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Is a Recession Yet to Come?

(6/29/23) Yankee pitch a perfect game, as Bank Stress tests all reveal perfect scores(!); no bailout required. Yet. Markets are still betting on lower rates, but liquidity remains. Money market accounts are in high-demand. Yield curves suggest Recession is still to come. The economy is based on debt: New Debt and Old Debt. Jerome Powell says more rate hikes to come. The Yankee's perfect games (4): all pitchers' names begin with "D." Who's right: Markets or the Fed? Debt generates growth; banks' customer base enables loan-making. Debt to GDP ratios now at 4x. Yield Curve un-inversion is what matters. Recessions typically follow 16-months after yield curve inversion; it's been only 12. The Fed doesn't want to raise rates but is happy to keep them where they are. The Death of the Dollar? Collapse of diamond prices and decline in Gold. No fear in the markets w surge in consumer confidence: the Fed's conundrum. When the market is bullish, invest for today. Why should the Fed cut rates if the economy is humming along?

3:12 - Perfect Games and Bank Stress Results
14:16 - Has the Havoc Already Happened?
30:26 - Who's Right: Markets or the Fed?
44:34 - Markets are Bullish: Invest for Today

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Risk-Reward in the Markets is Limited" is here:
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Our previous show is here: "Why Lower Interest Rates Are NOT Coming Back"
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Article Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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