Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Gold Technical Analysis – The focus is on the US CPI

2025-03-11

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#gold #xauusd #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for Gold. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:43 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:51 Upcoming Catalysts...

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Apple Stock – one big picture view before the next earnings.

2025-03-11

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? Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis ? AAPL pulled back ~13.5% from its all-time high till yesterday’s low. ? Key Support: $219–$215 (VWAP & prior breakout level) – could be tested around earnings till or on the next earnings on April 24, 2025. ? Local Resistance: $239–$240 – if price retraces, this could be a smart area for partial profit-taking before earnings. ? Watch the full analysis in the video and stay ahead of the markets! ? Like &...

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The USD is lower to start new trading week. What key level are in play to start the week.

2025-03-10

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Kickstart the trading week with a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD

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Fragile Consolidation for Greenback to Start the New Week

2025-03-10

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2025-03-10

Overview:  The on-again off-again US tariffs have raised the level of uncertainty and lack of visibility that itself has become a market factor. The dollar has begun the new week, which could see US steel and aluminum tariffs announced Wednesday, softer, but mostly consolidating within the pre-weekend range. Most of the G10 currencies are firmer, though we note the potential downside reversal in sterling. Norway's higher than expected CPI has...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – All eyes on the US CPI

2025-03-10

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 1:03 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:58 Upcoming Catalysts...

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Week Ahead: US Growth Worries and Europe’s Fiscal Initiative Weaken American Exceptionalism’s Bull Case

2025-03-08

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2025-03-08

The combination of continued growth concerns in the US and the fiscal/defense initiatives in Europe saw the dollar fall every day last week. The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker says the US economy is contracting at an annualized rate of 2.4%, which seems exaggerated. After falling by about 50 bp in a seven-week slump, the US 10-year yield rose by about 15 basis points last week. Eurozone 10-year benchmark yields rose around 35 bp. The US premium on...

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The volatility from the US jobs report has come and gone. What levels are now in play?

2025-03-07

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Discover the latest technical levels for major currency pairs like EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD and USDCHF after the recent US jobs report. Stay informed on potential resistance and support areas for trading decisions.

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Be prepared. What key levels should you eye in the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD through US jobs

2025-03-07

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US jobs report ahead with expectations of 160K job gain in February. What levels are key and why for the 3 major currency pairs. Find out in the video review.

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Pressure on the Greenback Remains Ahead of the Jobs Report and Powell, while European bonds Stabilize

2025-03-07

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2025-03-07

Overview: The greenback's drop has been extended today against most of the G10 currencies, but not the growth-sensitive dollar bloc, which is underperforming today. Still, ahead of the US jobs report and Fed Chair Powell's speech on the economic outlook, all the G10 currencies have appreciated by at least 1% this week. The Swedish krona's 6.7% rise tops the board, but the euro's 4.7% rally is its best weekly performance since 2009. The Turkish lira...

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USDCAD moves outside consolidation area below 1.4268 to 1.4279. Now close resistance.

2025-03-06

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The sellers in the USDCAD have pushed the pair outside the "Red Box" that was home to price action pre-tariff volatility.

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USDJPY bounces off support target. What next?

2025-03-06

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The USDJPY swing area between 147.23 to 147.338 stalls the fall

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Kickstart the FX trading day for March 6 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD

2025-03-06

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The EURUSD is little changed ahead of the ECB rate decision. The USDJPY is lower by 0.80%.

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European Bond Rout Continues Ahead of ECB Meeting

2025-03-06

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2025-03-06

Overview:  The run on the dollar has been extended today but it has stalled in the European morning. As North American traders return to their posts, the Australian and Canadian dollars, along with sterling are lower on the day. Higher than expected Swedish inflation has helped put the krona on the top of the G10 with more than a 1% gain. It is at its best level against the euro in a couple of years. Most emerging market currencies are lower, led...

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AUDUSD buyers make a play to the upside. Can they keep the momentum going?

2025-03-05

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The price moves above its 100 and 200 hour MAs. Swing area on the topside is also breached.

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The 200-day moving averages are in play for both the S&P and the Nasdaq indices

2025-03-05

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For the S&P index, the price is above its 200 day moving average. For the NASDAQ index the prices below its 200 day moving average.

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Dollar Slumps while European Rates Surge

2025-03-05

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2025-03-05

Overview:  Talk emerged yesterday that the dramatic losses US equities amid recession fears in light of the rash of tariff announcements and threats would draw the new administration's attention. Commerce Secretary Lutnick suggested yesterday that President Trump may consider a compromise on Mexico and Canadian tariffs announced yesterday. There was no sign of that in the president's address to the joint session of Congress yesterday. US index...

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Dollar Mostly Softer as Tariffs Implemented

2025-03-04

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2025-03-04

Overview:  The postponed US tariffs on Canada and Mexico have gone forward and China faces its second 10% tariff increase in two months. The dollar is mixed. The Swiss franc and Japanese yen are the strongest of the G10 currencies, up around 0.45%-0.60% in late European morning turnover, but the Canadian dollar is no slouch and is up about 0.35%. Canada (and China) have announced what are seen as mild initial retaliatory measures, while Mexico is...

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Asia and Europe Seem Less Keen about the Dollar than North America

2025-03-03

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2025-03-03

Overview: The dollar rallied in the second half of last week even as interest rates fell amid a new growth scare. The 25% tariffs on Canada (10% on energy) and Mexico that were postponed a month ago, could be implemented as early as tomorrow.  The only tariffs that have been imposed so far were 10% on Chinese imports, and another 10% threatened tomorrow, and apparently in April, too.  The economic disruption that the tariffs and tariff threats seem...

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March 2025 Monthly

2025-03-01

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2025-03-01

In recent weeks, while Russia's war on Ukraine continues and Beijing continues to harass its neighbors, the U.S. tariff threats and doubts that its defense commitments will be sustained, have emerged as the most significant challenge for businesses, investors, and policymakers. These tariffs are aimed at protecting domestic industries, forcing a re-shoring of production, and raising revenue. If, and when implemented, the tariffs can be expected to...

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Now What?

2025-02-28

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2025-02-28

Sorry for the disruption of the regular commentary.  Still, the monthly will be posted tomorrow.  There is a key divide in the market.  One camp sees the US tariff threats as bluster and a negotiating tactic.  The other camp, which I find myself in, thinks something more serious is happening.  The US voted against Europe and with Russian and Iran at the UN for the first time in 45 years on European issues.  Martin Wolf, the erstwhile economic...

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