The Biggest Head-scratchers This Year

2023-09-07

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2023-08-30

(8/30/23) There will be some short-term economic benefit from the landfall of Hurricane Idalia in Florida–a momentary boost from damage repairs spending. Economic data has been coming in better-than-expected (because estimates had been lowered); bad news is good news again, in hopes the Fed will lower rates. Markets on Tuesday cleared resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA’s; mid- and small-company bankruptcies are on the rise as lag effect of higher interest rates sets in. A recent survey reveals 25% of young respondents’ life goals are to be a "social media influencer." What would you do with a financial windfall? Economic report preview; there’s been no gain in the market ex- the 7 stocks driving activity. Bankruptcies are on the rise in smaller companies; there are 10 prescription drugs

2023-08-29

(8/29/23) Hurricane Idalia is bearing down on Florida; will there be epic adventure stories from Florida Man? Will markets "catch-up" to economic data, or will the data begin to prove-out market optimism? Will there be a recession (still) or a soft-landing? Market rallies; more positive action to come? Challenging the 20- and 50-DMA: Have markets achieved highs for 2023? Factors that drive markets: Politics, geo-politics, economics, sentiment; What will be the impact of Student Loan Payment resumption? AI is estimated to replace 300-million jobs; what will be economic impact? What are the arguments driving markets? Markets are voting machines & weighing machines. Money in motion creates fees; long-term investors vs traders; importance of knowing the difference. The weight of reality vs

2023-06-20

6/20/23) HOUR ONE: It’s the start of a holiday-shortened trading week, and the end of the Quarter is near. Sentiment reports from Consumers and Home Builders, plus leading economic indicators, which have been negative for the past 13-months. A turn in these signals could prove that we’ve seen (and passed) a trough in economic numbers. Roberts Travel plans will NOT include deep sea dives to shipwrecks; What’s driving the AI chase? What is the thesis that’s driving prices in the AI space (NVDIA)? Why do you think NVDIA is preparing to sell stock now (while prices are at an unsustainable high)? This is not unlike the DotCom bubble. Challenges from competition will cut into sales and profits. Roger McNamee: AI is a BS generator. Economic Indicators: Fed-Ex earnings preview; What is up with

2023-06-13

Have the summer doldrums already set in at your house?
Here are some sure-fire ways to clear away the money malaise from the minds of Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliff, and probably save you beaucoup bucks in the long run:

0:00 – INTRO/Disclaimer
1:12 – Summertime Hits
2:46 – Market Commentary
6:42 – Breaking the Summer Malaise
16:52 – Maximizing Cash While You Can
27:48 – Do Your Homework, But Wait…
33:03 – Examining Insurance Coverages
42:45 – Consideration of Umbrella Policies
46:32 – The Rule of Thumb for Homeowners Insurance
52:07 -The Summer Shred Event
54:00 – Richard’s Summer Reading List

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP.
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Get more info & commentary:

2023-06-05

(6/5/23) Stock Buyback Blackout: Monetary impact exits market for now; predicted sector rotations fueled markets to three standard deviations above 50-DMA; prepare for pullback! OPEC Production cuts spike oil prices; Headline Employment Report beats expectations…again. What will the Fed do next week? Very large Birth/Death ratio adjustment; BLS vs Household Surveys: Number of self-employed declines. Cannot have recession without higher unemployment (interestingly, almost all jobs created were part-time.) The Fed wants higher unemployment; next meeting next week: Will the Fed Hike or Hold rates? Depending upon tighter bank lending rules to curb spending, slow inflation; markets have begun to price-in another rate hike. The Fed doesn’t need to cut rates. Re-Funding the Treasury General