Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Week Ahead: SCOTUS Decision on Tariffs? 8 Fed Officials Speak as the Market Discounts almost 65 bp of Cuts this Year

2026-02-14

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2026-02-14

Last week began with the LDP's stunning victory in Japan. However, rather than sell-off as the market expected, the yen and JGBs rallied. It appears that the yen's use as a levered funding leg for carry trades had already been adjusted. At the start of the week, reports circulated that Chinese officials were encouraging local …

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The Dollar is Firm Ahead of January CPI

2026-02-13

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2026-02-13

The US dollar is firm against the G10 currencies ahead of the US January CPI. The week began with news that Chinese officials were encouraging de-risking from US Treasuries. Helped by stronger than expected January employment data, the greenback pared its losses. Separately, and counter-intuitively, the Japanese yen and Japanese bonds have rallied in the …

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Consolidation Featured after Yesterday’s Big FX Moves

2026-02-12

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2026-02-12

The general tone in the foreign exchange market is one of consolidation after yesterday’s stronger than expected January jobs data injected volatility into dollar trading. The news stream is light and tomorrow the US reports January CPI. Japan’s markets re-opened after yesterday’s holiday and extended the yen’s recovery marginally and the JGB rally. As JPY152 …

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JP Morgan rebound scenario | trade of the week | 10.02.2026

2026-02-12

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JP Morgan stock could be setting up for a continuation move higher as sector rotation and strong investment banking dynamics come back into focus. In this week’s Trade of the Week, we briefly review last week’s crude oil idea before turning attention to JPMorgan. The stock has bounced from key support, crossed the 20-day moving average, and is moving toward the upper boundary of its price formation, with a potential target around the $350 level....

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US Jobs Data Due while the Confrontation with Iran is Approaching a Climax

2026-02-11

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2026-02-11

The US dollar is softer against all the G10 currencies. The powerful short squeeze continues to lift the yen, though Japan was on holiday today. Defying expectations, the yen, and Japanese bonds have rallied since the LDP’s sweeping electoral victory. The combination of a stronger yen and lower yields may look like a classic sell …

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Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday’s Shellacking

2026-02-10

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2026-02-10

After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended through the local session and the European morning. The very long-end of the Japanese yield curve also extended its counter-intuitive rally, with the 30- and …

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Dramatic Victory for Takaichi, Beijing Cautions on US Treasuries, and Starmer’s Woes Persist

2026-02-09

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2026-02-09

There are three important developments. First, Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi led the LDP to a landslide victory that secured a 2/3 “super majority” that is understood as a powerful mandate and provides an opportunity to change the constitution.  While JGBs were sold and Japanese equities bought, after some initial volatility, as many anticipated, the yen …

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis After Last Friday’s Big Rebound

2026-02-09

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Bitcoin price prediction and technical analysis after a sharp rebound. Key support zones, downside risk levels, and the upside magnet traders are watching next. This breaks down where buyers may defend and what would invalidate the rebound. Educational market analysis only. Not financial advice. Follow real-time trade ideas and updates: https://t.me/investingLiveStocks

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Week Ahead: Does the Dollar’s Upside Correction have more Room to Run?

2026-02-07

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2026-02-07

The US dollar rose against the G10 currencies last week but the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Without much in the way of new supportive developments, we frame its gains primarily in technical terms after the dramatic sell-off the appears to have been spurred by the bellicose nature of the US attitude toward Greenland. The …

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After Extending Its Gains, the Greenback Softens

2026-02-06

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2026-02-06

The US dollar is seeing this week’s gains pared against most of the G10 currencies today. The Australian dollar has recovered from a two-week low set earlier today and is the only G10 currency that has gained on the greenback this week. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates earlier this week and the market …

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ECB and BOE to Stand Pat, while USD is mostly Firmer

2026-02-05

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2026-02-05

The US dollar is enjoying a firmer tone today against most of the G10 currencies. The consolidative/corrective tone continues. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England meeting outcomes are awaited. Neither central bank will do anything, giving the commentary extra sway.  The bar to another ECB rate cut seems high, though headline inflation …

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Trading oil’s bounce | trade of the week | 14.01.2026

2026-02-05

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Crude oil could continue to retest recent highs and possibly break through, depending on developing fundamentals. Explore Exness's trading conditions on our website: https://bit.ly/Exness-homepage-mo Trading oil so far this year has been dominated by higher volatility and an ongoing overall bounce. OPEC+ has recently held supply and seems likely to continue doing so amid relatively low demand, but ongoing talks between Iran and the USA could...

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Sunday’s Election Prospects Weigh on the Yen

2026-02-04

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2026-02-04

The dollar enjoys a broadly firmer today, but it is mostly consolidating. The Japanese yen is a notable exception. The greenback reached JPY156.85, its best level since January 23 and does not look as if it has peaked. Sunday’s election is around the corner and polls show Prime Minister Takaichi leading the LDP to a … Continue...

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Reserve Bank of Australia Hikes Rates and Sees Another this Year

2026-02-03

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2026-02-03

The sense of anxiety that hung over the capital markets eased today. Equity markets are higher and the meltdown in gold and silver brought in new buying. The US dollar is mostly a little softer, but its upside correction does not appear over. Most emerging market currencies are firmer today, led by the unlikely Indian …

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Why Beginner Traders Start With Forex Trading

2026-02-03

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Forex trading is often described in complicated terms, but at its core, it’s simply the global market where currencies are exchanged. In this video, we explain: • What forex trading is • How the 24-hour market works • Why beginners are often drawn to the forex market 👉 Read the full beginner’s guide here: https://investinglive.com/Education/what-is-forex-trading-a-beginners-guide-20251217/ This video is part of our trading education series,...

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Monday Blues: Precious Metals are Less Precious

2026-02-02

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2026-02-02

The dollar begins the new week and new month in a mixed fashion. There have been some follow-through gains after the pre-weekend jump, but a consolidative tone has emerged. The greenback is holding on to gains against the Canadian dollar, Norwegian krone, and Swiss franc. It is nearly flat against the yen. Emerging market currencies …

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Has the bull market in gold ended? History suggests yes

2026-02-02

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#gold #xauusd #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for Gold. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Overview 1:35 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries 2:45 Upcoming Catalysts...

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Nasdaq Technical Analysis for Today and This Week

2026-02-02

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Crypto is still bearish. Nasdaq declines in Asian session and partially rebounding in the European session. What's next? Video walkthrough: Key Nasdaq futures levels and why they matter In today’s video update, Itai Levitan walks through the Nasdaq futures structure using higher-timeframe reference points to explain why short-term rebounds still need to be treated with caution. The analysis starts with a major pivot low from late December, which...

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February 2026 Monthly

2026-01-31

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2026-01-31

The revival of the Roosevelt Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine under President Trump's "Donroe Doctrine" marks a turning point in U.S. foreign policy. Washington reportedly carried out hundreds of airstrikes across seven countries in 2025, from Yemen to Nigeria. The new year began with the forcible removal of Venezuela's strongman Maduro and threatening to take …

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Dollar Stalls after Bouncing on Speculation Warsh to Get Nod for Fed’s Helm

2026-01-30

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2026-01-30

The market reacted dramatically to media reports that Kevin Warsh will be nominated today to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Powell at the held of the US central bank. On one hand, Warsh is perceived to be a hawk, but on the other hand, there is little doubt that the Trump administration seeks lower interest rates. …

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