by Lance Roberts
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| The 200-day moving average (200DMA) is one of the most important long-term trend indicators. Price breaking below it often triggers automatic selling. However, a break below the 200-day doesn’t automatically mean a bear market. Most breaks are brief and occur within ongoing bull trends, with markets recovering fairly quickly. The real risk comes from sustained breaks tied to deeper macro issues like credit stress or inflation shocks. Without those conditions, a break is more likely a correction than a collapse. The critical question now isn’t the break itself, but what follows—does the market reclaim the level or stay below and trend lower. Brief break → opportunity Sustained break → risk management 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Markets rallied back into positive territory today, but the real risk-management lesson isn’t the chart—it’s behavior. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack the “WD-40 & Duct Tape” framework: WD-40 reduces emotional friction when headlines and volatility try to lock up decision-making, and duct tape is the discipline that keeps your portfolio plan intact (allocation, diversification, rebalancing rules, time horizon, liquidity).
We also hit real-life planning topics investors ignore until it’s urgent—pre-nups, trusts, board liability, and why you shouldn’t scrimp on estate planning. Because protecting wealth isn’t just about returns—it’s about structure, documents, and decisions made before stress shows up.
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2-4-26 AI Isn’t Killing Software-As-A-Service — The Market Narrative Is
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AI is pressuring software margins, but the market has pushed this narrative to an extreme.
Just like past cycles, investors are extrapolating disruption into total collapse.
SaaS stocks $IGV are now deeply oversold, with many down 40–60% $NOW $CRM and valuations near cycle lows.
Some companies will fail, but the entire sector won’t disappear.
Stepping away from the hype and analyzing businesses—not headlines—is how real opportunities begin to form, even if the selloff isn’t finished yet.
📺Full episode: -H-lG3A
Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-19-25 What Great Financial Planning Looks Like
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Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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