by Lance Roberts
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| In this short video, Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz discuss $WMT and that it is trading at valuations not seen since 1999. Staples are no longer “cheap defensive value.” They have become expensive. Walmart is trading at roughly 48x forward earnings—valuation levels typically associated with high-growth tech companies expanding 20%+ annually. Yet, its growth rate is closer to 4–5%. The bigger risk in this market isn’t AI or geopolitics — it’s overpaying for slow growth. When investors overpay for modest growth, future returns are compressed. Valuations still matter. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Meta And Microsoft: Great Earnings But Different Results
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On the heels of strong fourth-quarter earnings reports, Microsoft is opening down 8%, while Meta is trading up 10%. Microsoft topped expectations for earnings and revenues. However, there is some concern about its total cloud revenue. They reported cloud revenue of 26% versus expectations of 28-29%. That said, their leading cloud computing product, Azure, grew …
Is Japan In A Death Spiral?: A Contrarian Take
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A day doesn’t seem to go by without a market pundit asserting that Japan is in a monetary and fiscal death spiral. It’s easy to come to such a conclusion given: Based on those stats and others, it’s easy to see why many think it’s only a matter of time before Japan’s economic system collapses. …
12-8-25 Bullish Case or Bearish Backdrop? The Real Market Setup for 2026
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Lance Roberts looks at both sides of the Market Cycle—the bullish liquidity-driven momentum and the bearish fundamental weaknesses. With support and resistance levels tightening around the S&P 500, and the Fed meeting, economic data, and major earnings directly ahead, investors must prepare for a market that could swing in either direction in 2026.
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0:18 – Markets Set up for Santa Claus Rally
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11:22 – Economic Summit, Elf on a Shelf, & Baylor Dating
14:42 – Market Outlook for 2026
16:36 – The Case for Bullishness
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24:13 – The Case for Bearishness
27:52 – Stress in Credit markets
28:36 – The Risk for Lower Returns
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10-20-25 The Illusion Of Zero Risk: When Volatility Returns, This Market Will Break
2025-10-20
Years of easy money trained investors to believe markets have no risk. Buying every dip still works because volatility is low, but this illusion of safety won’t last.
In this Short video, I argue that when volatility returns, this “zero-risk” market will break.
Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
10-22-25 Teaching Kids About Money – Lessons From Investing’s Biggest Mistakes
2025-10-17
How do we raise the next generation to be financially wise in a world obsessed with “getting rich quick”?
Lance Roberts and financial writer Benjamin Gran discuss teaching children about money, work, and investing.
#FinancialEducation #TeachingKidsAboutMoney #InvestingWisely #FinancialLiteracy #MoneyLessons
Liquidity Warning: SOFR Raises The Red Flag
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In our Daily Commentary from October 9th, we alerted readers to the fact that the Fed’s Overnight Repurchase Program was warning that the financial system was running out of a reliable store of excess liquidity. While not a concern, as we share in our quote below, it was worth monitoring. Said differently, after years of …
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2025-08-25
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