by Lance Roberts
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| AI is not hype — it is the most consequential economic shift since the Industrial Revolution, and it is rewriting the investment playbook. Lance Roberts and special guest, Blackrock's Brian Dunlap, break down the full AI and tech stock story: how we got here, where the money is flowing, and what investors need to know right now. From the infrastructure build-out and enterprise adoption to physical AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, we walk through the entire investment cycle — including the IDGT and BAI ETFs, the hyperscalers driving capex, and why data centers are the revenue-generating factories of the AI era. (More information may be seen at iShares.com). We also tackle the hard questions: Is this a boom or a bubble? Are debt concerns valid? What is circular financing, and how does it affect long-term sustainability? And what does the road ahead look like as we approach the critical inflection point from training to inference? If you want the full picture on AI investing — the macro forces, the key players, and a framework for positioning your portfolio — this is the episode. 00:00 INTRO 2:09 - The AI/Tech Stock Story 3:58 - How We Got Here & The Impact of AI 7:42 - AI will become a piece of National Security 9:32 - AI is the next Industrial Revolution 10:47 - A Fundamental Shift in the Employment Landscape 12:11 - The Net Result of AI Expenditures 14:02 - What Does the Future of AI Look Like? 14:44 - The Adoption Cycle 16:14 - We're in the infrastructure Build phase; Enterprise Adoption - tokenization 18:05 - Revenue Opportunities Physical AI - Robots & autonomous vehicles 20:00 - Investing in the Cycles (IDGT etf) (BAI etf) 21:48 - Timing of the Buildouts - what's the useful life? 23:15 - Moving towards an inflection point in AI - building to training/inference Datacenters in space? 26:09 - The AI Investment Thesis - datacenters are factories producing revenue 27:56 - Who are the hyperscalers 29:46 - Are Debt Concerns Valid? 32:09 - Who are funding sources - Boom vs Bubble? 35:07 - Demand for AI has done nothing but accelerate 36:00 - The issue of circular financing... 39:05 - The Trajectory of Revenue Growth in AI 42:33 - How Long Before AI Puts us Out of a Job? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Brian Dunlap, Director, Blackrock Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtube.com/live/ckKzFqCAHHs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AIStocks #TechInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarket #AIInfrastructure #Blackrock #IDGT #BAI #ETF |
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4 Percent Inflation: The Case For And Against
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In a recent white paper, The Risk Of Higher US Inflation In 2026, Adam Posen and Peter Orszag argue that inflation could exceed 4 percent by year’s end. To wit, they lead the article as follows: In our view, however, this optimism is premature. We think it is more likely that inflation will surprise to …
2-19-26 Dalio at Davos: Calm Markets, Hidden Currents
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Ray Dalio’s Davos comments aren’t a “next-week collapse” call—they’re a long-cycle warning: rising debt supply can eventually force higher yields and tough policy trade-offs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, but sector/factor dispersion and low correlations show a fierce rotation under the hood. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the calm index ≠ calm market—watch dispersion and correlations for the next regime shift.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation
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Since the beginning of the year, we have discussed the “reflation trade” and its impact on specific market sectors. This past weekend’s newsletter also showed some of these more extreme returns in various market sectors since the beginning of the year. To wit: “Despite what seemed like a rough week in the market, it really wasn’t as …
2-12-26 The Contrarian View on The Value Rally
2026-02-12
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael LebowitzI explain how value stocks were deeply hated just months ago. Since then, capital has rotated aggressively into defensive “value” names, pushing many to extreme overbought levels.
Ironically, several of these stocks, including $WMT $PG and $PEP, now trade at elevated multiples, making them expensive by traditional metrics.
Be careful chasing the crowd. Focus on where money is likely to move next.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-22-25 When Fed Narratives Meet Market Data
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Markets are heading into year-end with optimism still firmly embedded in prices, but the economic data are telling a more complicated story.
Lance Roberts examines the growing gap between the Federal Reserve’s soft-landing narrative and what inflation, employment, consumer spending, and earnings expectations are actually signaling. While markets have stabilized following recent volatility, participation remains narrow, sentiment is elevated, and valuations appear priced for a smooth economic outcome in 2026.
#FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #EconomicData #InvestingRisk #StockMarket
11-6-25 The Hidden AI Debt Bubble Nobody’s Talking About
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AI’s growth is being fueled by massive hidden debt.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss how companies like $META are using off-balance-sheet SPVs to fund AI infrastructure—creating risks that could echo the leverage traps of the late 1990s.
📺Full episode:
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Fed QT Ends. What Does That Mean For Markets?
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🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you’d like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
The Most Dangerous Era In History
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We live in what Brett Arends claimed as “The Dumbest Stock Market In History,” but I believe it is potentially the most dangerous era. That phrase is not hyperbole as it reflects structural distortion, extreme valuations, and an investor base intoxicated by momentum and narrative. The MarketWatch piece puts it bluntly: “At one level, there …
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