Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Week Ahead: Greenback Begins Off on the Defensive

2025-05-24

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2025-05-24

Between its trade war and the "big, beautiful budget", which is both regressive and adds on more debt, the US has roiled the capital markets. Before the weekend, the US said the EU was not negotiating in good faith. President Trump threatened a 50% tariff as of June 1. This looks harsher than the current … Continue reading »

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The NZDUSD is extending to new session highs and highs for the week.What next technically?

2025-05-23

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Buyers in NZDUSD are making a play above MAs and the highs going back to May 8

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USDCHF technical analysis: Sellers take control on tariff-driven drop

2025-05-23

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Tariff headlines spark bearish momentum as key support levels come into focus

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The EURUSD moves lower after Trump imposed 50% tariff on EU goods

2025-05-23

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The climb down the mountain restarts after things looked on the up and up last week.

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Dollar Slumps

2025-05-23

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2025-05-23

Overview:  The dollar is finishing the week heavily.  It is off against nearly all of the world's currencies.  The only exceptions are the Turkish lira and Hong Kong dollar.  For the week, among the G10 currencies, only the Australian dollar has not risen at least 1%,  Helped by stronger than expected retail sales, sterling set …

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The USD is little changed to start the US session. What does the recent price action say?

2025-05-22

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A technical look at the EURUSD ,USDJPY, and GBPUSD to kickstart the US session

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Japanese Bond Rout Continues, While Disappointing PMI Weighs on the Euro

2025-05-22

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2025-05-22

Overview: Disappointing flash May PMI readings in Europe and the Asia Pacific helped the US dollar stabilize after yesterday's drop. Asian currencies, including the yen, has been unsettled by reports that in bilateral trade discussions with the US, exchange rates have been discussed. This, coupled with extensive unhedged dollar exposure rocked several of the regional …

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Bitcoin technical analysis after it achieved a new ATH. Watch where it’s probably going next.

2025-05-22

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Apologize that there is no audio in this video due a technical issue still being looked into. You can still follow the chart and understand to start watching price at $115,50 - $118k This map has guided us correctly since BTC was at $87k and throughout since then. So here is what to watch for next. Trade crypto at your own risk and visit ForexLive.com (evolving to investingLive.com later this year). AI-Generated Thumbnail: The image used for this...

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Ongoing uptrend possible for Ether | market outlook: crypto trading | 21.05.2025

2025-05-21

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Ether has recently bounced strongly from April's lows to push back above $2,500, and narratives generally seem to support continuation. The ratio of market value to realised value has increased significantly in recent days, moving above one, while open interest for futures has also surged in May so far. It's difficult to determine whether the price might continue up nearly immediately, consolidate, or retrace first. This week, there are no major...

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The GBPUSD moved up-and-down after stronger CPI. What are the charts telling traders?

2025-05-21

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In the kickstart video, I take a look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD from a technical perspective

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Be Prepared for a Challenging Day

2025-05-21

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2025-05-21

Overview: The greenback is under pressure. It is off against nearly all of the world's currencies after falling in North America yesterday. Reports that Israel may be planning a strike against Iranian nuclear facilities has contributed to the broad risk off moods and helped lift July WTI to new highs since early April. While the …

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The USD is modestly lower vs the 3 major currency pairs. The AUDUSD is the biggest mover.

2025-05-20

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The RBA cut by 25 basis points (as expected) but did talk about a 50 bp cut.

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Tug-of-War Over the Dollar Continues

2025-05-20

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2025-05-20

Overview: US stocks and bonds recovered from yesterday's sell-off in Asia and Europe. The Swiss National Bank President Schlegel expressed the views of many Americans when he said on Monday that "There is currently no alternative" to US Treasuries, "and it's not foreseeable that there will be an alternative."  The 10- and 30-Treasury yields finished …

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The USD is lower vs the 3 major currency pairs as traders react to Moody’s downgrade

2025-05-19

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Bonds and Stocks are lower to start the US trading week.

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Asia and Europe Respond to Moody’s Belated Downgrade of the US

2025-05-19

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2025-05-19

Overview: Moody’s took away the US AAA rating before the weekend. It was the last of the big three rating agencies to do so. We do not think there is fresh information content in its belated decision, but participants in Asia and Europe have reacted by selling the US dollar and US assets. The 30-year … Continue...

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Bitcoin Price Prediction for End of May 2025

2025-05-19

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See the May 2025 price prediction sentiment https://www.forexlive.com/Cryptocurrency/bitcoin-price-prediction-for-end-of-may-2025/

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Week Ahead: Greenback’s Recovery Looks Poised to Continue

2025-05-17

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2025-05-17

The dollar traded choppily last week but settled higher against all the G10 currencies. It finished the week on a firm note. The messy upside correction for the dollar may continue. Despite disappointing retail sales and manufacturing output, and softer than expected CPI and PPI, the market has pushed the next Fed cut into Q4 …

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US to Impose Tariffs in 2-3 Weeks as Administration “Lacks Capacity” to Negotiate with Everyone

2025-05-16

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2025-05-16

Overview: While the US dollar is a little softer today against the G10 currencies, it remains mostly within Wednesday's range. The yen is a notable exception. It made a new high for the week despite the contraction in Q1 25 GDP. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The markets have not reacted to a statement …

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The USD is consolidating in up and down trading for the EURUSD/GBPUSD. The USDJPY is down.

2025-05-15

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A heavy economic calendar awaits traders with the PPI, Retail sales, Initial and continuing claims, etc. etc. etc, on the docket

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Asia and Europe Did Not Share North America’s Enthusiasm for the Dollar

2025-05-15

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2025-05-15

Overview: There has been little follow-through dollar buying today after its recovery in North America yesterday. The greenback is softer against most of the G10 currencies. The Antipodeans are lagging alongside the Norwegian krone, perhaps weighed down by the sharp drop in oil prices following President Trump's indication and a deal with Iran may be …

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