The Truth about the U.S. Tariffs

2025-07-16

The world order is now changing in a way that I described in my book and video Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. For a complete picture I encourage you to read the book or you can watch the animated video on my channel.

#raydalio #principles #politics #economics

2025-07-11

History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where:

1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts
2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation
3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism
4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources
5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order

#principles #raydalio #history #debt

2025-06-10

What’s happening now with money, debt, and credit has never happened before in our lifetime.

But it has happened many times in history, which is why I believe studying the past is so important. The same cycles repeat over and over again, and there are important lessons we can learn from those experiences.

If we apply that understanding to the issues we face today, we can increase the chances of positive geopolitical and economic outcomes. That’s good for all of us.

I enjoyed meeting with @imf to discuss this and answer questions about my new book, which dives deeper into these topics. It’s called How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, and it’s available now.

If you’re interested in learning more about our collective debt burden — and what steps we can take to solve these issues —

2025-06-05

If I had to pick the most important chapter from my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, this would be it. In fact, I think it’s so important that I wanted to make sure it was easily accessible for anyone who might be interested.

Because once you understand the big cycle and how it works, watching events unfold is like watching a movie that you have seen many times before.

That’s because the big cycle is a dynamic that has worked in the same basic way for thousands of years in all countries, driven by the same logical cause-effect relationships. Throughout history, certain forces have come together to drive these cycles and dramatically change the world order.

If you’re interested in learning more, you can buy the book on Amazon