Category Archive: 1) SNB and CHF

USD/JPY edges higher in a familiar range, retakes 147.00 mark amid risk-on mood

USD/JPY regains positive traction on Tuesday, albeit the uptick lacks bullish conviction.  A positive risk tone undermines the safe-haven JPY and lends some support to the pair. Bets for bigger Fed rate cuts weigh on the USD and should cap gains ahead of the US CPI. The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buying during the Asia session on Wednesday and climbs back above the 147.00 mark in the last hour, reversing the previous day's modest downfall....

Read More »

USD/CHF approaches 0.8700 with US Inflation on horizon

USD/CHF marches toward 0.8700 as safe-haven flows to the Swiss Franc have diminished. Investors divide over the size of Fed’s interest-rate cuts in September. Investors await the US PPI and CPI data for July, which will be published at 12:30 GMT and Wednesday, respectively. The USD/CHF pair gains to near 0.8675 in Tuesday’s European session. The Swiss Franc asset strengthens as the appeal of the Swiss Franc as a safe-haven asset diminishes due to...

Read More »

Gold price ticks lower amid positive risk tone and some repositioning ahead of US inflation

Gold price pulls back from the vicinity of the monthly peak retested earlier this Tuesday. Bulls opt to lighten their bets amid a positive risk tone and ahead of the US inflation data. Geopolitical risks and bets for a 50-bps rate cut by the Fed should help limit the downside. Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers following an Asian session uptick back closer to the monthly peak and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains of more...

Read More »

EUR/CHF: Spread compression to weigh – ING

It looks like G10 policy rates (ex-Japan) are going lower, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note. EUR/CHF may struggle to stay above 0.95 “We are looking for at least another 125bp of ECB easing into next summer, if not 175bp. Switzerland is closer to the zero-bound constraint, however, and markets are reluctant to price the Swiss National Bank policy rate below 0.50% - just 75bp lower from current levels. Spread compression...

Read More »

CHF gains extend its overvaluation towards the Aug 2011 record high – DBS

Even as speculative unwinds look largely done, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia should be watched as it could bolster safe haven demand for CHF and JPY, DBS FX & Credit Strategist Chang Wei Liang notes. SNB introduces a floor for EUR/CHF “Egypt’s aviation ministry instructed all airlines to avoid Iran airspace due to military drills, while Ukraine staged a surprise military incursion into Russia. We are cautious that...

Read More »

USD/CHF attracts some sellers below 0.8600 as geopolitical risks draw investors to safe-haven Swiss Franc

USD/CHF loses traction around 0.8590 in Thursday’s early European session, down 0.30% on the day.  The US Fed is expected to cut rates more aggressively beginning in September. Strong safe-haven demand benefits the Swiss Franc against the Greenback.  The USD/CHF pair drifts lower to near 0.8590 during the early European session on Thursday. The Swiss Franc (CHF) gains traction from the unwinding of carry trades and escalating geopolitical...

Read More »

US Dollar set for second day of gains while volatility declines and market woes fade

The US Dollar recovers for a second day in a row this week.  The BoJ dropped mixed messages on its monetary policy.  The US Dollar index pops above 103.00 and rallies higher on Wednesday.  The US Dollar (USD) recovers as all asset classes start to head back to more normal levels. Equities are behaving quite well and are stable, volatility is easing, and safe havens such as Japanese Yen (JPY) and Swiss Franc (CHF) are easing further against the...

Read More »

Pound Sterling slumps to near 1.2700 on global risk-aversion

The Pound Sterling falls against the US Dollar below 1.2700 amid weak appeal for risk-sensitive currencies.

Read More »

USD/CHF gains ground near 0.8850, potential upside seems limited

USD/CHF holds positive ground near 0.8840 in Thursday’s early European session. Fed’s Waller said that central bank is nearing rate cuts if there are no major surprises in inflation, employment data. Тhe rate cuts expectation by the SNB might drag the US Dollar lower. 

Read More »

USD/CHF holds below 0.8950 amid Middle East geopolitical risks

USD/CHF trades on a weaker note near 0.8925 in Tuesday’s early Asian session. Fed policymakers retain a cautious approach to rate cuts, emphasizing that their decisions would be data-dependent. The Swiss Franc is supported by the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. 

Read More »

SNB Surprises the Market (Again)

The US dollar is trading higher against all the G10 currencies today but the Norwegian krone. Norway's central bank left policy on hold and warned that if the economy performs as expected, it does not anticipate a rate cut until next year.

Read More »

USD/CHF appreciates to near 0.8950 due to hawkish Fed, SNB Financial Stability Report eyed

USD/CHF gained ground as FOMC left its benchmark lending rate in the range of 5.25%–5.50% on Wednesday. Powell stated, “We don't see ourselves as having the confidence that would warrant policy loosening at this time.” Swiss Franc may see limited downside as SNB is unlikely to implement a rate cut in June.

Read More »

Gold continues bearish tone on outlook for US interest rates

Gold rolls over after retesting key resistance as the outlook for US interest rates remains elevated. This keeps the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold high, making it less attractive to investors. Gold (XAU/USD) trades a quarter of a percent lower on Tuesday after being rejected by key support-turned-resistance at $2,315 late Monday. 

Read More »

USD/CHF gains amid US labor market strength

In Friday's session, the USD/CHF recovered surging above the 0.8965 mark. Strong Nonfarm Payroll data from the US propelled the USD across the board. US Treasury yields increased while the odds of a cut in September by the Fed slightly declined.

Read More »

Gold extends decline after US Nonfarm Payrolls beats expectations

Gold price declines after the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls data for May, shows a higher-than-expected change in employment and wages.

Read More »

USD/CHF declined as the Greenback remains weak, defends the 20-day SMA

USD/CHF took a dip in Tuesday’s session and fell to 0.9110. Despite the Consumer Confidence index in the US and Housing prices exceeding expectations, the USD remains weak. The Federal Reserve maintains a cautious stance, asking the market for patience, which keeps the odds for rate cuts in June or July low.

Read More »

USD/CHF stays above 0.9100 nearing the highs since October

USD/CHF hovers below 0.9152, the highest since October reached on Monday. US Dollar strengthened as higher Retail Sales amplified expectations of the Fed prolonging higher policy rates. Swiss Franc faces challenges due to the likelihood of SNB implementing another rate cut in the June meeting.

Read More »

Canadian Dollar remains vulnerable after strong US Retail Sales

Canadian Dollar gives away gains as USD bounces up following strong Retail Sales data. Investors’ concern that Middle East conflict might escalate provides additional support to the safe-haven US Dollar. Oil prices have depreciated nearly 3.5% from early April highs, adding negative pressure to CAD.

Read More »

Pound Sterling falls back as upbeat US Retail Sales strengthen US Dollar

The Pound Sterling faces pressure as geopolitical tensions improve the appeal for safe-haven assets. UK’s employment and inflation data will influence speculation over BoE rate cuts.

Read More »

2024-04-09 – Martin Schlegel: Interest rates and foreign exchange interventions: Achieving price stability in challenging times

For decades, the exchange rate has played a key role for the Swiss economy and for the Swiss National Bank's monetary policy.

Read More »