Weekly Market Pulse: Monetary Policy Is Hard
2023-11-06
So, is that it? Have rates peaked? Is the long bear market finally over?
The market decided last week that interest rates have peaked for this cycle. And if rates have peaked then all the assets that have been pressured over the last two years can finally come up for air. Since October 18, 2021, over two years ago, investors have had few places to hide. Of the major asset classes we follow closely, only two – gold and commodities – were higher by more than a rounding error over that time.
The culprit, the reason stocks and bonds did so poorly over that time, is pretty simple – interest rates. The 10-year Treasury note yield roughly tripled during that time and all assets have been affected by those higher rates. Since January 1. 2021, the consumer price index has risen by 17.5%, a 6%
Macro: Employment Report
2023-11-03
Wall street cheered the fact that we added fewer jobs (150,000) than expected (179,000) in October. This was a welcome relief after the hot September number that was revised down from 336,000 to 279,000.
Macro: Challenger Job Cuts — Improvement throughout the year
2023-11-02
We had a bad 1st quarter relative to historic averages for job cuts. But the situation has gotten better throughout the year. In the 3rd quarter of 2023 less people are losing their job relative to the average 3rd quarter going back to 1989.
Macro: Factory Orders — revision
2023-11-02
This was a slight downward revision. Nothing to cheer and really nothing to write home about.
September Durable Goods were revised down .1% MoM in Sept and .05% MoM in Aug.
Macro: Sep CPI stuck at 3.7% YOY
2023-10-13
The most anticipated release of the week came in … “Unchanged” or sticky stuck from the August at 3.7% yoy. But it’s worth mentioning as we will discuss below that this is up from June CPI which was 3.09% yoy. Core CPI which excludes food and energy because of their volatility sits at 4.13% yoy down from 4.39% last month.
Let’s look under the hood a bit because headlines will mention “sticky” CPI and there are some reasons that CPI will indeed be stickier for longer than we hope.
Let’s first start with energy which is about 7.5% of the basket. With the exception of the spike in oil coinciding with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, oil peaked in June 22 at around $122/bbl. So for the whole year of June22-June23 oil was helping bring inflation down. In June22 energy inflation was 41.25% yoy
Wichtige Morning News mit Oliver Klemm #179
2023-09-19
Klicke hier, um dich direkt gemeinsam mit Oli unabhängig zu machen 👉 https://oliverklemmtrading.com/apply-now-1?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=tradingcoacholi&utm_term=morning-news&utm_content=2
►Folge Oliver auf Instagram: http://bit.ly/TOInst
►Abonniere Oliver auf YouTube: http://bit.ly/Oli-Kanal
DIE TRADING COMMUNITY VON OLIVER KLEMM AUF FACEBOOK (Bisher 6000+ Mitglieder): ►Jetzt Beitreten & Austauschen: http://bit.ly/TOFBCommunity
Über Oliver Klemm:
Oliver Klemm, besser bekannt als TRADING COACH OLI ist Trader mit Herz und Leidenschaft. Nach über 40 Jahren Trading-Erfahrung und als ehemaliger Aktienhandels-Chef einiger namhafter Großbanken, ermöglicht er unveröffentlichte Einblicke auf das Welt- und Finanzgeschehen.
Während seines Traderlebens hat er
Stimmt! ++ Ampel Heizgesetz ++ Klima Kleber Urteil ++ Neid in der Gesellschaft
2023-06-18
Kanal von Stimmt: https://www.youtube.com/@Stimmt-DerNachrichtenTalk
Seminare und Bücher von Dr. Dr. Rainer Zitelmann finden Sie hier: https://linktube.com/zitelmann
Der Podcast von Dr. Dr. Rainer Zitelmann: Erfolg, Reichtumsforschung und Finanzen
iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dr-dr-rainer-zitelmann-erfolg-reichtumsforschung-und/id1629889731
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1E6YAqN5q0qzSzvVooVT9E?si=9cffa670bc224fa5
Podcast.de: https://www.podcast.de/podcast/2961626/dr-dr-rainer-zitelmann-erfolg-reichtumsforschung-und-finanzen
Folgen Sie mir auf Twitter: https://mobile.twitter.com/rzitelmann
Folgen Sie mir auf Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/r.zitelmann/
Folgen Sie mir auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/rainer.zitelmann/
Meine Homepage:
Why Your House is NOT an Asset – Alexandra Gonzalez-Ganoza
2023-06-16
Robert Kiyosaki teaches that true wealth isn’t about working for a paycheck. It’s about creating cash flow and leveraging assets. But for you to do that, you need to truly understand the difference between assets and liabilities.
What often gets mistaken as an asset is actually a liability, and understanding the difference allows you to build your foundation of financial literacy so you can design your path to financial freedom.
In this episode, host Alexandra Gonzalez-Ganoza dives into the difference between assets and liabilities and how to leverage assets to create cash flow.
—–
https://www.richdad.com/
Facebook: @RobertKiyosaki
https://www.facebook.com/RobertKiyosaki/
Twitter: @TheRealKiyosaki
https://twitter.com/theRealKiyosaki
Instagram: @TheRealKiyosaki