Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Red Flags In The Latest Retail Sales Report

2024-08-23

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2024-08-23

The latest retail sales report seems to have given Wall Street something to cheer about. Headlines touting resilience in consumer spending increased hopes of a “soft landing” boosting the stock market. However, as is often the case, the devil is in the details. We uncover a more troubling picture when we peel back the layers of this seemingly positive data. Seasonal adjustments, downward revisions, and rising delinquency rates on credit cards and...

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Forecasting Market Risks: Events That Might Trigger a Downturn

2024-08-22

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Market outlooks are uncertain, but economics suggest challenges ahead. Setting a specific return target will be hard to do. #financialplanning #economics Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-22-24 Jackson Hole Preview

2024-08-22

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Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets' response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to...

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Be Careful of Market Predictions

2024-08-21

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Markets are unpredictable. Always be cautious of what you think you know. Stay informed and be prepared for the unexpected. 📈 #marketinsights Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-21-24 Why Your Portfolio Performance Sucks

2024-08-21

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Why have portfolio performances been dragging? Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who'll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets' lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category launches of ETF's: Most are...

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Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights

2024-08-21

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2024-08-21

Profitable bond trading opportunities arise when your expectations about Fed policy differ from those of the market. Therefore, with the Fed seemingly embarking on a series of interest rate cuts, it behooves us to appreciate how many interest rate cuts the Fed Funds futures market expects and over what period. Equally important, Fed Funds futures help us assess the market’s economic growth and inflation expectations. Currently, Fed Funds futures...

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Why Gen Z Is Saying No to Materialism and Collecting Less Stuff

2024-08-20

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Gen Z values experiences over material possessions. Are storage units the new trend for sentimental attachment? 🤔 #Minimalism #GenZ Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-20-24 How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)

2024-08-20

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Investors are waiting for this week's Jackson Hole confab, and will respond accordingly; when will markets take a breather? The DNC begins with economic nonsense. You cannot fix poverty by giving money away. Markets' rally straight up for eight days; pullback is coming: This is no time to chase stocks. Why the correction is over; three elements of economic uncertainty. Lance answers an email about helping youth prepare financially; the financial...

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Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip

2024-08-20

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2024-08-20

The market’s 8.5% decline during August sent shockwaves through the media and investors. The drop raised concerns about whether this was the start of a larger correction or a temporary pullback. However, a powerful reversal, driven by investor buying and corporate share repurchases, halted the decline, leading many to wonder if the worst is behind us. However, the picture becomes more nuanced as we examine the technical levels and broader market...

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How Trusts Ensure Your Wishes Go Beyond Legal Documents

2024-08-19

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Don't let documents speak for you. Trust is for family protection, not an iron fist. Conversations matter. #FamilyTrust #ProtectYourWishes Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-19-24 Unpacking Kamalanomics and Economic Cycles in America

2024-08-19

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Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited. 3:15 - Phenomenal Market...

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Protecting Your Child’s Future: The Automatic Shift in Money Management

2024-08-18

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Becoming a parent shifts your perspective completely. The responsibility of protecting that little person transforms your entire mindset. #Parenthood #PerspectiveShift Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding Yield Curves: Inversion Doesn’t Guarantee a Recession

2024-08-17

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Understanding yield curve inversion is key! Don't panic when it happens - it doesn't automatically mean a recession is imminent. Check out the chart to see the full picture. 📈 #Finance101 #YieldCurve Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Avoid Sleepless Nights_Financial Crisis Insights

2024-08-16

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Let's stay positive and focus on being okay. Self-fulfilling prophecies are real! Remember the crashes in 2008 and 2000? Stay strong 💪 #positivity #financialadvice #recession Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising

2024-08-16

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2024-08-16

I was recently asked about the seemingly strong “economic growth” rate as the Federal Reserve prepares to start cutting rates. “If economic growth is so strong, as noted by the recent GDP report, then why would the Federal Reserve cut rates?” It’s a good question that got me thinking about the trend of economic growth, the debt, and where we will likely be. Since the end of the financial crisis, economists, analysts, and the Federal...

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Understanding Recession Risks During Market Decline and Fed Rate Hikes

2024-08-15

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📉 Worried about recession risks and market declines? 📈 Stay informed about the Fed's rate hikes and market trends to make wise investment decisions! #FinanceTips #MarketInsights Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-15-24 How to Buy a Dividend Stock

2024-08-15

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July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look...

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Boost Your Portfolio with Collectible Coins

2024-08-14

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Owning gold coins with collector's value can outperform gold price over time! Understand what you own and why. #InvestingTips #GoldCoins Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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8-14-24 Looking for Rate Cut Clues in CPI Data

2024-08-14

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The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's...

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Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr Doom?

2024-08-14

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2024-08-14

A recent article co-authored by Stephen Miran and Dr. Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, accuses the U.S. Treasury Department of using its debt-issuance powers to manipulate financial conditions. They liken recent Treasury debt issuance decisions to stealth QE. Per the first paragraph of the article’s executive summary: By adjusting the maturity profile of its debt issuance, the Treasury is dynamically managing financial conditions and through...

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