The Dalio Market Principles Online Program

2026-02-23

At the Munich Security Conference earlier this month, the post-1945 world order was pronounced dead by most leaders. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said, “The world order as it has stood for decades no longer exists,” and that we are in a period “great power politics.” French President Emmanuel Macron echoed Merz’s assessment and said that Europe’s old security structures tied to the previous world order don’t exist and that Europe must prepare for war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that we are in a “new geopolitics era” because the “old world” is gone.

The way I see it, we are in the Stage 6 part of the Big Cycle in which there is great disorder arising from being in a period in which there are no rules, might is right, and there is a clash of great powers. How Stage

2026-02-02

What can the former Dutch Empire teach us about the importance of capitalism in driving long-term success?

#principles #raydalio

2026-01-31

Many people seem shocked by what’s happening, most recently in the Minneapolis and Greenland conflicts, though also in many other ways over the last year.

In my opinion, that’s because they don’t understand what’s going on with the breakdown of the post-World War II monetary, domestic political, and international political orders. This is happening in classic Big Cycle ways that have repeated throughout history and were laid out in detail in my book, Principles for Dealing With the Changing World Order, which I wrote about five years ago. In that book, I described how the Big Cycle unfolds in stages with clear characteristics, and I outlined the cause-and-effect relationships one can follow to identify where we are in the Big Cycle and what is likely to happen next.

With that

2026-01-09

My mantra of investing is fifteen good uncorrelated return streams risk balanced. What is yours?

#principles #raydalio #mentor #geopolitics

2025-12-18

Hiring isn’t about guesswork — it’s about data. If you know what people are like, you know what you can expect from them. I systematized this process to help match the right people to the right jobs. And remember, the evaluation process never stops. @TheDiaryOfACEO

2025-12-02

This year, I’d encourage you to consider a unique kind of holiday gift — a donation your friends and family can give to the charity of their choice. This kind of gift is far more meaningful, and it’s simple. Anyone can do it.

If you’re interested, check out organizations like TisBest and @donorschooseorg .

I think gifts like these are more in keeping with what the holiday season is really about, so I wanted to pass it along. #redefinegifting #givingtuesday

2025-11-06

History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where:

1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts
2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation
3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism
4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources
5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order

2025-11-03

My first real job was caddying, and it changed my life.

It was the 1960s, and the people I was caddying for were always talking about the stock market.

So, I took my caddying money and bought Northeast Airlines because it was the only company I had heard of that was selling for less than $5 a share.

Little did I know, but the stock was so cheap because they were about to go broke. But I got lucky and they got acquired, so I tripled my money.

And just like that, I was hooked.