Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Fed to make statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets beginning to look more unhealthy

2021-12-15

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The Fed is set to make a statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets have begun to feel the lessening of liquidity injections; markets' meteoric performance is being sustained by a handful of large-cap companies: behind the scenes, it's bleak. ------ 1:17 - What Happens When the Fed Steps on the Brakes? 12:28 - The Market Wipe-out Behind the Scenes 28:22 - Investing for Liquidity: What Happens When There are No Buyers? 42:23 - Why the Market...

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Bitcoin down two standard deviations below 50-DMA

2021-12-14

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(12/14/21) Market trading could get sloppy with the Fed on deck tomorrow to talk about monetary tapering...and options expirations on Friday spurring traders to reposition. The 20-DMA is just below where markets are sitting. Bollinger Bands are not too far above current highs. Markets are oversold, so working that off could set up for a rally into the year's end. Interestingly, while the major markets have been holding onto all-time highs, in the...

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Why Changing CPI Calculations Matter

2021-12-14

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Options Expirations on Friday and the Fed's discussions this week on rate hikes will make for sloppy markets; Signs of Market Exuberance; How IPO's really work; What Inflation will do next; changing CPI calculations; Jackson-5 Index; why we don't own gold...yet. ------ 1:32 - Why Rate Hikes DO Matter...at some point 12:47 - Signs of Market Exuberance 28:50 - Why CPI Doesn't Match Reality 42:46 - Why We Don't Own Gold Now Hosted by RIA Advisors...

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Markets This Week Might Be Set Up for Sloppy Trading

2021-12-13

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(12/13/21) Events this week could set up for a period of sloppy trading, including the Fed meeting on Wednesday to discuss monetary policy--and whether or not they'll raise rates faster than expected--as well as Options Expirations on Friday; portfolio rebalancing and window dressing should then lead to the end of year Santa Claus Rally. A good "buy" signal is in place, and money flows are improving. Markets are temporarily over-bought...

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How Do You Know You’re Getting Bad Financial Advice

2021-12-09

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Still Christmas Shopping?? Give it up...implications of re-opening the economy w wage inflation; short covering into a rally; Bad financial advice usually involves money in motion to create fees; how to tell good advice from bad; 30-yr mortgages, Roth conversions, and lending to family. ------ 0:23 - Re-opening the Economy & Wage Inflation 12:41 - Money in Motion Creates Fees 28:41 - How Can You Tell Bad Financial Advice from Good? 42:42 - Why...

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Is the “Short-Term” Rally Here to Stay?

2021-12-08

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(12/8/21)Is the "short-term" rally actually here to stay? Markets have broken out of the short-term downtrend of the past two weeks WITH Conviction! As markets open higher, sustainability becomes the big question. Money Flow indicators and MACD's are turning positive, coinciding with the traditional Santa Claus rally in late December. However, next week's Fed meeting could reveal more market weakness. The VIX is collapsing back towards...

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And the Number-one Problem This Week Is…

2021-12-08

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The Markets' sell-off has not been unexpected; there are now as many NASDAQ stocks down 20-50% from their highs as there were in Dec 2018, in mid-Taper Tantrum--thanks to Apple, Google, Microsoft, & NVDIA. Market Predictions & Problems; when Liquidity leaves. ------ 0:24 - Why We Expected the Market Sell-off 11:23 - It's the Most Wonderful (Prediction) Time of the Year 27:22 - The Number One Problem...this week (now, it's inflation) 41:22...

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Market Rebound Continues

2021-12-07

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(12/7/21) Markets continue to rebound, as expected, heading towards mid-month. Markets are now set to rally toward the 20-DMA, but we're not quite finished with Mutual Fund rebalancing, and there is still short-term risk. Getting into early 2022, the Fed will captivate investor attention, and whether and when it will tighten QE. Also look for 2022 headwinds in the form of lower profit margins, higher rates of inflation, wage-growth and employment...

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Should You Be Taking Profits Now?

