by Lance Roberts
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| The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k's killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs 401k's; 401k vs IRA flexibilities. 3:17 - No Reason to Be Bearish 14:40 - Why Markets Remain Resilient After Sell-off 30:17 - What to Do w Your 401k at Retirement 44:28 - Pensions vs 401k's - A Bad Idea? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Reason to be Bearish" is here: -0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Four Reasons Mega-Caps Are Not Dead Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #RetirementFunds #401k #Pension #IRA #RithIRA #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing |
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Economic Concerns Amid Market Fluctuations
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📉 Worried about a recession? 🤔 Economic experts say consumer behavior is key. Stay tuned to see how things unfold! 💼 #Economy #ConsumerBehavior
Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Understanding the Fear and Greed Index: What Does It Mean for Investors?
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Check out our Fear Greed Index! Investor allocations have surged from extremely low to high, indicating bullish market sentiment. 📈 #Investing #MarketTrends
Want to learn more? Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
8-6-24 Is the Selling Over?
2024-08-06
Monday’s Carry Trade-inspired blowout saw lots of selling , but a little bit of recovery before the dust settled. The ISM Services Report clocked-in a little stronger than expected, taking fears of imminent Recession off the table. The Fed might not have to cut rates as much. Markets are now over sold by three standard deviations off the moving average; a bounce is in the office, but this could be the beginning of a bigger correction. Lance and Jon provide some clarification and perspective: Market points vs percentages; now vs 2020 or 1980: how much are we up since 202? Recessions are based on consumer sentiment and contraction in spending. How the "unwinding" creates another cycle of unwinding; note that 82% of S&P companies are now out of the stock buy back blackout period; some
The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators
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Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As shown, the latest employment report has triggered that indicator.
So, does this mean a recession is imminent? Maybe. However, we can now add this indicator to the long list of other recessionary indicators, also flashing warning signs.
As discussed in “Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call,” the Leading Economic Index (LEI) has a long history of accurately predicting recession outcomes. As we showed, each previous decline in the 6-month rate of change in the LEI from the Conference Board has aligned with a recession. We are currently in one of the most extended periods on record
7-30-24 Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio’s Performance
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Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week’s end, 79% of companies will have shared results…and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets’ 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What’s the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare
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