Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Was FTX Worse than Enron?

2022-11-22

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(11/25/22) The once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for converting IRA's to Roths; dealing with charitable donations; Was FTX worse than Enron? Stanford? Carvana's incredible demise; fear & greed never change. SEG-1: The SBF Chia Pet; Scheissters SEG-2: Roth Conversion Opportunities Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --------...

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Markets Going Nowhere | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-22

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(11/22/22) Markets are trying their best to mount a rally during the holiday-shortened week, but are only up 2% so far for the month of November. Thats hard to comprehend following that 5% jump following that strong CPI report. Since then, markets have not really gone anywhere. With many traders out this week, there's not much activity or volume to drive markets. But as markets consolidate above the 100-DMA, it's allowing the 20-DMA to play...

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Why The Fed Wants More Unemployed

2022-11-22

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(11/22/22) Market movement can best be described as sideways, up only 2% for November. Oil Stocks are down 20% while energy stocks are only off 5%; so why would the Fed pivot? When it does, it won't be good for equities. How is the crypto-phenomenon like the sub-prime crisis of bygone days? A discussion of what "pivot" is and is not; The Fed wants to take pressure off the labor market, and would be fine with 5% unemployment as a means of...

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Have Markets Found the Bottom? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-21

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(11/21/22) The inmates are running the asylum during this holiday-shortened trading week, making for higher volatility on lighter trading volume. Last week markets bounced right off the 100-DMA to rally, tested support, and bounced off of that to turn previous resistance into support, with a follow-through rally on Friday. Markets are now just below the 200-DMA, and look to open a little weakly this morning. The 20-DMA has crossed above the 50-DMA,...

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Bob is Back (at Disney)

2022-11-21

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(11/21/22) It's the Week of Thanksgiving, and up and down on the Street, traders are vacationing before Year's End they will meet. Will there be a Recession in 2023? The markets' final outcome remains to be seen. Iger's back at Disney, and the Yield Curves are spread, with hopes of a Santa Claus rally dancing in their heads. The FTX fail has raised such a clatter; will the SEC really find what's the matter? As 2022 draws to a close, the final...

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Preparing for Inevitable Higher Taxes

2022-11-18

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(11/18/22) There is no Fed pivot in sight, and denial in the markets is high; repercussions of the COVID lockdown are still being felt; credit card debt, HELOC debt is on the rise. A generation of bailed-out citizens. The once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for converting IRA's to Roths; dealing with charitable donations; Was FTX worse than Enron? Stanford? Carvana's incredible demise; fear & greed never change. Conversations you should have this...

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2022 Year-end Economic Review

2022-11-17

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Here is an encore presentation of the November 15, 2022 Lunch & Learn. our Year End Economic Review with RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and special guest Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts. 01:00 - That Was the Year That Was 03:52 - What to do with Cash? 08:55 - The Wisdom in Buying Bonds Why Inflation Doesn't Really Matter over the long haul Safer is Always Better:...

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The Fed’s Anti-Inflation Campaign is Good for Bonds | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-17

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(11/17/22) Markets rallied towards our target of 4,100, but failed short of the goal. We're looking for some follow-through selling this morning; a retracement towards support won't be surprising. Markets are still on a buy-signal, but getting a bit extended. The risk is in a violation of both the 20- and 50-DMA. Inflation data of late supporting this market rally, and hopes of a Fed pivot, is also helping bonds. Weakening inflation is good for...

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Is FTX a ‘Lehman Moment?’

2022-11-17

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(11/17/22) There's a problem with market rallies: The Fed doesn't like 'em. Estimates for Q4 GDP = 4.4% The tell will be Christmas sales; what are valuations telling us? Price must adjust for lower earnings. Things are starting to crack in financial markets; things we see during boom times vs bust times corrections: The Fed's Goal is to pull excess out of the markets. No question the Fed will pivot: But When?? FTX is not a "Lehman...

