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Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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The USD is moving higher after hotter US Core PCE. What levels are in play today.

2023-02-24

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The USD is moving higher after the hotter than expected US Core PCE data.  In this report I look at the technical breaks in the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD.  Also as a reminder Adam Button is conducting his FREE WEBINAR. You can register and watch by clicking HERE.

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Ueda Day

2023-02-24

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2023-02-24

Overview:  Rising rates and falling stocks provided the backdrop for the foreign exchange market this week. The dollar appreciated against all the G10 currencies but the Swedish krona, which is still correcting higher after the hawkish pivot by the central bank. The market looks for a later and higher peak in the Fed funds rate. This coupled with the risk-off sentiment helped the dollar extend its recovery after falling since last...

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What technical levels are driving the major currency pairs to start the NA trading session

2023-02-23

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In this forex market update, we review the technical analysis of four major currency pairs: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD. The EURUSD remains within a downward-sloping channel, with sellers in control in the short term. Meanwhile, the USDJPY is trading to a new high, opening the pair for further upside momentum. The GBPUSD fell below the 100 and 200-hour MAs but corrected higher in early North American trading. The AUDUSD is moving back...

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Fed Tightening Seen Extending into Q3

2023-02-23

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2023-02-23

Overview:  The prospect that the Federal Reserve tightening cycle continues into early Q3 is underpinning the greenback today against most of the G10 currencies. The dollar bloc is the notable exception, and they are posting minor gains, perhaps encouraged by the firmer equity markets. The minutes of this month’s FOMC meeting appear to show wide support for quarter point hikes going forward and there did not seem to be much discussion of the...

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S&P technical analysis: Contrarian bullish spot.

2023-02-23

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In this video, we discuss a possible double-busted triangle formation on the S&P 500 chart, which may suggest a strong bullish move. However, traders should be cautious and trade at their own risk. For more insights and views, visit ForexLive.com.

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The EURUSD has topside resistance ag. the 200 hour MA. The GBPUSD has 200H support

2023-02-22

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In this video, we take a technical look at four major currency pairs - EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCAD. We analyze the key levels, support and resistance areas, and the overall market sentiment for each pair. The EURUSD is facing selling pressure at its 200 hour MA, while the GBPUSD is holding up against its 200 hour MA after a recent move higher. The USDJPY maintains its bullish bias despite a dip below a swing area. The USDCAD has broken above...

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Investors Shaken by Rising Rates

2023-02-22

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2023-02-22

Overview: The surge in US interest rates and sharp losses in US stocks sent the dollar broadly higher in North America yesterday. The $42 bln of two-year notes auctioned by the US Treasury saw the highest yield in more than a quarter-of-a-century (4.67%) and it still produced a small tail. Sterling, helped by its own surprisingly strong data, was the only G10 currency to have gained against the surging dollar. Still, no important technical levels...

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The USD is mixed in early trading with the EURUSD lower, the GBPUSD higher.

2023-02-21

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Get the latest update on the forex market as the dollar is higher versus the EUR and JPY but lower versus the GBP. Plus, discover how the dollar is moving up versus the loonie due to lower CPI in Canada. Watch the morning forex technical report for February 21 2023 to get a technical look at these currencies and more.

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Upside Surprise in UK’s Flash PMI and Better-than-Expected January Public Finances Lift Sterling

2023-02-21

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2023-02-21

Overview: Rising interest rates are weighing on risk appetites and the dollar is broadly stronger. Sterling is a notable exception after a stronger than expected flash PMI and better than expected public finances. The correlation between higher US rates and a weaker yen is increasing and the greenback looks poised to rechallenge the JPY135 area. A slightly better than expected preliminary PMI and hawkish minutes from the recent RBA meeting has done...

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NVDA technical analysis before its earnings report earnings on Feb 22, 2023 AMC.

2023-02-20

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Looks like holders of NVDA stock may be taking some risk off the table before the earnings report in 2 days. Watch why and where it may be a nice spot buy in the future. Trade at your own risk only. Visit ForexLive.com for additional views.

