Why Predictions for 2025 Are All Over the Place

2025-01-02

While 20% gains in the S&P 500 are not uncommon, as circled below, back-to-back 20% gains have only occurred three times since 1950. The most recent back to back 20%+ gain was 2023 and 2024. Accordingly, given the rare performance of the last two years, lets look back and see what history teaches us. The …

Continue reading »

2024-12-31

Over the past couple of weeks and into the next few weeks, you will likely be inundated with economic forecasts and stock market scenarios for 2025.

2024-10-30

Halloween preview & earnings parade; pre-election bond market auction action. Markets are hedging a bit ahead of elections. The latest JOLTS report was weaker than expected – more evidence of a slowing economy? Meanwhile, consumer confidence continues to confound, bouncing up in the latest Conference Board Confidence Index reading, especially for forward expectations for stock prices into 2025. Lance reviews International, Emerging Markets, and Dollar performance. Markets "are not doing nothin’" until after the election. Lance & Danny discuss what happens after that. Political posturing is a problem: Data vs Opinion. Why markets love gridlock, but appear to be positioning for a Trump win. How many Funds outperform the S&P (chart); this data does not show who the managers were! "I want a

2024-10-29

Confused about market signals? ?? Don’t worry, sometimes the best strategy is doing nothing! ?‍ #TradingTips #MarketIndicators

Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/30895b

YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow