by Lance Roberts
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The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, and our 401k plan manager tool.
The post Earnings Revision Shows Sharp Decline appeared first on RIA.
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Is The Correction Over?
2025-03-22
Inside This Week’s Bull Bear Report Is A Bottom Beginning To Form? Last week, we noted that the market performance, while distressing as of late, has been well within regular correctionary market cycles from a historical perspective.
Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment
2025-03-18
It has been an interesting correction. The average retail investor was “buying the dip” despite having an extremely bearish outlook. This is an interesting point because, as shown, the retail investor used to be considered a ”contrarian indicator” as they were prone to be driven by emotional behaviors that led them to “buy high and sell low.” …
Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context
2025-01-15
If you draw enough lines on a stock chart, one of them is bound to predict the future accurately! Given that technical analysis is perfect in hindsight and flawed in foresight, many investors mock it as arbitrary. Some, like Aaron Brown, link its practice with horoscopes, tarot cards, and crystal balls. The difference between science …
Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase
2025-01-14
In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over the last two years, several risks are now worth considering. However, it is critical to note that being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we …
Jobs, Stocks, And Bonds Oh My!
2025-01-13
The initial reaction to Friday’s BLS jobs report was a yield surge and a sharp stock decline. Stock investors are finally noticing higher yields. While sentiment can certainly cause stocks and bonds to deviate from fundamentals, at the end of the day, they both have fundamental roots in economic activity. Over the past couple of …
Investor Resolutions For 2025
2025-01-10
I publish an updated version of my New Year “investor” resolutions yearly. The purpose of the process is to take an annual inventory of what I did and did not do over the last year to improve my portfolio management practices. As with all resolutions made at the beginning of a new year, it is not uncommon …
Corporate Executives Are Bullish And Bearish
2025-01-06
Corporate executives are sending vastly different messages to their respective investors. Based on one indicator, they must be pretty bearish, yet another reeks of bullishness. Let’s take a look at corporate executives’ Jekyll and Hyde-like behavior and try to make some sense of their actions and what they might portend for their companies. As we …
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