by Lance Roberts
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| The private credit market has exploded from under $500 billion a decade ago to $1.2 trillion domestically and $1.7 trillion globally — and stress is building fast. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down exactly what private credit is, who the major players are, and why rising credit stress could force the Federal Reserve's hand — even if inflation and unemployment don't justify it. #PrivateCredit #FederalReserve #CreditMarkets #MacroInvesting #FinancialStability |
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Economic Sentiment Belies Strong Economic Estimates
2026-02-27
Economic growth metrics for the United States have recently shown surprising resilience; however, consumers’ economic sentiment has not. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate, real Gross Domestic Product expanded at an annualized rate of just 1.4%, well below expectations and a steep drop from the 4.4% pace in the third quarter. However, …
2-25-26 Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk About Your Money
2026-02-25
Welcome to Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk on Your Money — a live, unscripted Q&A show pulled directly from our YouTube chatroom. No canned slides. No rehearsed talking points. Just practical, plain-English answers to real-world money questions with Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff.
Lance & Danny tackle topics like retirement planning, Roth vs. traditional decisions, tax-smart withdrawal strategies, Social Security timing, portfolio risk management, diversification, income planning, cash vs. investing, debt payoff frameworks, and how to think through market volatility without wrecking your long-term plan. We also discuss the “why” behind common financial rules of thumb—what holds up, what doesn’t, and how to tailor decisions to your situation.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment
1-7-26 Let’s Talk About Venezuela, Oil Prices & Energy Stocks
2026-01-07
Energy stocks $XLE are running ahead of oil fundamentals, and that gap won’t last forever.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains how Venezuela, supply risk, and slowing demand could push #crudeoil prices lower and force energy stocks to catch up.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses
2026-01-07
It’s that time of year when every Wall Street analyst posts their forecast for where the S&P 500 will close at the end of 2026. This year, as in every other, Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to post positive returns. As shown below, Bank of America is the most cautious, with a 3% gain, …
11-27-25 Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages
2025-11-17
Out Thanksgiving Day special, featuring Lance Roberts, Danny Ratliff, and Michael Lebowitz opining what he would do, were he to run the Federal Reserve, and why you shouldn’t spend that $2k tariff refund just yet.
The Bearish Bond Narrative Fades
2025-11-14
Not that long ago, bond yields were rising as concerns over deficits, inflation, and a series of bad Treasury auctions were paraded through the media. We bring this to your attention as the Ten-year Treasury auction on Wednesday was on the weaker side, yet the bond market reaction was minimal. Additionally, government deficits are just …
11-13-25 QE Is Coming: Why Fed Liquidity Now Runs the Entire Market
2025-11-13
The scent of QE is back.
With overnight funding markets flashing early stress and NY Fed President John Williams hinting at “gradual asset purchases,” it’s clear: the liquidity cycle is turning again.
But the real question is why markets have become so dependent on the Fed in the first place.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the 2008 financial crisis fundamentally rewired market plumbing, sidelined private liquidity providers, and turned the Federal Reserve into the primary—and often the only—source of liquidity in the financial system.
0:00 – INTRO
0:20 – Government Shutdown Concludes – Deluge of Data to Follow
3:04 – Dow 48,000
9:43 – Will the Fed Cut Rates?
13:21 – Why the Rush to Cut Rates?
17:14 – What’s Causing Turmoil at the Fed?
20:42 – What Changed w Bank
Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?
2025-09-26
Lately, there’s been a growing sense of confidence among investors that the U.S. economy has dodged the proverbial bullet. Despite a historic rate-hiking cycle by the Federal Reserve, two years of stubborn inflation, and signs of strain in global trade, the dominant Wall Street narrative is now a curious mix of “soft landing,” “no landing,” …
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