Tag Archive: EUR/CHF

FX Daily, August 21: Trump Comments Hit Dollar, Little Impact on Rates

2018-08-21

by

2018-08-21

The US dollar is broadly lower following President Trump's comments yesterday, criticising Fed policy and reiterating his previously made claim that China and the EU are manipulating their currencies. We suggested that last week's presidential tweet that identified strong capital inflows into the US may not have been written by President Trump.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 20: Greenback Consolidates Pre-Weekend Pullback in Quiet Turnover

2018-08-20

by

2018-08-20

The US dollar is slightly firmer against most of the major currencies, as the light participation and lack of fresh news see a consolidative tone emerge after the pullback at the end of last week. Although markets in Turkey are closed for a nearly week-long holiday, it has not prevented the lira from weakening. After closing a little below TRY6.02 before the weekend, the greenback has moved to TRY6.15 in the European morning.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 17: Dollar Limps into the Weekend

2018-08-17

by

2018-08-17

The US dollar is trading heavily against most of the world's currencies today.  The main exceptions come from the emerging markets where the Turkish lira, Russian ruble, and Mexican peso are the chief exceptions, and their losses are modest.  This week's dollar gains are being pared in largely corrective activity and amid a light news stream.  The threat of more sanctions on Turkey if it does not release the American pastor is helping the...

Read More »

FX Daily, August 16: Emerging Markets Stabilize, Dollar Eases a Little

2018-08-16

by

2018-08-16

Two developments have helped turned sentiment, or at least arrested the markets' momentum. First, the developments in Turkey, where officials have taken a few measures that will make it somewhat more difficult to access the lira.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 15: Lira Rallies on Cut in Swaps, but Fails to Dent Dollar Demand

2018-08-15

by

2018-08-15

The Turkish lira is extending yesterday's recovery today on the back of actions by officials that are aimed at limiting foreign access to the lira to short. Without introducing new capital controls, regulators halved the amount of swap transactions banks can do to 25% of shareholder equity. This is meant to make it more difficult to access lira in the offshore swaps market, which is an important channel.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 14: Brief Respite but Little Relief

2018-08-14

by

2018-08-14

Corrective pressures grip the capital markets today, helped by the easing of the selling pressure on Turkey, but its more a respite than a relief as no new policy initiatives are behind the lira's upticks. The implication of this is that it is unlikely to last. In fact, the dollar's low in early Europe a just above TRY6.41 after trading a little above TRY7.23 yesterday may be about the most that can reasonably be expected.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 13: Turkey Drives Risk-Off, but Pressure Abating

2018-08-13

by

2018-08-13

The failure of Turkey to grab the bull by the horns, so to speak, and come to grips with the situation saw the dollar soar above TRY7.23(from TRY6.43 at the end of last week) and to ZAR15.55 (from ZAR14.09). The Mexican peso, the strongest currency this year, and which has been partially protected by prospects of a new NAFTA agreement has suffered as well.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 10: The Dollar Muscles Higher as Turkey Melts Down

2018-08-10

by

2018-08-10

The US dollar has surged. The main impetus comes from the dramatic slide in the Turkish lira. After moving above TRY5.0 yesterday, it reached TRY6.30 today before stabilizing a little below TRY6.0 as the European morning progressed. The trigger seemed to be the lack of credibility of the government's response as investors await officials to elaborate on the outline of the "new economic model" provided yesterday.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 09: Sterling Remains Under Pressure, while the Greenback Firms Broadly

2018-08-09

by

2018-08-09

The global capital markets are mostly quiet. US sanctions on Turkey and Russia are pressuring their respective currencies, and the New Zealand dollar has slumped nearly 1.5% on the back of a dovish hold by the central bank. The Kiwi is at 2.5-year lows near $0.6650.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 08: Sterling Can’t Get Out of Its Own Way, While Dollar and Yen Catch a Bid

