Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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1-1-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Case, Bear Risks & Strategy

2025-12-17

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As we begin the new year, this New Year’s Day market outlook takes a balanced, risk-aware look at what 2026 may hold for investors. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the bullish case for markets, including the macro and technical backdrops supporting higher prices, while also addressing the growing risks beneath the surface—particularly stress in credit markets and the potential for lower long-term returns. The discussion explores how...

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12-17-25 Earnings Revision Risk Explained

2025-12-17

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Markets are priced for perfection heading into next year. Earnings expectations are unusually high. If those forecasts get revised lower, the market will have to reprice quickly. In this short video, Lance Roberts explains why high valuations and aggressive earnings forecasts create real revision risk if results fail to measure up. 📺Full episode: -vnHx4Eg Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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12-17-25 Q&A Wednesday: Live Market Questions & Investor Insights

2025-12-17

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Today’s Q&A Wednesday is driven entirely by live YouTube chat questions, covering the market topics investors are most focused on right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff address real-time concerns around market volatility, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, portfolio risk, asset allocation, and year-end positioning—without hype or speculation. This interactive session is designed to help investors better understand what...

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Kevin Warsh Or Kevin Hassett?

2025-12-17

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2025-12-17

Yesterday's Commentary discussed Trump's inclusion of Kevin Warsh in the race for Federal Reserve chair. Today, we compare some key differences between Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Understanding what each contributes to the Fed helps us better assess their effects on capital markets. Kevin Warsh was a Fed Governor from 2006 through 2011. We learned …

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QE Is Back: Which Assets Benefits From The Liquidity Boost

2025-12-17

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2025-12-17

QE is back! On December 10th, the Federal Reserve announced its plan to purchase $40 billion in Treasury securities each month for at least four months. Through these QE purchases, bank reserves will increase, and recent liquidity concerns should lessen. Furthermore, increased liquidity often leads to more speculative market conditions and higher asset prices as …

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12-31-25 Marketing for Financial Advisors in the AI Age

2025-12-16

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Marketing for financial advisors is being reshaped by artificial intelligence, changing search behavior, and tighter compliance constraints. Lance Roberts & Greg Joslyn break down how advisors can adapt their marketing and PR strategies without sacrificing credibility, consistency, or regulatory discipline. We discuss why persistence—not virality—is the true driver of long-term visibility, how AI fits into content creation and search...

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12-16-25 Year-End Checklist for Young Investors

2025-12-16

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As the year comes to a close, young investors have a unique opportunity to make small moves that can compound into meaningful long-term results. In this episode, we walk through a practical, end-of-year checklist designed for early-career investors who want to stay organized, tax-aware, and financially disciplined. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover how to confirm you’re capturing all available employer benefits, including 401(k) or 403(b)...

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Warsh Is In The Race: Fed Chair Odds In Flux

2025-12-16

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2025-12-16

Over the last few weeks, it seemed all but a done deal that Kevin Hassett would replace Jerome Powell as the next Fed Chair. That changed this past weekend as President Trump added Kevin Warsh alongside Hassett as his top Fed contenders. It's likely that there are a couple of factors leading Trump to add … Continue reading »

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12-25-25 Christmas Day Q & A

2025-12-15

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Our Christmas Day Best-Of episode revisits some of the most important investing and financial planning discussions of the year. Lance Roberts, Danny Ratliff, & Jonathan Penn examine whether the traditional 60/40 portfolio still serves its original purpose of reducing volatility, and what the three legs of investing mean in today’s market environment; whether the Federal Reserve has shifted away from its inflation mandate, how to interpret 2-...

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Bull Market Genius Is A Dangerous Thing

2025-12-15

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2025-12-15

During extended upward-trending markets that reward risk-takers and punish caution, everyone is a "bull market genius." That dynamic flips investor psychology and, over time, creates a false sense of control. As the market continues to climb, risk appears to vanish, and investors believe that nothing can go wrong, leading them to take on increasing levels …

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SpaceX: A Financial And Strategic Windfall For Google

2025-12-15

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2025-12-15

In 2015, Google wrote a $900 million check to SpaceX for a roughly 7.5% stake in Elon Musk's budding aerospace/rocket company. At the time, SpaceX was valued at $12 billion. Ten years later, Google’s early investment in SpaceX is now being framed as a great trade, not just because of the massive profit it will …

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12-13-25 Why This Market Is One Disappointment Away From Trouble

2025-12-13

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The Fed can call it reserve management purchases, but the mechanics are the same: they are adding liquidity, expanding the balance sheet, and supporting financial markets. In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why the terminology matters less than the market impact. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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The “Double Bubble”

2025-12-13

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2025-12-13

🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you'd like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ … Continue reading...

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12-12-25 QE or Not QE? That Is the Question

2025-12-12

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The Fed can call it reserve management purchases, but the mechanics are the same: they are adding liquidity, expanding the balance sheet, and supporting financial markets. In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why the terminology matters less than the market impact. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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12-26-25 Legacy Conversations for the Holidays

2025-12-12

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The holidays bring families together—but they also create a rare opportunity to talk about something that truly matters: legacy. Richard Rosso & Sarah Buenger explore how thoughtful, well-framed conversations about money, wishes, and values can become one of the greatest gifts you give your family. Research shows that nearly 70% of parents have never discussed inheritance with their children, often leaving confusion, conflict, or unresolved...

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12-24-25 The Fed at a Crossroads – Joseph Wang Interview

2025-12-12

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The Federal Reserve is entering a pivotal phase, and the decisions it makes now will define the next era of monetary policy. Lance Roberts and The Fed Guy, Joseph Wang, examine the structural forces putting the Fed at a crossroads—from rate cuts and shifting labor-market dynamics to the long-term impact of AI, tariff-driven inflation, and changes in the Fed’s balance-sheet strategy. We explore why markets appear bullish on economic growth despite...

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12-12-25 Facing Your Financial Ghosts

2025-12-12

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Everyone has financial ghosts—old decisions, forgotten expenses, or long-ignored habits that creep back into the present and shape our financial lives. In this episode, we explore three practical strategies to tackle your financial ghosts, reduce money stress, and build a healthier long-term financial foundation. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to evaluate your household debt-to-income ratios, identify where spending silently...

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Does AI Capex Spending Lead To Positive Outcomes?

2025-12-12

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2025-12-12

As someone who views corporate finance through a pragmatic lens, I’ve been closely watching the current surge in capital expenditures (capex) tied to artificial intelligence (AI). The question I’m addressing here is this: when a company spends massive amounts of free cash flow and takes on increasing debt, in this case for AI CapEx, does …

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A Third Of US Debt Matures In 2026

2025-12-12

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2025-12-12

We received the following question from a client: "I was at a conference where they showed that roughly a third of the currently existing US Government debt is set to mature in the next few years. How can we pay it back?" A third of the approximately $30 trillion in US Treasury debt equates to … Continue reading »

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12-11-25 The Fed’s Surprising ‘Dovish Cut’ Explained

2025-12-11

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: The Fed delivered a far more dovish cut than markets expected. In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why Powell’s tone shifted, what he revealed about jobs and inflation, and why this matters for markets now. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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