Category Archive: 9) Personal Investment

Filter archive by: Show All Show only Articles Show only Videos

Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?

2026-07-04

by

2026-07-04

🔎 At a Glance 🏛️ Market Brief - Happy 250th Birthday America Before we get to the tape, a word about the weekend. Happy 250th Independence Day from all of us at RIA Advisors. It is easy, in a year this loud, to lose sight of what we are actually celebrating. America is not perfect, … Continue reading »

Read More »

Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator

2026-07-03

by

2026-07-03

Wage growth peaked four years ago. Since 1985, it has led CPI by three to seventeen months in every single cycle. The May 4.2% inflation print is the noise. Watch the wages. Headline CPI just printed 4.2% year-over-year for May. The highest reading since April 2023. The 10-year Treasury punched above 4.6% on the back …

Read More »

The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?

2026-07-02

by

2026-07-02

As shown below, the Japanese yen has fallen to levels not seen since the late 1980s. (Note the chart quotes yen per dollar, thus a higher figure represents a depreciating yen) We have written extensively about why the yen matters to US markets: the yen carry trade. The trade is relatively simple. An investor borrows … Continue reading...

Read More »

More Market Wisdom: Jesse Livermore Part 2

2026-07-01

by

2026-07-01

In Part One, we shared some market wisdom from one of the greatest traders, Jessie Livermore.  While Livermore's name is not always mentioned alongside other great investors and analysts, such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, his sage advice is priceless. Interestingly, much of what Livermore teaches his readers runs counter to what Warren Buffett …

Read More »

Debt Versus Equity: SPCX Bucks The Trend

2026-07-01

by

2026-07-01

Three weeks ago, we wrote A Supply Tsunami Is Coming. The article discussed why the world's largest technology companies are choosing equity versus debt to fund their AI infrastructure buildouts. Simply, at 5% interest rates, issuing stock carries no interest expense, no refinancing risk, and no margin pressure. Alphabet raised $80 billion in equity. Meta …

Read More »

AI Memory Chips Spark Inflation Worries

2026-06-30

by

2026-06-30

Last week, Apple raised prices on certain products, citing rising costs of AI memory chips. In a statement to Reuters, the company said it had "never seen a component price increase this much, this quickly" and further that it had been shielding customers from higher costs until now. There is a global shortage of memory …

Read More »

Record Retail Inflows: Where Is All The Money Coming From?

2026-06-29

by

2026-06-29

A couple of weeks ago, I showed Adam Taggart the following chart of record retail levels of household cash as a percentage of total financial assets. This chart is hard to square with the financial media narratives. For example, two stories ran side by side this month, and on the surface, they cannot both be … Continue reading...

Read More »

Alphabet Joins The Dow Jones Industrial Average

2026-06-29

by

2026-06-29

Starting this morning, Alphabet will replace Verizon Communications in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The index change hasn't gotten much media attention, but it sends a loud message about the economy. The change makes Alphabet one of just 30 companies that Dow Jones & Company deems representative of the US industrial landscape. Verizon, which was …

Read More »

Stock Market Pullback Is Healthier Than It Looks

2026-06-27

by

2026-06-27

🔎 At a Glance 🏛️ Market Brief - A Tech-Only Selloff The headline looks ugly until you turn it over. The S&P 500 finished the week at 7,306, down 2.4% from the prior Friday, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped a hard 4.6% as the megacap technology names that have carried this market all year finally … Continue reading...

Read More »

Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted.

2026-06-26

by

2026-06-26

Milton Friedman's famous one-liner that anchors half the inflation debates on financial television leaves out the part where the actual economics live. Once you put it back in, the doomist case gets a lot smaller. Per Bylund recently wrote a sharp piece for The Daily Economy arguing that CPI and GDP have become Goodhart's Law …

Read More »

Micron: The AI Memory Supercycle Rolls On

2026-06-26

by

2026-06-26

Micron left little doubt that the supply-demand equation is grossly out of balance for AI memory chips, benefiting semiconductor companies. In its latest earnings report, Micron reported astronomical growth with revenue of $41.46 billion, up a stunning 346% year over year and 74% versus the prior quarter. Its adjusted EPS of $25.11 beat the $20.28 …

Read More »

Earnings Growth Today But At What Cost?

