AUDUSD tests a key support level defined by 38.2%, 100 day MA, and 200 bar MA on 4-hour.

2024-06-13

It’s clear from Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem’s latest speech that he wants to ease rates further but he’s still reluctant to signal it. That’s left us with the clunky line:

“With further and more sustained evidence that underlying inflation is easing, monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive as it has been.”

That’s an exact repeat of the line in the press conference last week where he also added that it was reasonable to expect further cuts, but only if inflation continues to ease.

I take it as a flimsy commitment to continue to ease by a central bank that’s worried about getting burned. If not for the mistakes of the post-covid cycle, the Bank of Canada would have lowered rates much further by now but generals always fight the last war so being late was

2024-06-12

A swing area between 1.08538 and 1.08617 looms above. There may be some profit-taking against the area on the first look

2024-06-11

The EURUSD is breaking below the 1.0722 to 1.07346 swing area. Staying below increases the sellers control.

2024-06-10

The 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart is being approached at 1.27384

2024-06-07