2021-12-07

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What's really driving Wall Street? Value Stocks have been performing because they haven't worked this year; The liquidity Issue, Managing Risk, and lowering expectations for returns; the Math of Losing Money; why outlooks are always optimistic; don't be afraid to take profits! ------ 02:01 - What is Actually Driving the Market? 12:49 - The Liquidity Issue & Managing Risk 28:42 - Sell Something! 42:47 - Wrapping the Year & 2022 Outlook...

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Is it Time for Value? Risk-off Shift Into Value Stocks Takes Hold

2021-12-06

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"(12/6/21) Markets are fairly over-sold on multiple levels; but with MACD sell-signals still in place, there remains short-term risk to the downside. Markets are in a very defined downtrend with support holding at the 50-DMA. We're seeing a risk-off rotational shift into more value-oriented stocks--also what you'd expect to see when mutual funds execute their capital gains distributions at the end of the year. We anticipate this activity to...

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Will Social Security Be there for You?

2021-12-04

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Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; how to plan for how much (or how little) you'd get; Long Term Care planning is a necessity; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best? ------ 01:29 - Watching Inflation Run 12:20 - The Demographics of Social Security 28:19 - Lance Roberts Action Figures 29:25 - Planning for Long Term...

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Stock Market Crash of 2000 Review (12/2/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief…

2021-12-03

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates

2021-12-02

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After the run-up and market correction, now's the time to reposition portfolios for optimal risk management; low-priced stocks are priced low for a reason; investing vs speculation; the Omicron Correction; what Gold's behavior says about real rates; why the hit in Tech? When the ARKK springs a leak ------ 0:00 -The Reality of Risk vs Reward, Investing vs Speculating 11:19 - What Gold is Telling us About Real Rates 22:59 - How do You Fix a Leak...

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Is There More Selling to be Done?

2021-12-02

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(12/2/21) The market sell-off continues, thanks to the Omicron variant. So how should you position your portfolio now? There is a combination of technical indicators and market seasonality that are presenting challenges as well as opportunities. Markets were going to sell, regardless of the reason--Omicron is the headline de jour markets are assigning to the sell-off event. It could just have easily been the Apple weak iPhone sales announcement....

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To Roth or Not to Roth? (12/1/21): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA Advisor…

2021-12-02

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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How to Know the Right Time to Buy

2021-12-01

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Preparing for the market correction is about to pay off: Start making your list of possible buys; watching the technicals for the right time to buy; is a Roth the right choice for you? Demographics are Destiny: What happens to Social Security? The story behind oil prices; the story behind iBonds. ------ 0:00 - How to Put Money Back to Work 11:22 - To Roth or Not to Roth? 22:52 - What's Up with Oil Prices? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment...

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Is the Sell-off Over?

2021-12-01

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(12/1/21) Is the sell-off over--and is it time to buy stocks? After Jerome Powell mentioned retiring the word, "transitory," and speeding the rate of taper, stocks took a dive. We said this would happen, prior to a Santa Claus rally at the end of the year. Buying stocks could be a good idea...but: When should you do so, and how? First, watch the bearish trends, testing the downtrend channel. We're looking for strong support at the...

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Technically Speaking Tuesday (11/30/21): Market Technical Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors…

2021-12-01

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Has Jerome Powell Changed His Mind?

2021-11-30

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The maker of the world's most ugly car (Renault) is now making the world's most ugly flying car; Jerome Powell swings both ways; there's too much money chasing too few deals; Tesla's Model-Y gets trashed; how automakers change consumers' tastes; most-shorted stocks in S&P. ------ 0:00 - Flying Renaults 1:08 -Jerome Powell's Dovish Twist 11:18 -How Too Much Liquidity has Distorted Markets 22:48 -Trashing Tesla's Model-Y, and Why Market...

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Is There an End in Sight to this Market Correction?

2021-11-30

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DESCRIPTION: "(11/30/21) Despite Monday's rally, markets are still in correction mode, and the Omicron variant is providing the "excuse" for correction to occur. It's important to note that Friday's decline, in a half-day of light-volume trading, was followed by a Cyber Monday rally in a full day of activity, with only half the volume of Friday's rout. The Omicron variant is still a source of concern this morning. This consolidation...

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