result, the crypto winter thaw is still in jeopardy.

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USDCAD falls below the 50% and 200 day MA

2022-08-11

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The sellers are making a play on the break of the 50% and 200 day MA in the USDCAD in early NA session trading.

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VIDEO:The USD is keeping a negative bias after PPI data.What technical levels are in play?

2022-08-11

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The US PPI came in lower than expected which is helping to keep the USD down. In the morning video, I take a look at the 3 major pairs vs the USD (EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD) and outline the bias, the risk and the targets for each.   Good fortune with your trading.

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Bitcoin runs higher with risk on sentiment. What are the upside hurdles that lie ahead?

2022-08-10

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A technical look at Bitcoin after a run higher today off the back of lower CPI and risk on sentiment.

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Is it All Really about Today’s US CPI Print?

2022-08-10

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2022-08-10

Overview: The US dollar is trading with a heavier bias ahead of the July CPI report. The intraday momentum indicators are overextended, and this could set the stage for the dollar to recover in North America.

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US Dollar Offered but Stretched Intraday

2022-08-09

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2022-08-09

The US dollar is trading heavily against all the major currencies, led by the Norwegian krone and euro. Emerging market currencies are also firmer. However, risk-appetites seem subdued. Even though most large bourses in Asia Pacific advanced but Japan and Hong Kong, European markets are nursing small losses and US futures are little changed. 

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Dog Days

2022-08-08

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2022-08-08

The dog days of August for the Northern Hemisphere are here and the capital markets are relatively subdued. Equities are firmer. The notable exceptions in Asia was China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has advanced for the last three weeks.

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Inflation

2022-08-06

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2022-08-06

(Traveling and unable to provide a technical overview this week.) Rising price pressures, stronger and more persistent than generally expected, has been the main challenge for consumers, businesses, and policymakers. It will stay top of mind in the week ahead as both the world's two largest economies, the US and China, report July consumer and producer prices.  During the Great Depression, the central governments discovered their balance sheets,...

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Downside Risks to the US Employment Report?

2022-08-05

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2022-08-05

Overview: The US dollar enjoys a firmer bias against the major currencies ahead of the July employment data. Emerging market currencies are mixed. Asian currencies are generally firm while central Europe is a bit softer. Some detect a relaxation in tensions around Taiwan, though China’s aerial harassment continues. Taiwanese shares jumped 2.25% to lead the region that saw China’s CSI 300 rally over 1%. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is giving back yesterday’s...

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Bitcoin technical analysis 05 Aug 2022

2022-08-05

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BTCUSD is in the middel of the presented regression channel and traders seem to be waiting for the next move. See also Bitcoin traders are battling it out in the short term. Find out why in this video. https://www.forexlive.com/Cryptocurrency/bitcin-traders-are-battling-it-out-in-the-short-term-20220804/ ETHUSD technical analysis @ 1663.27 on 05 Aug. Will the bull flag be broken to the upside? -frxYQ

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Russell futures technical analysis for 05 Aug 2022

2022-08-05

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Major US indices open mixed. NASDAQ up. S&P near unchanged Dow industrial average marginally lower. https://www.forexlive.com/news/major-us-indices-open-mixed-nasdaq-up-sp-near-unchanged-20220804/ Russell 2000 broke up the bull flag and showing some resting, probably temporarily.

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Nasdaq futures technical analysis 05 Aug 2022

2022-08-05

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Also see Nasdaq related news at Forexlive as USD slides, oil falls to the worst since Feb 2 https://www.forexlive.com/news/forexlive-americas-fx-news-wrap-usd-slides-oil-falls-to-the-worst-since-feb-2-20220804/ Other technical analysis from ForexLive https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis

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ETHUSD technical analysis @ 1663.27 on 05 Aug. Will the bull flag be broken to the upside?

2022-08-05

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Etheruem technical analysis follow up to https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/profitable-ethereum-short-position-ethusd-technical-analysis-snapshot-20220802/ And previously to the trade idea provided in the 1st technical analysis for ETHUSD on https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/ethereum-technical-analysis-20220731/

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Bitcoin traders are battling it out in the short term

2022-08-04

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The price of bitcoin has been consolidating near low levels and maintains a negative bias on the daily chart. However, there is some ambiguity from a short term perspective for the pair. In this video, I breakdown the battle that is going on and explain the risks and bias from a technical perspective..

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The morning technical review fore August 4 of the major currencies. GBP falls. EURUSD stays confined

2022-08-04

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The USDJPY finds sellers near the 200 hour MA and USDCHF cracks back below the 100 day MA and tests 200 hour MA below

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Over to the BOE

2022-08-04

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2022-08-04

Overview: Strong gains in US equities yesterday and easing fears following Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan helped lift most Asia Pacific equities, with Hong Kong leading the way with a 2% rally. Taiwan, Australia, and India did not participate in the regional rally. The Stoxx 600 is edging higher today. It was flat on the week through yesterday. US futures are a little firmer. The greenback is offered against the major currencies led the Antipodeans. The...

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