by Lance Roberts
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| The market is deeply split. Energy $XLE, materials $XLB and industrials $XLI are stretched and overbought, while technology $XLK, discretionary $XLY and communications $XLC are oversold. Equal-weight has led recently, but tech still carries massive index weight. If oversold tech rebounds, leadership could flip quickly. This is a risk management environment where trimming extended cyclicals and rebalancing exposure may matter more than chasing momentum. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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The Energy Sector Is Outpacing Energy Prices
2026-01-29
Over the last year, energy stocks have traded well despite crude oil prices languishing. For instance, over the last six months, XLE, the energy ETF, has risen 14%, while crude oil prices have fallen by 12%. The two largest components of XLE, Exxon and Chevron, which account for 40% of the ETF, are up 30% …
The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026
2026-01-26
The year ahead presents both a bullish and bearish case for investors. Will 2026 be another year of above-average returns, or will it be a year of disappointment? The bulls argue that the key ingredients for a sustained rally are in place. A powerful technology cycle, aggressive corporate spending, and supportive policy measures all point …
1 Million Layoffs
2025-12-08
U.S. employers have announced over 1 million layoffs this year, the highest annual total since the pandemic-era collapse in 2020. November alone saw more than 71,000 layoffs announced, keeping pressure on sectors from technology to telecoms even as the equity market pushes higher. The post below, courtesy @KobeissiLetter, details some of this year’s announcements. …
Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop
2025-12-06
🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you’d like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
10-17-25 Six Crucial Steps to Medicare Open Enrollment
2025-10-17
Medicare’s Fall Open Enrollment runs from October 15 through December 7, and this is your chance to review, compare, and adjust your coverage for 2026.
Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty review six crucial steps to help you make smarter Medicare choices — from evaluating plan changes and comparing drug coverage to avoiding common enrollment mistakes.
Whether you’re already on Medicare Advantage or reviewing Part D drug plans, understanding how to navigate this annual window could save you thousands in healthcare costs next year.
1:34 – Dealing w Medicare Open Enrollment
3:59 – Jonathan’s Baby & Diaper Service
9:10 – Prescription Drug Formularies & Changes
12:11 – Shopping Around for Medicare Advantage Plans
17:56 – Recommended Alphabet Formula
21:15 – What Medicare Advantage is NOT
The Psychology Of Investing In A Zero-Risk Illusion
2025-10-17
Every market cycle eventually changes investor psychology to believe risk has been conquered. The storylines may change, from “this time it’s different” to “the Fed has our back,” but the psychology does not. When markets rise steadily and volatility remains low, investors confuse stability with safety. That’s precisely the illusion forming in markets today. The …
8-19-25 How Small Habits Drain Your Budget
2025-08-19
You’d be surprised at how much money you could save by cutting out those little, everyday habits that sap your earnings. Saving $500/month is $6k a year towards your personal nest egg!
Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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