by Lance Roberts
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| Lance Roberts explains that the recent spike in #crudeoil prices is driven more by speculation in the futures market than by an actual supply shortage. While the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a major headline event, the U.S. receives only about 2% of its oil from that route thanks to the growth of domestic production since the fracking boom. Instead, traders reacting to geopolitical uncertainty are buying oil futures, pushing prices higher as sellers demand higher premiums. This surge in speculative activity also drove a sharp increase in oil volatility, which has been much larger than the rise in equity market volatility. As volatility spikes, oil prices tend to move sharply even if the physical supply situation hasn’t materially changed. The move in oil reflects expectations and positioning in the futures market more than real changes in supply and demand. $USO $XLE $XOM $CVX $OXY 📺Full episode: Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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