by Lance Roberts
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| In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why rallies in the current market keep getting sold. $SPX is beginning to lose momentum after months of steady gains, shifting from higher highs to lower highs. A key factor is the presence of “trapped longs”—investors who bought the dip expecting another V-shaped recovery and are now selling into strength to exit positions. That selling pressure is capping upside moves while key levels like the 100-day moving average are turning into resistance. The next major level to watch is the 200-day moving average. 📺Full episode: & Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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2-13-26 Why The Market Didn’t Buy the “Strong” Jobs Report
2026-02-13
The latest jobs report looked strong at first glance, but revisions wiped out much of last year’s gains, and underlying trends show slower growth.
Wage pressures continue to ease, and alternative payroll data suggest job creation is running far below headline numbers.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why the bond market’s muted reaction suggests investors saw through the headline strength and remain unconvinced that the labor market is reaccelerating or that Fed policy expectations need to change.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
2-11-26 Q&A Wednesday: You Ask ’em, We’ll Answer
2026-02-11
It’s Q&A Wednesday—you bring the questions, we bring the answers.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff tackle what’s on your mind right now: market volatility, Fed policy, inflation and rates, earnings, portfolio risk management, and what to do (and not do) when headlines get loud.
Lance & Danny break down the why behind the market’s moves, translate the macro data into what it means for portfolios, and walk through practical, process-driven decisions—rebalance, manage risk, avoid chasing performance, and keep expectations realistic.
#QandAWednesday #StockMarketOutlook #FederalReserve #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning
Bond Yields May Plummet: Five Potential Catalysts
2026-02-11
The top graph below, courtesy of Bloomberg, shows that the price of TLT, the 20+ year Treasury bond ETF, has been drifting sideways for the last couple of years. Often, when a security trades in a tight range over an extended period, as we see with bonds currently, a breakout from the range can be …
The Market Risk In 2026 If Growth Projections Fail
2025-12-29
There is a rising market risk in 2026 that is largely overlooked as we wrap up this year. As discussed in the “Fed’s Soft Landing Narrative,” optimism about 2026 is running high. Currently, investors are pricing in strong economic growth, robust earnings, and a smooth path of disinflation. Notably, Wall Street estimates suggest a significant …
12-26-25 Buying Gold Doesn’t Mean You’ve Left the Dollar
2025-12-26
Gold $GLD is rallying and everyone’s calling the end of the dollar $DXY — but that story misses a critical detail.
In this short video, Brent Johnson and I discuss why buying gold or commodities like #crudeoil doesn’t mean you’ve escaped the dollar, and what really keeps the dollar in control.
If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet
📺Full interview: -SDg
“Money Printing” By The Fed: Fact Or Fiction?
2025-11-07
I recently penned an article on “Money Supply Growth,” which elicited a very thoughtful response from Garrett Baldwin via Substack. He argued that labeling Federal Reserve operations as “money printing” is not rhetoric, but rather a reality. He points to Ben Bernanke’s 2010 interview, where Bernanke described how the Fed marks up digital accounts. But …
9/11/25 There Ain’t No Inflation
2025-09-19
Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what’s really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don’t always match what you’re feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices–is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight.
Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street’s narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio.
0:19 – Inflation Day – Will Tariffs’ Effects Appear?
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11:11 – Will Markets Have Another 20% Year?
21:35 – Inflation Estimates & CPI Components
30:18 – Wrapping the Quarter – Buy Backs & Positioning
34:30 – The Risk Range Report Explained
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