Tag Archive: newsletter

Climate Change Policy Isn’t Worth Its High Cost

2020-12-09

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2020-12-09

Audio Mises Wire
In most economies, inventories are valued at market prices, while in China they are valued by the authorities and adjusted later. This is just one of many ways China manipulates GDP data.

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Inflation Hysteria #2 (Nominal UST)

2020-12-09

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2020-12-09

UST Yield Curve, 2017-2018
What had given Inflation Hysteria #1 its real punch had been the benchmark 10-year Treasury note. Throughout 2017, despite the unemployment rate in the US, globally synchronized growth being declared around the world (and being declared as some momentously significant development), and whatever other tiny factors acceding to the narrative, longer-term Treasury rates just weren’t buying it.

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Jittery Markets Keep the Dollar Afloat (For Now)

2020-12-09

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2020-12-09

Performance vs. Dollar, 2020
US fiscal negotiations are taking longer than expected; US Treasury auctions $56 bln of 3-year notes; we believe the Fed is watching the yield curve closely; Brazil reports November IPCA inflation; Chile kept rates on hold at 0.50% and tweaked its asset purchase program.

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Introduction to the Entrepreneurship Special Issue

2020-12-09

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2020-12-09

The Austrian school of economics has been all but left by the wayside in economics (e.g., Backhouse 2000). This fate, shared with all “heterodox” approaches that do not fully comply with mainstream dogma, means Austrian theory is at best discounted by other economists. More often, and typically, it is forgotten and a relic of the past.

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FX Daily, December 8: Consolidative Moment as Markets Wait for Fresh Developments

2020-12-08

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2020-12-08

EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 8
Overview:  Three brinkmanship dramas continue to play out.  The UK-EU trade talks have reportedly made little progress and may have even moved backward, according to some reports, over the past two days.  The EU and Poland, and Hungary will be butting heads at the leaders' summit that begins Thursday.  The US federal spending authorization is exhausted at the end of the week.

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Endet die Jahresendrallye?! | Der große Marktausblick | KW 50

2020-12-08

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Endet die Jahresendrallye?! | Der große Marktausblick | KW 50 Dieses Video ist die Aufzeichnung des großen Marktausblicks. In der wir auf die momentane Marktlage eingeben. Trage dich jetzt in unseren Newsletter ein, um den "Blick auf die Woche" am Montag noch vor allen anderen zu erhalten: https://mariolueddemann.com/aktuelles/#newsletter Basiskurs Trading: https://mariolueddemann.com/basiskurs-trading/ Screeningdienst für nur 1€ testen:...

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WEF annual meeting moves from Switzerland to Singapore

2020-12-08

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2020-12-08

The coronavirus pandemic has forced the World Economic Forum (WEF) to relocate its flagship event to Singapore next year. It will be only the second time in 50 years that it will be staged outside of the Swiss mountain resort of Davos.

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Swissair liquidator extracts CHF2.75 million from former bosses

2020-12-08

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2020-12-08

Former Swissair bosses have been ordered to pay CHF2.75 million ($3 million) almost 20 years after the national airline carrier went bust. The bill has been presented to 14 former managers after many years of legal wrangling and court battles.

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Polar Opposite Sides of Consumer Credit End Up in the Same Place: Jobs

2020-12-08

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2020-12-08

CPS Household Survey, 2003-2020
If anything is going to be charged off, it might be student loans. All the rage nowadays, the government, approximately half of it, is busily working out how it “should” be done and by just how much. A matter of economic stimulus, loan cancellation proponents are correct that students have burdened themselves with unprofitable college “education” investments.

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FX Daily, December 7: Holy Mackerel Will UK-EU Talks Really Flounder?

2020-12-07

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2020-12-07

Overview:  Optimists see the belabored talk between the UK and EU as providing for a dramatic climax of a deal, while the pessimists warn that the divergence is real.  Sterling opened three-quarters of a cent lower in early turnover and is now off around two cents. 

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Take Advantage of These COVID Estate Planning Opportunities by the End of 2020

2020-12-07

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2020-12-07

May you live in interesting times. Although that sounds like an ancient blessing, it’s believed to be a Chinese curse casting instability and uncertainty on the person who hears it. Blessing or curse, it’s a great description of the year we’ve just come through, and in spite of all the turmoil, there are some things you can do before the end of 2020 to take advantage of all the madness.

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Covid continues to stress Swiss economy

2020-12-07

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2020-12-07

Overnight hotel stays fell by more than 40% during the summer as Switzerland locked down against coronavirus. The pandemic has also battered the finances of the airline industry, but most smaller companies have retained some optimism for the future.

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Swiss National Bank accused of lagging behind in green investment

2020-12-07

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2020-12-07

Swiss banks and retirement funds are still investing enormous sums in fossil fuel companies and thereby contributing to global warming. This is the conclusion of a government climate compatibility test. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) didn’t even take part in the test – and is lagging far behind foreign institutions in climate protection.

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Oil market outlook: Land in sight but rough seas ahead

2020-12-07

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2020-12-07

In November, new vaccines showed great promise in fighting Covid-19, and the exhilaration was clear in markets around the world. However, the enthusiasm was not sustained. Many experts and political leaders rushed to warn that while a vaccine could mean the end of the health crisis, the economy – and oil markets in particular – are still in for a rough ride.

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A Hackers Teleology by Charles Hugh Smith

2020-12-06

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"What every human wants is fairness, a chance to belong that offers everyone opportunities to get ahead by our own merit and a say when decisions are made. Even before the global upheavals, our system was failing—it wasn’t fair at all. Now that it’s unraveling, it’s time for a new arrangement that’s actually sustainable on our resource-depleted planet that doesn’t favor wealthy insiders. Hear it Here – https://bit.ly/hackersteleology Those...

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This Pandemic Has Too Many Predictable “I Told You So’s”

2020-12-06

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2020-12-06

Most of Europe is back in lockdown, presumably as punishment for our sins of going outside during the summer, and as preparation for the Christmas holidays. It feels like being back in school, where a patronizing teacher indicates that the children are incapable of behaving themselves. To some Europeans, this is a surprising development. Yet to lovers of liberty, the fact that power leads to ever-expanding power is no news.

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Don’t Really Need ‘Em, Few More Nails Anyway

2020-12-06

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2020-12-06

Pro forma CES Private Payrolls, 2020-2021
The ISM’s Non-manufacturing PMI continued to decelerate from its high registered all the way back in July 2020. In that month, the headline index reached 58.1, the best since early 2019, and for many signaling that everything was coming up “V.”

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The far-reaching impact of the US election

2020-12-06

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2020-12-06

The 2020 election was a roller coaster experience for both sides and for all International observers who understood its massive economic and geopolitical implications for the rest of the West.

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The Great Reset vs. The Great Reset

2020-12-05

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2020-12-05

In baseball, there is a situation where a base runner is sprinting to home plate and can’t see what is happening behind him. Totally focused on scoring, he doesn’t know if the outfielder is throwing a ball that will reach home plate first. That’s where we get the phrase “out of left field.” (If the ball were coming from right field, the runner could actually see it.)

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Dollar Stabilizes but Weakness to Resume

2020-12-05

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2020-12-05

Performance vs. Dollar, 2020
There are new efforts to pass another round of stimulus sooner rather than later; we warn against getting too optimistic; US bond yields rose in anticipation of stimulus; Fed Chair Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin gave somewhat conflicting outlooks for the US.

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