by Lance Roberts
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| It’s Q&A Wednesday—you bring the questions, we bring the answers. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff tackle what’s on your mind right now: market volatility, Fed policy, inflation and rates, earnings, portfolio risk management, and what to do (and not do) when headlines get loud. Lance & Danny break down the why behind the market’s moves, translate the macro data into what it means for portfolios, and walk through practical, process-driven decisions—rebalance, manage risk, avoid chasing performance, and keep expectations realistic. #QandAWednesday #StockMarketOutlook #FederalReserve #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning |
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The Reflation Narrative Stumbles Out Of The Gate
2026-01-26
With a 4.4% increase in economic growth in the third quarter and expectations that it could be higher in the fourth quarter, the so-called reflation narrative appears primed to dash out of the gates in 2026 at its current strong pace. The problem with assuming the reflation narrative will hold in 2026 is that it …
1-22-26 Stop Letting Headlines Blow Up Your Portfolio
2026-01-22
Headlines don’t move markets—real buying and selling do.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz I discuss why media narratives are often just after-the-fact explanations that ignore actual facts, like strong Treasury auctions and foreign buying, and why focusing on market structure and demand matters more than reacting to the news.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Jobs Data From Alternative Sources May Drive Fed’s Next Move
2025-12-05
With the federal government shutdown delaying critical economic reports, the official jobs data remains incomplete. Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the September jobs report. However, the October report, originally expected earlier this month, remains in limbo, potentially permanently. The reason is due to the shutdown, as the BLS was unable to …
12-4-25 Fed Regime Change: Is Groupthink Finally Ending?
2025-12-04
Is the era of Fed groupthink finally coming to an end?
For over a decade, the Federal Reserve has operated under a powerful consensus framework—one where dissent has been rare and the Chair’s view has dominated policy outcomes. But shifting politics, rising dissenting votes, and increasing disagreements among FOMC members may signal a new regime change at the Fed.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down:
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – ISM Report Shows Abnormality of Markets
4:45 – Markets Prep for Year End Rally
9:33 – 2026 Economic Summit Tease
10:32 – Will Kevin Hassett Be the Next Fed Chairman?
13:25 – Is Fed Groupthink Ending?
16:13 – How a Split Fed Vote Could Affect Markets
18:02 – How About a Pre-2000 Fed?
24:08 – "Reserve Management" is Code for QE0:35 – It’s All About Liquidity
A Bear Market Is A Good Thing.
2025-12-01
One of my favorite writers for the WSJ is Spencer Jakab, who recently penned an article explaining why a bear market is not necessarily a bad thing. He starts with a quote from “The Godfather.” ““These things gotta happen every five years or so, ten years. Helps to get rid of the bad blood…been ten …
OpenAI: Fueling Massive AI Stock Gains
2025-10-08
As we led in yesterday’s Commentary, AMD rose 25% on the news that OpenAI would purchase 10% of AMD. In exchange, OpenAI will become a significant customer of AMD. This symbiotic relationship is just one of many that OpenAI is forming with companies at the forefront of the AI revolution. The bullet points and graphic …
Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It
2025-08-18
There is little doubt that excess bullishness has invaded the general market psyche. Just a couple of months following the market decline in March and April, where sentiment turned exceedingly bearish, the S&P 500 hovers near its highs. Furthermore, analysts are rushing to raise price targets to 7,000 or more.
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