5-13-24 Bounce Back Ends April Correction
2024-05-13
Markets’ bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers’ creativity for accessing funds they shouldn’t be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What’s moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better
Insights on Improving Financial Conditions and Future Benefits
2024-05-10
Positive news on Social Security funds as the negative balance shrank. Benefits could be cut by 20-23%, but raising retirement age and removing the cap may help. #SocialSecurity #RetirementAge #positivenews
In this important discussion, we dive into the current state of financial funds and the outlook for Social Security. They explore potential reforms and the realistic impacts of these changes on benefits.
– Evaluation of the recent shrinkage in the negative actuarial balance of combined funds.
– The potential crisis in fund sustainability and its postponed timeline.
– Estimated reduction in benefits during a potential crisis, with figures ranging between 20% and 23%.
– The effect of various reports and analyses from different tax groups and agencies on these numbers.
– Proposed
5-9-24 Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett’s Logic
2024-05-09
Todd Combs, a member of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio management team, is responsible for bringing Apple to Warren Buffett’s attention. However, not all credit goes to Combs. Buffett presented Combs with a challenge that ultimately highlighted Apple’s value proposition. With this same challenge, we will take a stab at finding the next Apple.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
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Lance Roberts Discusses Why Unexpected Recessions Happen
2024-05-07
From 100% expectations of a recession to now nobody expecting one. Will this mindset shift set the economy up for a recession? #economy #recession
Lance Roberts delves into the current economic climate and the likelihood of facing a recession. Discover why the unexpected may be just around the corner despite widespread confidence in the economy.
– Examining the economic predictions made back in 2022
– Understanding why no one anticipates a recession in the current year
– Exploring the pattern of expectations vs. reality in economic trends
– Discussing the necessity of a "shock effect" for economic changes
– Analyzing the potential setup for an unanticipated recession
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
5-2-24 Powell Holds Pat (and the wealth gap becomes a chasm)
2024-05-02
Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald’s, KFC, and Starbuck’s reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA…and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they’re not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury’s Bond Strategy. Peloton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview,
We’re On Spring Break
2024-03-08
We’re taking a little time off to enjoy family and the absence of alarm clocks for the next week.
Our live shows will return on Monday, March 18, 2024.
Please take a moment to subscribe and you’ll be notified when our next show airs!
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www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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