Tag Archive: China Trade Balance
The balance of trade, commercial balance, or net exports (sometimes symbolized as NX), is the difference between the monetary value of a nation’s exports and imports over a certain period. Sometimes a distinction is made between a balance of trade for goods versus one for services. If a country exports a greater value than it imports, it is called a trade surplus, positive balance, or a “favourable balance”, and conversely, if a country imports a greater value than it exports, it is called a trade deficit, negative balance, “unfavorable balance”, or, informally, a “trade gap”.
FX Daily, July 13: Sterling and Antipodeans Trade Higher
The US dollar is mostly consolidating yesterday's move. Sterling is pushing back through $1.29 as the hawks on the MPC may not have been dissuaded by disappointing PMI readings and the softer earnings growth. The table is being set for another 5-3 vote at next month's MPC meeting.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, June 08: Thursday’s Show
Today has an anti-climactic feel to it. Yesterday's leak of what is purported to be the ECB staff forecasts point to small downward revisions to inflation forecasts and an ever small upward tweak to growth. This would be in line with only mild changes in the forward guidance language. The clear indication is that inflation is still not the conditions of a self-sustaining path toward the target.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, May 08: Euro Bought on Rumor, Sold on Fact
The euro initially opened higher in Asia following confirmation that Macron was elected the next president of France, but quickly fell below $1.0960 before bouncing back toward $1.10 only to be sold again in early Europe below the pre-weekend low near $1.0950. A break now of $1.0930 could signal a return to the lower end of the range seen since the first round of the French election near $1.0850-$1.0870.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, April 13: Greenback Stabilizes After Trump Induced Slide
The US dollar slid after US President Trump complained about its strength. The sell-off extended into early Asian activity, before stabilizing. It is mixed in late morning European turnover, which is already lightening up due to the extended Easter holiday.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, March 08: Dollar Bid as Rates Firm
The US dollar is moving higher against nearly all the other major foreign currencies today. As far as we can tell, the driving force remains interested rate considerations. US rates are rising in absolute terms and about Europe and Japan. The US 10-year yield is moving above the downtrend that has been in place since the day after the Fed hiked rates last December.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, February 10: US Dollar Holding on to Week’s Gains
The US dollar is about 12 hours away from gaining against all the major currencies this week. The main talking points today remain Trump-centric. The US dollar is mixed as European trading gets underway. Of note the dollar is continuing to gain on the yen. The yen is off 0.4%, which is nearly half the week's decline. The Aussie is the strongest on the day, up about 0.2% to trim the week's loss to about 0.45%.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, January 13: Corrective Forces Persist
The Supreme Court Judgement on whether parliament will have to O.K the triggering of article 50 is ongoing and when the ruling is announced expect big swings on GBP/CHF. I think the likely outcome will be that parliament will get the vote, most broad sheet papers have indicated the majority of the judges are in favour of the parliamentary vote.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, December 08: Dollar Heavy into ECB
The ECB prolonged its bond purchases, which came unexpected for markets. Consequently the EUR/CHF lost nearly half of its big gains that it registered in the beginning of the week. The ECB expects lower inflation for longer, which makes the life for the SNB harder for longer.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, November 08: Consolidation Featured as Market Catches and Holds Breath
The equity markets snapped their losing streak yesterday and are consolidating today. The US dollar is narrowly mixed. The euro and sterling are slightly firmer, but well within yesterday's ranges. The dollar-bloc is a bit lower, and once again the Australian dollar is struggling to sustain moves above $0.7700.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, November 07: Dollar Stabilizing After Bounce
The DAX also gapped lower before the weekend and gapped higher today. It is stalling just ahead of the earlier gap from last week (10460-10508). It is up about 1.6% in late-morning turnover. The strongest sector is the financials, up 2.5%, with the banks up 3.4%. Deutsche Bank is snapping a five-session drop. It fell 9.1% last week. It has recouped more than half of that today.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, October 13: Dollar Edges Higher, though US Rates Soften
The EUR/CHF remains in the range of 1.0815 to 1.0980. The SNB usually intervenes below 1.0850. I am expecting that speculators are reducing their CHF short positions. More tomorrow.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, July 13: Sterling and Yen Momentum Slows
The two main developments in the foreign exchange market this week in recent days has been the opposite of what has transpired over the past several weeks. Sterling moved higher quickly. The yen moved down just as fast. Over the past five sessions through late-morning levels, sterling has gained 2.5% while the yen has shed 2.8%.
Read More »
Read More »
FX Daily, June 8: Currencies Broadly Stable, but Greenback is Vulnerable
Once again the Swiss Franc appreciates both against EUR and USD.
The euro topped at 1.1095 shortly before the US payroll data and has fallen to 1.0932. The dollar has fallen from 0.9947 to 0.9596.
The foreign exchange market is quiet. The euro remains confined to the
narrow range seen on Monday between $1.1325 and $1.1395. We continue to
look for higher levels near-term as the
drop from May 3 (~$1.1615) to May 30 (just be...
Read More »
Read More »