by Lance Roberts
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| The Fed is now the single most important source of liquidity in every major market. In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I break down the key signals that reveal when liquidity stress is building and why they matter for every asset you trade. đșFull episode: _r_I Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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Economic Reacceleration: A Contrarian View
2025-11-14
Over the past two weeks, weâve addressed a persistent question: if the data signals weakness, why hasnât the recession arrived? In “Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?” we examined the cracks forming beneath the economy’s surface. From deteriorating leading indicators to credit stress and cooling employment metrics, the evidence supported a cautious stance. In …
11-25-25 The System Is Broken â Garrett Baldwin Interview
2025-11-12
Lance Roberts sits down with Garrett Baldwin to dissect how the financial system became structurally distorted â from the Fedâs collateral-driven era after 2008 to the unchecked rise of passive investing and liquidity engineering.
Other key topics include:
The illusion of value through asset-price debasement
The 50-year mortgage folly and real housing affordability
CATH ETFs and the birth of speculative flows
How ETFs and repo markets reshaped price discovery
Garrett and Lance reveal how the system drifted from fundamentals â and what disciplined investors must understand to protect capital in an age of financial distortion.
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#TheSystemIsBroken #GarrettBaldwin #FinancialMarkets #MonetaryPolicy
Equity Fund Outflows Soar: Blip or Warning?
2025-09-23
Our friend Jim Colquitt, in his Weekly Chart Review, brought to our attention a large and irregular outflow from equity funds last week. He cites a Reuters article stating that investors withdrew $43 billion from US equity funds last week. That was the largest outflow since December 2024. The graph below shows that equity fund …
9/18/25 The Real Reason The Market Popped After the Fed Cut
2025-09-18
The Fed cut rates as expected, but Powell admitted uncertainty and insisted policy is still "restrictive."
@michaellebowitz and I discuss why markets see it as "accommodative" and are rallying on that perception, with $INTC & $NVDA helping big.
#FedRateCut #StockMarketRally #PowellSpeech #NvidiaStocks #InterestRates
The Week Ahead: Volatility Is In The Forecast
2025-07-28
Typically, in Monday’s Commentaries, we share a few paragraphs titled “The Week Ahead’ in a lower section. This week, the amount and importance of the data could have a meaningful impact on markets and the Fed. Thus, this week’s’ “The Week Ahead’ gets top billing. Let’s review the calendar: Between this week’s labor and inflation …
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