Investors Dismiss Fundamentals: Valuations Hold Little Weight in Modern Markets

2025-01-31

Interest rates fluctuate due to global economic conditions. Importing deflation from Europe impacts our economy. #EconomicInsights

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/1df13f

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2025-01-29

Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there’s also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday’s selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday’s market action was NOT the watershed event the bears were trying to make it out to be. Markets are not overbought yet; we’re still on a solid buy signal. That’s not to say a pullback can’t happen; remember the lesson from December…and why it’s important to pay attention to money flows, either direction. Educational scores in America and the AI race; IBM, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla to report

2025-01-28

The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China’s release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due in part to its massive market cap. Lance discusses what may be the positive results of thie "Sputnik moment" for the US. The markets’ response also underscores the importance of Bonds in overall portfolio management. Lance & Jonathan discuss the fallacy of high-watermark comparisons in portfolios, and how to properly review portfolio performance. A discussion on how stocks are actually traded,

2024-11-19

Following President Trump’s re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge, climbing past 6,000 and sparking significant optimism in the financial markets.The rush by perma-bulls to make long-term predictions is remarkable. Economist Ed Yardeni believes this upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. This forecast reflects a mix of factors that Yardini believes are reigniting investor confidence, including tax cuts, deregulation, and advancements in technology that could drive productivity growth.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior FInancial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this

2024-11-19

Following President Trump’s re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge, climbing past 6,000 and sparking significant optimism in the financial markets. Unsurprisingly, the rush by perma-bulls to make long-term predictions is remarkable.

2024-11-18

Emerging markets may seem cheap compared to the US, but are actually expensive relative to their own country’s growth. 📈 #Investing"

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/e53b03

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-09-20

When stock markets rise, the bullish narrative tends to dominate, overlooking the potential impact of market declines. This oversight stems from two main problems: a basic misunderstanding of math and time’s critical role in investing. Every year, I receive the following chart as a counterargument when discussing the importance of managing risk during a portfolio’s life cycle. The chart shows that while the average bull market advance is 149%, the average bear market decline is just -32%.

So, why bother managing risk when markets rise 4.7x more over the long term than they fall?

As with any long-term analysis, one should quickly realize the most critical issue for every investor—time.

The Reality of Long-Term Stock Market Returns

Yes, since 1900, the stock market has

2024-09-19

The markets were right: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half percent on Wednesday, and markets initially climbed, then sold off to end negative for the day. But after pondering overnight, market futures indicated a strong start to Thursday’s trading day. If markets rally and hold through Friday, they will be set to hit all time highs, once again. Will we see rotation into other sectors as a by product? The Fed is trying to position rates where they should be, given the current economic conditions. All Labor data now become very important. With lower rates, will there be a rash of corporate debt refinancing? (This rate cut is not likely to affect mortgage or consumer lending debt, yet. Will lower rates spark more activity, and thus become inflationary? Is the Fed rate cut good