Tag Archive: newsletter

Central Banks Positivity Towards Gold Will Provide Long Term “Support To Gold Prices”

2018-09-28

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2018-09-28

Central Bank Gold Reserves, Q1 2000 - Q1 2018
– There has been a recent change for the better in central bank attitudes to gold. – There has been “net gold demand by central banks – approx. 500 tonnes per year – as a source of return, liquidity and diversification”. –  Policy shift to maintaining stable gold holdings reflects central bank concerns about financial markets and geopolitics. – Little in the current global economic and political environment to support any reason to change in this...

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Make Your Case, Jay

2018-09-28

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2018-09-28

Eurodollar Futures June 2020
June 13 sticks out for both eurodollar futures as well as IOER. On the surface, there should be no bearing on the former from the latter. They are technically unrelated; IOER being a current rate applied as an intended money alternative. Eurodollar futures are, as the term implies, about where all those money rates might fall in the future. Still, the eurodollar curve inverted conspicuously starting June 13. That was the day of the prior “rate...

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Seasonality in Cryptocurrencies – An Interesting Pattern in Bitcoin

2018-09-27

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2018-09-27

The last time we discussed Bitcoin was in May 2017 when we pointed out that Bitcoin too suffers from seasonal weakness in the summer. We have shown that a seasonal pattern in Bitcoin can be easily identified. More than a year has passed since then and readers may wonder why we have not addressed the topic again.

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Novartis to cut 2,200 Swiss jobs by 2020

2018-09-27

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2018-09-27

The pharmaceutical giant Novartis will cut about 2,200 jobs in Switzerland over the next four years. Nearly 1,500 jobs are affected in production and about 700 in services. This restructuring is part of the manufacturing strategy launched in 2015 to adapt the industrial base to a reduced product portfolio, announced Novartis on Tuesday. It currently employs 13,000 people across Switzerland.

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FX Daily, September 26: The Dollar Index has Fallen Four of the Five Times the FOMC met this Year

2018-09-26

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2018-09-26

The US dollar is trading with a softer bias in tight ranges. The euro and sterling have been confined to yesterday's ranges, while the greenback briefly traded above JPY113.00 for the first time in two months. The South African rand and Turkish lira are leading the most emerging market currencies higher. Asian equities moved higher, led by Hong Kong, which returned from yesterday's holiday.

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Almost one in five Swiss residents have dual nationality

2018-09-26

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2018-09-26

Around 17% of Swiss residents over the age of 15 hold two passports. The canton of Geneva has the highest proportion of dual nationals at 45%. According to figures released by the Federal Statistical Office (FSO) on Tuesday, the double nationality rate exceeds 20% in the cantons of Zurich, Basel City, Ticino, Vaud and Neuchâtel.

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Droit du Seigneur and the Neofeudal Privileges of Class in America

2018-09-26

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2018-09-26

Want to understand the full scope of neofeudalism in America? Follow the money and the power and privilege it buys. The repugnant reality of class privilege in America is captured by the phrase date rape: the violence of forced, non-consensual sex is abhorrent rape when committed by commoner criminals, but implicitly excusable date rape when committed by a member of America's privileged elite.

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We Need a Free Market in Interest Rates

2018-09-26

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2018-09-26

We do not have a free market in interest rates today. We have not had one since the creation of the Fed in 1913. The Fed began buying bonds almost immediately, which pushes up the price and hence pushes down the interest rate. However, as I discuss in my theory of interest and prices, the Fed creates a resonant system with positive feedback loops.

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Immopreneur Kongress 2018 – Die Pflichtveranstaltung für innovative Immobilien-Investoren

2018-09-25

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SNB appoints new delegate for regional economic relations for Central Switzerland

2018-09-25

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2018-09-25

SNB in Bern
With effect from 1 October 2018, Gregor Bäurle will assume the function of Swiss National Bank (SNB) delegate for regional economic relations for the Central Switzerland region. He succeeds Walter Näf, who is taking on a new position, representing the SNB in the Swiss delegation to the OECD in Paris as of 1 January 2019.

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FX Daily, September 25: Greenback Remains at the Fulcrum

2018-09-25

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2018-09-25

The major currencies are mixed in quiet turnover. Most of the European currencies are firmer, while the dollar-bloc currencies, yen and Swiss franc are softer. Emerging market currencies are steady to higher, though there are a few exceptions in Asia, where the Indonesian rupiah and the Chinese yuan are off about 0.3%, while the Indian rupee and Malaysian ringgit are around 0.2% lower.

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Swiss Health Insurance Costs to Rise Further in 2019

2018-09-25

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2018-09-25

Health Insurance
More bad news for Swiss household budgets was released today for residents of all but three Swiss cantons. Health insurance premiums in 2019 will be on average 1.2% higher than in 2018 across Switzerland as a whole. However, within this figure there are significant cantonal variations.

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Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2018

2018-09-25

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2018-09-25

Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun shares his opinions of the economy and market based on the most recent economic reports.

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Why Are Wages So Low, Report 23 Sep 2018

2018-09-25

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2018-09-25

Income Inequality Infographic Workers Middle Class and CEOS get Compared
Last week, we talked about the capital consumed by Netflix—$8 billion to produce 700 shows. They’re spending more than two thirds of their gross revenue generating content. And this content has so little value, that a quarter of their audience would stop watching if Netflix adds ads (sorry, we couldn’t resist a little fun with the English language).

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Business Indicators Present a Contrasting Picture of the Euro Area

2018-09-24

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2018-09-24

Eurozone Composite PMI and Euro Area Real GDP, 2000 - 2018
Euro area flash composite PMI dipped slightly to in September and came in slightly below consensus expectations. Activity in services picked up and weakened further in manufacturing, which continued its decline since the start of the year, falling to 53.3 in September from 54.6 in August. New export orders failed to grow for the first time since June 2013.

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Thousands demonstrate in Bern for equal pay

2018-09-24

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2018-09-24

A national rally in favour of equal pay and against discrimination has taken place in the Swiss capital, attracting some 20,000 people, according to organisers. Unions, political parties and supporting organisations said in the run-up to the rally on Saturday that although equality was enshrined in the constitution 37 years ago and the law had been in force for 22 years, even today power and money are distributed differently among women and men.

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FX Weekly Preview: Next Week’s Drivers

2018-09-24

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2018-09-24

It is a testament to the Federal Reserves communication and the evolution of investors' understanding that we can say that the rate hike that the central bank will deliver is not as important as what it says. A rate hike is a foregone conclusion. According to the CME's model, there is about an 85% chance of December hike discounted as well.

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The Four Disastrous Presidential Policies That Are Destroying the Nation

2018-09-24

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2018-09-24

Bank Consolidation
It's admittedly a tough task to select the four most disastrous presidential policies of the past 60 years, given the great multitude to choose from. Here are my top choices and the reasons why I selected these from a wealth of policy disasters.

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Cut to Swiss inflation forecast

2018-09-23

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2018-09-23

Swiss Monetary Policy, 2005 - 2018
The Swiss National Bank has revised down its medium-term forecast for consumer inflation. We still expect a first SNB rate hike in September 2019. At the end of its quarterly monetary assessment meeting, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left its main policy rates unchanged.

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