5-22-24 Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors
2024-05-23
All eyes are on NVDIA’s quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It’s all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed’s interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they’re primed for a pullback. Lance’s wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials’ ‘quiet vacation’ ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American’s favorite investments vs Mattress Mac’s investment philosophy. Where Dave
5-16-24 It’s a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities
2024-05-16
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners’ Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government’s Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash.
Do Technical Measures and Valuations Really Matter?
2024-03-26
Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" – Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they’re too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry
Is Your Ex Worth More Dead than Alive?
2024-03-20
It’s Fed Day: Danny Ratliff provides a preview in Lance’s absence; mortgage rates are pricing-out most buyers. Is your ex- worth more dead than alive? Taking a look at SS survivors’ benefits: There are some caveats. How to incorporate inflation hedging into your portfolio. Making buying choices to better manage inflation in household budgets. Why some are accessing 401-k funds (and what about those who do not have one?) Understanding target date funds; why they’re generally the default for fund managers. Watch for higher fees and internal expenses; not all funds are created equal. Financial Spring Cleaning in 401-k: watch fund compositions.
3:14 – Fed Day preview & Market Commentary
14:40 – Is Your Ex- Worth More Dead than Alive?
30:30 – How to Hedge for Inflation
44:40 – Understanding
Proof: How Inflation is Affecting the Economy
2024-03-06
Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed’s blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k’s: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg’s boycott.
What’s It Like to Live Solely on Social Security? (1/10/24)
2024-01-10
(1/10/24) Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Finanical Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Missed It "By That Much"" is here:
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Our previous show is here: "Keep An Eye on Bankruptcies"
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"