Gold price edges higher amid US presidential election uncertainty
2024-11-04
Gold price drifts higher in Monday’s early European session.
Safe-haven demand amid US presidential election uncertainties, persistent Middle Eastern tensions, might lift the Gold price.
Traders brace for the US election outcome on Tuesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.
The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in positive territory on Monday. The US presidential election risks and the ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions are likely to underpin the yellow metal, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. Nonetheless, the renewed Greenback demand and higher US bond yields might cap the upside for Gold price as higher yields make non-yielding assets like bullion less attractive in comparison.Investors will closely watch the looming US presidential election on
USD/CHF Price Prediction: Gaps higher at open, uptrend remains intact
2024-10-28
USD/CHF has opened a Runaway Gap higher at the open, suggesting the uptrend will continue.
Volume is low, reducing the chances that the gap represents a point of exhaustion.
USD/CHF opened a gap higher at the open on Monday (see chart below) and then promptly fell back down. It has since closed the gap.
Despite the speed of the decline following the gap higher, the short and medium term trend is still probably bullish, which given the old saying that “the trend is your friend” is likely to continue.
USD/CHF 4-hour Chart
The gap is probably what would be classified as a “Runaway Gap”. These happen during strong rallies.
The lack of volume accompanying this gap (yellow rectangle on volume) indicates this is probably not an Exhaustion Gap which comes at the
USD/CHF Price Prediction: Rising up within range-bound consolidation
2024-10-01
USD/CHF is rising within a range-bound market.
It has encountered resistance at a cluster of MAs but will probably continue higher.
USD/CHF is rising up within its sideways range. It has reached a cluster of major Moving Averages which are providing firm resistance.
USD/CHF 4-hour Chart
The trend is neither up nor down but rather sideways and so the oscillating character of the market is likely to extend, given the principle that “the trend is your friend.”
The blue Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator line recently crossed above the red signal line, providing a buy signal. MACD is a more reliable indicator within sideways markets.
USD/CHF will probably continue higher. A break above the 0.8480 high would lead to an extension up to
China Goes Big, and Market (Initially) Gives it the Benefit of the Doubt
2024-09-24
Overview: News of China’s multifaceted support measures have bolstered risk appetites today. The dollar is mostly softer and only the yen and Swiss franc among the G10 currencies have been unable to find traction against the greenback. Most emerging market currencies are also trading with a firmer bias. China’s measures include measures to support the stock and housing markets. The seven-day repo rate was cut by 20 bp (to 1.50%) and reserve requirements were cut by 0.5%. China’s CSI 300 rallied 4.3% and an index of mainland companies that trade in Hong Kong jumped over 5%. It helped spur an equity rally not only in the region, but Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up almost 0.6% and US index futures are trading higher. Yields in the Asia Pacific were softer, and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s hold