10-17-24 Volatility & The Market Climb: Should We Care?

2024-09-10

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday’s market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They’re not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query

2024-09-04

Real-time data collection is key for accurate insights. Large companies providing real numbers, not estimates, is crucial for economic analysis. 📊 #DataCollection #Insights

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Entire show here: https://cstu.io/1ea4b0

2024-09-02

💡 Avoiding losses is key! Focus on risk mitigation to protect your portfolio from negative impacts over time. 📉 #InvestingTips #RiskManagement

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2024-06-27

Market volatility on the rise, Fed’s move crucial. Paying close attention is key to prevent potential snowball effect. #Fed #MarketVolatility #StockMarket #FedInsights

Michael Lebowitz discusses the market’s current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve.
– Impact of market deterioration and rising volatility
– Significance of increasing shorts in the market
– Potential for a snowball effect in market trends
– Critical importance of the Federal Reserve’s actions
– Implications of a possible rate cut by the Fed in July

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2024-06-26

Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors’ common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don’t mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market.

2024-06-20

Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you’re being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency…and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy

2024-06-18

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA’s; when correction comes… Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look

2024-06-17

📈 James Grant predicts a cyclical rise in interest rates for the next few decades. Lance Roberts explains why he sees things differently. 🏠💰 #InterestRates #Economy #Finance

Lance Roberts discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant. Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future.
– Impact of higher interest rates on homeowners
– Borrowing costs and their effect on consumption
– Economic implications of rising rates
– James Grant’s perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns
– Potential multi-decade rise in interest rates

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