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Retail Sales & False Confidence | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-16

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(11/16/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before Retail Sales figures for October was reported at +1.3%, vs the anticipated 1.2%% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Retail Sales report, expected to be strongly influenced by data from California, which is a large consumer-state. Cali Gov. Gavin Newsom last month issued more stimulus checks to offset inflation and higher fuel prices. The artificially spurred spending is expected to have...

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Market Wake-up Call Episode (11/16/22): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA Ad…

2022-11-16

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Will Inflation Data Pump Market Momentum? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-15

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(11/15/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before PPI for October was reported at +0.2%, vs the anticipated 0.4% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Producer Price Index report, expected to come down a bit as sings of economic slowing have been more apparent of late. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Vice-president Lael Brainard hinted the Fed could be close to easing the pace of its rate hikes. Could this, coupled with the cooler inflation number...

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The FTX Fiasco & Bankruptcy – A Sign of the Times

2022-11-15

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(11/15/22) The FTX fiasco and ensuing bankruptcy is symptomatic of the times; professionals are no better than amateur investors at this point in valuations and performing due diligence. The truth behind the "Santa Clause Rally," and what's really happening; get ready for sloppiness in December. FTX shenanigans & repercussions: How we got the SEC, Sarbanes-Oxley, & other regulations; "Stakeholder Capitalism" and...

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The FTX-Binance Fail

2022-11-10

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Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and whatever happened to investor due diligence? (Could blockchain solve election polling woes?) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show on our YouTube...

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Did FTX-Binance Bust Markets? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-10

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(11/10/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before CPI for October was reported at 7.7% YOY, and down from September's 8.2%] Markets sold off more than 2% following a"meh" midterm outcome, breaking through the 50- and 20-DMA, holding on somewhat tenuously. It's important that markets rally above those levels today, otherwise there'll be a retest of lows seen back in June of this year. The MACD sell-signal is close to flipping, suggesting...

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Who Takes the Hit from the FTX Fail?

2022-11-10

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(11/10/22) Markets sold off following 'meh' midterm results, and Binance pulled out of a FTX-bailout. Despite a disappointing 10-yr Treasury auction, the bond market saw a bit of a boost from the FTX-Binance fallout; who's looking for Q4 GDP = 4%? Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and...

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After the Midterms

2022-11-09

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(11/11/22) It's Veterans Day, and we're on a brief hiatus. Here's a segment from a recent Financial Fitness Friday Episode as Rich & Danny ponder the question of life, and what's likely in the post-midterm season. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Get more info & commentary:...

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Will We Get Gridlock? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-09

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(11/9/22) Midterm elections are behind us, and all that's left to determine is who will control the House and the Senate, and will we get a gridlocked congress, which tends to be better for markets. Historically, post-midterm election markets tend to rally into the year-end. Meanwhile, the bottoms built in September and October have resulted in a rally, albeit not a strong one. The buy-signal on the MACD has performed as expected. Stocks yesterday...

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How to Lose a Billion Dollars in Crypto

2022-11-09

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(11/9/22) The election is past; time to move on: Why Markets can now be optimistic. Stocks tend to perform well in the 12-months following a midterm election. With stock buybacks, Thanksgiving, and end of year maneuvering, markets will see uptick in activity., but it's going to be sloppy. Disney streaming disappoints: Too much competition, not enough good content. The Crypto-crash of FTX; Sam Bankman-Fried fries his fortune, losing 94% of net...

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Markets Focus on Midterm Outcomes | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-08

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(11/8/22) Markets rallied Monday, coming off critical support at the 20-DMA following Fed Chair Powell's hawkish comments last week. A new CPI print will be released On Thursday, and if it's hotter than expected, that could weigh on stock prices as the Fed is encouraged to hike interest rates further. Markets' focus today, however, it the outcome of the Midterm elections, and what Wall Street would like to see is Congressional Gridlock. Markets...

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