Avoid Emotional Trading: Key to Better Long-Term Returns

2024-12-30

AI machine learning receives most of the publicity concerning today’s technological advancements, but the potential in quantum computing is just as exciting, if not more so. There’s a fundamental difference between quantum computing and AI. Artificial intelligence utilizes classical binary computing, where information is processed in bits, which can either be in an on or …

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2024-10-28

There is little risk of a bigger near-term correction, currently. However, some things could cause one, like a highly contested election. In the current political environment, such is not a low-probability event. As such, while we remain allocated to the markets, we are closely monitoring the amount of risk we take.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here:
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Our previous show is here: "Memory Inflation Warps

2024-10-26

💸💰 Ever wondered why asset prices keep going up? 💡 It all boils down to the massive flood of liquidity in the global money supply! 🌍📈 #Finance101

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/8e45d1

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-10-25

I was emailed several times about a recent Morningstar article about J.P. Morgan’s warning of lower forward returns over the next decade. That was followed up by numerous emails about Goldman Sachs’ recent warnings of 3% annualized returns over the next decade.

While we have previously covered many of these article’s points, a comprehensive analysis is needed. Let’s start with the overall conclusion from JP Morgan’s article:

“The investment bank’s models show the average calendar-year return for the S&P 500 could shrink to 5.7%, roughly half the level since World War II. Millennials and Generation Z might not enjoy the robust returns from U.S. stocks that helped swell the retirement accounts of their parents and grandparents.”

While such a statement may seem obvious to

2024-10-23

🌟 Time to prioritize self-care and work-life balance! Gen Z leading the way in changing the hustle culture mindset. #selfcare #balance #genz 💆‍♂️🌿

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/c9ce2b

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

2024-08-24

Managing long term gains is key. Take profits along the way for a more manageable position. Looking ahead for better chances! 📈 #investingtips

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Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/47695e

2024-08-23

The latest retail sales report seems to have given Wall Street something to cheer about. Headlines touting resilience in consumer spending increased hopes of a “soft landing” boosting the stock market. However, as is often the case, the devil is in the details. We uncover a more troubling picture when we peel back the layers of this seemingly positive data. Seasonal adjustments, downward revisions, and rising delinquency rates on credit cards and auto loans suggest a more cautious view. The consumer—the backbone of the U.S. economy—may be in more trouble than the headline numbers indicate.

The Mirage of Seasonal Adjustments

The July retail sales report showed a sharp increase of 1.0% month-over-month, surpassing expectations. However, while that number supports the idea of a

2024-08-21

Profitable bond trading opportunities arise when your expectations about Fed policy differ from those of the market. Therefore, with the Fed seemingly embarking on a series of interest rate cuts, it behooves us to appreciate how many interest rate cuts the Fed Funds futures market expects and over what period. Equally important, Fed Funds futures help us assess the market’s economic growth and inflation expectations.

Currently, Fed Funds futures imply the Fed will start cutting rates in September and reduce them by 2.25% to 3.09% in early 2026. From that point, the market expects the Fed to slowly increase Fed Funds to 3.50%. The limited rate cuts and relatively high trough in Fed Funds tell us the market is not pricing in a recession but a normalization of GDP with inflation running