by Lance Roberts
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| Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn’t bullish or bearish. It’s risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn’t to predict the next crash—it’s to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. 0:00 - INTRO 0:27 - Market Moves Will Hinge on Nvidia 4:18 - Markets' 3rd Test of 50-DMA 8:46 - Why Berkshire Lags the S&P 10:36 - Economic Acceleration Expectations for 2026 14:01 - Consumer Spending Drives Economic Growth 17:42 - Economic Consolidation is Underway 21:45 - Half of Expected Cap-Ex Spending Will Support Economic Activity 23:48 - Full market Cycles Encompass Bulls & Bears 28:20 - A History of Markets' Performance 29:58 - Market Cycles Have Rhythm - The Wycoff Cycles 31:52 - There is No Evidence of Imminent Crash 33:42 - Full market Cycle Analyses 35:22 - Navigating Markets Now 37:51 - Betting Against Buffett 40:59 - Market Dynamics Can Drive Bull Markets for a While 42:42 - Data Deluge & Comming Attractions 👉 Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and practical money management. 📍 More at RealInvestmentAdvice.com Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Top Forming?" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Open Enrollment Traps to Avoid This Year" is here: _g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NvidiaEarnings #InvestingNews #MarketCycles #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #StockMarketAnalysis #Valuations |
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As we approach today’s delayed CPI report, it’s helpful to look beyond government statistics to focus on a more current and robust picture of inflation. Implied Inflation: This is derived from comparing the yields of nominal Treasury securities to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). The graph below (bottom left) shows that implied inflation, also known …
A Daily Dose Of Charts & Graphs October 22, 2025
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In this Short video, I cover leverage, $GLD key support, the seasonality tailwind, liquidity and sentiment trends, Fed policy context, and valuation vs. narrative — everything you need in one visual market update.
🐦Follow me on X: https://x.com/LanceRoberts
📺Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
9-2-25 Investing is About Patience
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Investing is all about patience, especially when you’re young. Speculate if you want, but put most of your nest egg money into the S&P and allow it to grow and do it’s thing. Over the long haul, you’re better off.
RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Withholding Taxes: Better Forecasting Employment Data
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Once again, we find ourselves waiting on the all-important BLS labor report. The markets and the Fed are heavily dependent on the monthly BLS employment data; however, there are other labor market data sources that can provide a more frequent indication of labor market conditions. For instance, the weekly BLS data on jobless claims helps …
Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth
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Alfonoso Peccatiello recently wrote an interesting piece on portfolio risk management, starting with a quote from Steve Cohen: ‘’I compile statistics on my traders. My best trader makes money only 63 percent of the time. Most traders make money only in the 50 to 55 percent range. That means you’re going to be wrong a …
7-11-25 Impact of the New $6,000 Tax Deduction on Middle-class Tax Payers
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The "no-tax on Social Security" promise is a false premise, BUT passage of the $6,000 tax deduction DOES help a lot these middle class Americans who are paying taxes on social security.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
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Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?
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The Fed is resisting interest rate cuts to help soften inflation to its 2% target. Supporting their policy is the belief that high interest rates lead to lower inflation. Most investors assume that the Fed is all-knowing and that its theories are logical. Are they? Might they be wrong, and lower interest rates are what …
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