2026-06-25

by

2026-06-25

A recent article by the Wall Street Journal entitled Turbocharged Earnings Are Pushing Stocks Higher. There’s a Catch raises an important issue for investors of the megacap AI-tech companies. Wall Street analysts expect S&P 500 earnings growth to top 20% for a second consecutive quarter; however, the earnings growth is not widespread. The predominant bulk …

Read More »

Jesse Livermore: Old Lessons For Todays Markets

2026-06-24

by

2026-06-24

In 1891, at 14 years old, with nothing but the clothes on his back, Jesse Livermore left his family and headed to Boston. He quickly found a job posting stock quotes at a Paine Webber brokerage office. Livermore spent his lunch hours trading in “bucket shops,” loosely regulated offices where ordinary people bet on stock …

Read More »

Greenspan Passes But His Put Lives On

2026-06-24

by

2026-06-24

Alan Greenspan, the Federal Reserve chairman from 1987 to 2006, died on Monday at the age of 100. Most of the media's obituaries are flattering to Greenspan, but many seem to omit his most enduring contribution to financial markets and investors. Simply, when markets are at significant risk or breaking down, the Fed will step … Continue...

Read More »

El Nino Is Coming: Are Food Markets Ready?

2026-06-23

by

2026-06-23

Rapidly warming ocean waters almost ensure an El Niño condition by July. El Nino is a periodic warming of ocean surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean that disrupts normal weather patterns globally. El Nino patterns can cause droughts in some regions and excessive rainfall in others. This expected episode is much stronger than …

Read More »

The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed

2026-06-22

by

2026-06-22

Here's the setup most investors are underrating right now. Over the next two weeks, the tape will trade on plumbing rather than fundamentals. We just cleared the largest options expiration in history. Quarter-end pension selling comes next, and then July 1 reopens the passive-money firehose into a market that already routes forty cents of every …

Read More »

Fed Funds Hikes Cloud The Outlook: Should Investors Worry?

2026-06-22

by

2026-06-22

The Fed is clearly more hawkish than they were at the last meeting. Accordingly, with the Fed Funds market now pricing in two rate hikes by year's end, we should be armed with data showing how the first Fed Funds rate hike in a cycle is processed by the equity markets. Moreover, with higher rates … Continue reading...

Read More »

Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete

2026-05-25

by

2026-05-25

After three decades of watching market cycles play out from both sides of the trade, I've come to a simple conclusion: Wall Street's love of simple rules is one of the most dangerous aspects of investing. When stocks fall 10%, it's just a "correction." However, if they decline 20%, it's a "bear market." Simple, clean, …

Read More »

-40 Kilo! Ricarda Lang feiert Abnehmerfolg! Das Internet feiert!

2026-05-25

by

✅ Jetzt Freedom24 ausprobieren – der Broker, den ich selbst nutze: 👉 https://link.aktienmitkopf.de/Freedom24Depot * - 40.000+ Aktien & 3.600 ETFs, transparent bepreist - Direktzugang zu 20+ globalen Börsen - Kostenloser persönlicher Assistent + Anlageideen - Fremdwährungen (USD, GBP) direkt im Depot haltbar – nützlich als Währungsabsicherung 👉 https://link.aktienmitkopf.de/Freedom24Depot * Haftungsausschluss: Investieren ist mit Risiken...

Read More »

FATAL: EU Chefdiplomatin blamiert ganz Europa! China außer sich!

2026-05-24

by

✅ Jetzt Freedom24 ausprobieren – der Broker, den ich selbst nutze: 👉 https://link.aktienmitkopf.de/Freedom24Depot * - 40.000+ Aktien & 3.600 ETFs, transparent bepreist - Direktzugang zu 20+ globalen Börsen - Kostenloser persönlicher Assistent + Anlageideen - Fremdwährungen (USD, GBP) direkt im Depot haltbar – nützlich als Währungsabsicherung 👉 https://link.aktienmitkopf.de/Freedom24Depot * Haftungsausschluss: Investieren ist mit Risiken...

Read More »