by Lance Roberts
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| #Oil just dropped 10%+, easing one of the market’s biggest pressures: inflation. As #crudeoil falls, bond yields—previously overbought—are likely to reverse lower, shifting the macro backdrop. This move wasn’t about headlines alone, but positioning unwinding after extremes. In the short term, technicals and sentiment drive markets more than fundamentals. If oil continues lower, it could support equities $SPX $QQQ and reset key trades, creating new opportunities ahead. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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2-10-26 Opportunities Emerge at Maximum Fear, Not Peak Optimism
2026-02-10
Markets swing between hype and panic, and investors often get trapped by both.
When prices rise, narratives justify overpaying; when prices collapse, fear convinces people assets are going to zero.
In reality, markets rarely move in extremes forever.
The best opportunities tend to appear when fear is highest, not when optimism is loudest, which is why disciplined, fundamentals-focused investors look for value during selloffs rather than chasing excitement at the top.
📺Full episode: -g
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Speculative Narrative Unwinds
2026-02-09
For nearly two years, markets were driven by the same speculative narrative that “this time is different.” Bitcoin, precious metals, and AI-linked equities rose not only because of robust fundamentals, but also because investors clung to powerful narratives about inflation, disruption, and monetary collapse. Those speculative narratives are not only seductive but also contribute to …
2-6-26 Skate to Where the Money Is Going Next
2026-02-07
Most investors lose money by chasing whatever narrative is hot, whether it’s $SLV or $MSTR.
Real investing is about anticipating where capital will rotate next and building positions gradually, not trying to time exact bottoms or going all in.
Start small, size positions wisely, and let rotations work in your favor.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why fundamentals matter more than headlines, and being early matters more than being fast.
📺Full episode: _IPrDUg
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
2-5-26 Truflation vs CPI: What Inflation Is Really Doing Today
2026-02-05
Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently?
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation’s real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling.
We’ll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Employment Data Continues to Weaken
4:10 – Finishing up Earnings Season
10:36 – Truflation & Kevin Warsh’s Hawkishness
12:36 – The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI
16:12 – The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy
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Fannie And Freddie Add Billions To The Bond Market
2025-12-18
According to Bloomberg, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been increasing the mortgages and mortgage-backed securities they hold on their own balance sheets. At their peak, before the financial crisis, Fannie and Freddie held a combined total of $1.6 trillion in mortgages. As we share below, courtesy of Bloomberg, their portfolio sizes are well below …
12-17-25 Q&A Wednesday: Live Market Questions & Investor Insights
2025-12-17
Today’s Q&A Wednesday is driven entirely by live YouTube chat questions, covering the market topics investors are most focused on right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff address real-time concerns around market volatility, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, portfolio risk, asset allocation, and year-end positioning—without hype or speculation.
This interactive session is designed to help investors better understand what matters, what doesn’t, and how markets typically behave during periods of uncertainty. Rather than making predictions, we focus on context, probabilities, and risk management—answering your questions as they come in live.
If you have a market question, join the conversation in the chat. If you’re watching the replay, timestamps and chapter markers are
Bull Market Genius Is A Dangerous Thing
2025-12-15
During extended upward-trending markets that reward risk-takers and punish caution, everyone is a “bull market genius.” That dynamic flips investor psychology and, over time, creates a false sense of control. As the market continues to climb, risk appears to vanish, and investors believe that nothing can go wrong, leading them to take on increasing levels …
Beyond Meat Surges: Another Meme Ponzi?
2025-10-23
In August 2025, Beyond Meat (BYND), a plant-based meat producer, took to social media to call reports of its bankruptcy “unequivocally false”. Despite the assurances, the company was floundering, and bankruptcy was a possibility. The company has significant liabilities and has lost money every year since its IPO. Adding to their woes, sales peaked in …
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