mart Investing: Profiting from Unwanted Assets and Rebalancing Risks

2024-09-03

Since the end of the “Yen Carry Trade” correction in August, bullish positioning has returned with a vengeance, yet two key risks face investors as September begins. While bullish positioning and optimism are ingredients for a rising market, there is more to this story.

2024-08-30

Unpacking Kamalanomics and economic cycles in America. Check out my article for more insights. #EconomicGrowthMyth #Kamalanomics

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2024-08-23

Joy, Gratitude, and the difficulty of knowing what narrative to believe. Still to come: Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, and reaction to negative revision to Jobs numbers. Four rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year? How to make volatility work for you. Taxation of unrealized gains: It’s a dumb idea. What about credits for losses?? (You absorb the losses, the Gov’t takes the gains.) Thank goodness for Congressional gridlock. Schwab study, "What is Wealthy?" $2.5-mil average. The danger in benchmarking against surveys, S&P, and others’ portfolios. Inflation vs deflation: The chatroom explodes. Preparing for Recession, even when there isn’t one. Yet. The financial security cushion; Schiller’s CAPE calculation: How will this affect you in distribution mode? Debt-to-Income

2024-06-20

Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you’re being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency…and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy

2024-06-18

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA’s; when correction comes… Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look

2024-06-17

📈 James Grant predicts a cyclical rise in interest rates for the next few decades. Lance Roberts explains why he sees things differently. 🏠💰 #InterestRates #Economy #Finance

Lance Roberts discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant. Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future.
– Impact of higher interest rates on homeowners
– Borrowing costs and their effect on consumption
– Economic implications of rising rates
– James Grant’s perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns
– Potential multi-decade rise in interest rates

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2024-06-17

On Wednesday, the May inflation print came in cooler than expected, sending stock and bond prices higher. Such is interesting, considering the still numerous “perpetually bearish” commentators suggest that inflation will surge due to increasing debts and deficits. However, the inflation trend remains lower as economic growth continues to slow. The correlation between smoothed PCE prices, economic growth, and inflation remains high. Therefore, as economic activity (demand) slows, prices fall as supply increases. The increasing debts and deficits are not inflationary. They are, in fact, deflationary, as the debt service redirects increasing amounts of income from productive uses. Unless something changes, the inflation print will fall further as economic growth slows, and the forces

2024-06-06

Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. #investing #economy

Are small caps the future of investment opportunities? Join host Lance Roberts as he breaks down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks.
– Current state of mid caps and small caps
– Earnings performance of small caps
– Economic indicators impacting small caps
– Timing for small cap investments
– Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow