by Lance Roberts
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| (6/7/22) Energy Prices have been on the rise for myriad reasons, including the Russia/Ukraine War, and an under-supply of domestic oil thanks to regulatory changes. The energy indexes have followed suit, up nearly 50% this year, while the S&P is down 14%--an amazing out-performance that historically does not last for long. So, it is time to take profits in energy stocks? Energy prices, as a proxy for energy stocks, are worth noting: Oil at $118/bbl is three standard-deviations above the 50-MMA of oil prices. That's a more than 4-year stretch of prices above long-term moving averages (remember, moving averages are averages for a reason: Prices had to trade above AND below that average over a period of time.) Just three years ago, energy prices were trading at a NEGATIVE, three standard-deviations BELOW that same 50-month moving average. In 2020 no one wanted to own energy stocks because they were in the tank; now, everyone can't get enough of 'em. The last time we saw this phenomenon was in 2008. With prices currently over-extended, and the economy going into recession, there are implications for a reduction in demand, and a consequential drop in energy prices from reduced demand and increased supply. Prices will revert--maybe not this month or the next--but now would be a good time to think about taking some profits in energy stocks off the table. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EnergyStocks #OilPrices #CommoditiesPrices #SupplyDemand #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing |
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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