Market Saturation: How Household Investments Could Signal a Peak

2024-05-16

📉 Bitcoin’s market behavior is puzzling experts as rally stalls despite meme stocks resurgence and ETF launches. What will be the next driving force? 🤔 #Bitcoin #MarketTrends

Lance Roberts discusses the recent trends in bitcoin and the reasons behind its fluctuating market behavior. Tune in to understand the forces at play in the world of cryptocurrency.

– Meme stock resurgence and bitcoin’s lack of rally
– Impact of ETF launches on bitcoin demand
– The cooling off of bitcoin post-ETF launches
– The absence of fundamental reasons behind bitcoin’s price movements
– Speculation on potential future drivers for bitcoin

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our

2024-05-14

In Jan 2022, a sell signal was issued in the risk range report advising caution. Shaded areas indicate sell signals, while no shading means stay in stocks for S&P 500. #StockMarket #Investing

In this crucial update, Lance Roberts discusses the significance of the sell signal issued in January 2022, guiding viewers through the pivotal moments to sell or hold stocks. Using the S&P 500 as a reference, he breaks down how to navigate market signals effectively.
– Understand the significance of the January 2022 sell signal.
– Learn how to interpret the risk range reports for better investment decisions.
– Discover the impact of these sell signals on the S&P 500’s performance.
– Analyze the use of shaded areas in charts to indicate high-risk periods.
– Gain insights on when to be in or

2024-05-08

The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA’s have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov’t. stimulus). Planning for

2024-04-26

Potential tax changes looming! 📉 What could this mean for you? Find out more in this video. #taxes #financialplanning #changesahead

Join us as we delve into the imminent changes coming to the tax code. Understand what these adjustments mean for you and how they might impact your finances.

– Overview of the current tax code and its expiration.

– What happens if no changes are made to the tax code.

– Implications for personal tax brackets.

– Expected changes in tax percentages.

– Strategies to prepare for the upcoming tax code changes.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow

➢ Upcoming personal

2024-04-17

Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine’s Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k.

3:08 – No Rate

2024-03-05

Economic Data releases and Fed speeches today will resonate with a rising commentary of no rate cut(s) this year, thanks to sticky inflation. Target’s earnings show the consumer is still spending; markets continue in 4-month advance, longest since 1970. Preceding a correction? Markets are operating in a narrow trend channel, with money rotating out of Magnificent Seven Stocks and into meme stocks. Markets are in the midst of bullish exuberance; Lance’s emails are the best contrarian indicator. Valuations are an indicator of sentiment; why FOMO trumps Fundamentals; rationalization and the numbers game: Making up metrics to rationalize valuation: We’re still paying too much for equities. Bitcoin & ETF’s: The Dark Side of the Coin. Shorting ETF’s adds an additional layer of volatility.

2024-03-04

Markets are entering the three strgonest months of the year; what if interest arwets aren’t cut? February was unusually strong for a "weak" month; what happens during Presidential Election years? Looking at Volatility risk. Markets have been up for 16 of the past 18-weeks; such activity generalluy heralds a correction. Warren Buffett’s annual letter: What do to with $160-B in cash? The dilemma of cash and valuations; cash held by corporations is at an all-time high; Buffett’s favorite metric is Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio. Why it’s hard to find "reasonably priced" companies. When investing becomes gambling; the risk of market correction coming. Dumb Money vs Smart Money: Teaching kids to invest, not gamble.

3:13 – Entering Three Strongest Months of the Year
14:31 – Warren

2024-02-22

Has Nvidia become the world’s most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets’ expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets? Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets…yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed’s repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does