2018-08-08

by

2018-08-08

Fears that the UK could leave the EU in a little over six months without an agreement continues to drag sterling lower. Recall that over the weekend, the UK's International Trade Minister Fox suggested there was a 60% chance of a no-deal Brexit.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 07: Turn Around Tuesday for the Greenback

2018-08-07

by

2018-08-07

The US dollar is pulling back today after yesterday's advance. All the major currencies are higher and even the Turkish lira, which plunged nearly 5% yesterday to cap a six-day slide, is trading firmer today ([email protected]). The dollar's losses are modest and appear corrective in nature.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 06: Sterling’s Drop Paces Dollar Gains

2018-08-06

by

2018-08-06

The US dollar edged higher against most of the major currencies, and emerging market currencies are heavier. Sterling's quarter percent drop makes it the weakest of the majors in slow turnover and it was sufficient to record a new 11-month low.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 03: Greenback Remains Firm Ahead of Jobs, JGBs Stabilize, Italian Debt Moves into Spotlight

2018-08-03

by

2018-08-03

The US dollar is trading at the upper end of its recent ranges against the euro and sterling. The euro finished below $1.16 yesterday for the first time since the end of June and has not been able to resurface that level so far today.

Read More »

FX Daily, July 30: Equities, Bonds, and the Dollar Start Week Softer

2018-07-30

by

2018-07-30

The week's big events lie ahead. It is seen as the last important week before the dog days of summer when many participants will take holidays. The BOJ's two-day meeting concludes tomorrow. Speculation that the BOJ is looking for ways to tweak its program continues to spur a small taper-lite tantrum in Tokyo.

Read More »

FX Daily, July 26: Equities like EU-US Trade Truce more than the Euro

2018-07-26

by

2018-07-26

The markets generated a collective sigh when Juncker and Trump announced that there would be no new tariffs while new trade negotiations took place.  This was particularly important because Trump reportedly wanted to press ahead with a 25% tariff on car imports.  It was also announced that the EU would buy more soy and liquid natural gas from the US. 

Read More »

FX Daily, July 23: Dollar Consolidates Trump-Inspired Losses, BOJ Resolve Tested

2018-07-23

by

2018-07-23

US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin told G20 finance ministers and central bankers that President Trump was not trying to interfere in the foreign exchange market or encroach upon the Federal Reserve's independence. Trump's comments and tweets last Thursday and Friday effectively capped the dollar as it was looking to break out to the upside.

Read More »

FX Daily, July 20: Dollar Consolidates after Trump Wades In

2018-07-20

by

2018-07-20

The US dollar is little changed but mostly softer as the week draws to a close. The market is digesting the implications of yesterday's comments by President Trump about interest rates and foreign exchange, and without fresh economic data, are content to go into the weekend. Since Trump's comments yesterday, the euro has not been below $1.1625 nor above $1.1680.

Read More »

FX Daily, July 19: Greenback Extends Gains

2018-07-19

by

2018-07-19

The US dollar is extending its recent gains against most of the world's currencies.   We continue to see the most compelling case for the macro driver being the diverging policy mixes.  There are also more immediate factors too.  The surprisingly poor UK retail sales report, for example, managed to do what the Brexit chaos and softer than expected CPI fail to do. 

Read More »

FX Daily, July 18: Greenback Extends Gains-For Now

2018-07-18

by

2018-07-18

After softening in Europe yesterday, the dollar recovered in the North American session with the help of assurances by Fed Chair Powell who reaffirmed the path gradual path despite clear recognition that tariffs threaten wages and growth.  The greenback has extended those gains today and is higher against all the emerging market currencies, expected the Turkish lira, which is slightly firmer.

Read More »

FX Daily, July 17: Dollar on Back Foot Ahead of Powell

2018-07-17

by

2018-07-17

The US dollar eased in Asia session and the European morning. The greenback had appeared technically vulnerable, and the economic news stream is light. Sterling, unlike most of the other major currencies, remains within yesterday's range. Yesterday's high, a little above $1.3290, maybe reinforced a little today by the GBP245 mln $1.33 option that is expiring. Brexit concerns may also be acting as a drag.

Read More »