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Monday: A Short Note while US is on Holiday

2023-02-20

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2023-02-20

The dollar is mostly softer, but turnover is mostly quiet.  The Swedish krona leads the move after higher-than-expected underlying inflation.  It is a mild risk-on day with equities moving higher too.  In the Asia Pacific region, China stood with the CSI 300 up almost 2.5%.  Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up fractionally to recoup most of the pre-weekend decline.  US equity futures are narrowly mixed.  European bond yields are little changed, with a couple...

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If you’re not confused, you’re not paying attention

2023-02-19

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In this video, we explore the recent market confusion and its impact on technical analysis. CNBC's Steve Leesman famously said, "If you are not confused, you're not paying attention." The latest CPI inflation report added to the confusion, creating a volatile market. We also delve into the role of technical analysis in such uncertain times. Join us for a detailed analysis of the markets.

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Week Ahead: Market Seeks Proper Balance after Exaggerating in Both Directions

2023-02-18

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2023-02-18

The pendulum of market sentiment swung from fear of a synchronized recession in the US and Europe to optimism that a recession can be avoid. The perceived reduction of downside risks had driven the upside performance of equities and bonds. Just as the data seems to confirm it, the rally in in stocks and bonds faltered. The MSCI Emerging Markets equity index gained 7.8% last month but is off almost 3.8% this month, and has fallen for three...

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The USD moved higher into the NY session but is seeing some modest profit taking.

2023-02-17

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The USD moved higher today reaching new extremes for the week and beyond. However, there has been some selling as technical levels were approached and profit takers/countertrend traders stuck a toe in the water.   What are the technicals saying?

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Dramatic Swing in Sentiment Extends the Greenback’s Rally

2023-02-17

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2023-02-17

Overview:  A series of strong US high-frequency data points after a poor finish to last year has spurred a dramatic shift in market expectations. And talk among a couple of (non-voting) FOMC members of a 50 bp hike has provided added fodder. The greenback is extending its recovery today against all the major currencies, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars hit the hardest. Emerging market currencies have also been knocked back. This is part...

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FOREX TECHNICAL VIDEO:PPI comes in hotter than expected sending the USD higher. What next?

2023-02-16

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In this US morning forex technical report, we take a look at the impact of the stronger-than-expected US PPI data on the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPJPY pairs. Join us as we analyze the bias, risk and target levels to help you navigate the current forex market.

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Technical analysis of S&P 500 E-mini Futures after PPI data

2023-02-16

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In this forex analysis video, we look at the recent market data and discuss the bearish turn. We highlight the next price levels and junctions to watch for potential trading opportunities. For more insights, visit ForexLive.com.

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Markets Catch Collective Breath

2023-02-16

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2023-02-16

Overview:  On the heels of a dramatic jump in US job creation and firmer than expected year-over-year CPI, the US reported a larger than expected jump in retail sales and a strong recovery in manufacturing output. Few think that economic momentum that the recent data implies can be repeated, the "no landing" camp has gained adherents. We suspect that says more about psychology than the economy. The US two-year note is threatening to snap...

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VIDEO: Retail sales surprise to the upside. What did that do for the forex technicals?

2023-02-15

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In this morning's forex technical report, we examine the impact of stronger than expected US retail sales on the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD currency pairs. Our analysis includes an explanation of the bias, control, targets, and risks, and provides critical insights that all traders should be aware of for every trade.

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US Dollar Comes Back Better Bid

2023-02-15

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2023-02-15

Overview: Although the US January CPI was in line with expectations, the year-over-year rate was a little firmer than expected. Still, the measure that Fed Chair Powell has underscored, core services, excluding shelter, moderated with a 0.3% month-over-month gain. US rates shot up and this lent the dollar support, while weighing on equities and risk sentiment. The US two-year note yield rose to almost 4.64% yesterday, the highest in three months....

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